Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Wednesday, October 26, 2022
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 28 | Magic | 27% | 105 | 92 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 29 | Pistons | 28% | 113 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 26 | Hornets | 31% | 111 | 131 |
 | 15 | Knicks | 69% | 119 | 134 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 12 | Raptors | 51% | 108 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 3 | Nets | 43% | 109 | 99 |
 | 5 | Bucks | 57% | 112 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 22 | Bulls | 61% | 120 | 124 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 11 | Timberwolves | 71% | 123 | 134 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 14 | Lakers | 42% | 119 | 99 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 4 | Heat | 51% | 114 | 119 |
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Tuesday, October 25, 2022
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Pistons | 32% | 111 | 99 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 10 | Mavericks | 48% | 114 | 111 |
 | 17 | Pelicans | 52% | 115 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 27 | Thunder | 36% | 110 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Monday, October 24, 2022
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Pacers | 23% | 111 | 106 |
| 7 | 76ers | 77% | 122 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Raptors | 42% | 108 | 98 |
| 5 | Heat | 58% | 111 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Magic | 27% | 109 | 102 |
| 15 | Knicks | 73% | 118 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 1 | Celtics | 70% | 115 | 102 |
| 22 | Bulls | 30% | 108 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Jazz | 69% | 122 | 108 |
| 30 | Rockets | 31% | 114 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Nets | 49% | 114 | 124 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Spurs | 28% | 114 | 115 |
| 10 | Timberwolves | 72% | 123 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Nuggets | 61% | 122 | 110 |
| 19 | Blazers | 39% | 118 | 135 |
Sunday, October 23, 2022
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Blazers | 41% | 116 | 106 |
| 18 | Lakers | 59% | 120 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Hornets | 28% | 113 | 126 |
| 17 | Hawks | 72% | 121 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Wizards | 39% | 112 | 107 |
| 19 | Cavaliers | 61% | 116 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Jazz | 33% | 116 | 122 |
| 4 | Pelicans | 67% | 122 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Timberwolves | 71% | 120 | 116 |
| 26 | Thunder | 29% | 112 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 3 | Warriors | 80% | 126 | 130 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Suns | 49% | 113 | 112 |
| 2 | Clippers | 51% | 114 | 95 |
Saturday, October 22, 2022
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Spurs | 15% | 108 | 114 |
| 5 | 76ers | 85% | 123 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Pistons | 40% | 117 | 115 |
| 24 | Pacers | 60% | 121 | 124 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtics | 78% | 115 | 126 |
| 29 | Magic | 22% | 104 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Raptors | 36% | 107 | 109 |
| 6 | Heat | 64% | 112 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Cavaliers | 55% | 114 | 128 |
| 22 | Bulls | 45% | 112 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Rockets | 13% | 103 | 105 |
| 8 | Bucks | 87% | 120 | 125 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Grizzlies | 38% | 110 | 96 |
| 12 | Mavericks | 62% | 115 | 137 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Thunder | 24% | 113 | 117 |
| 9 | Nuggets | 76% | 123 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Clippers | 62% | 119 | 111 |
| 23 | Kings | 38% | 115 | 109 |
Friday, October 21, 2022
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Pelicans | 68% | 120 | 124 |
| 25 | Hornets | 32% | 114 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Spurs | 41% | 117 | 137 |
| 24 | Pacers | 59% | 120 | 134 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Bulls | 41% | 116 | 100 |
| 21 | Wizards | 59% | 119 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Magic | 25% | 110 | 98 |
| 16 | Hawks | 75% | 119 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Raptors | 42% | 111 | 105 |
| 12 | Nets | 58% | 114 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtics | 54% | 113 | 111 |
| 6 | Heat | 46% | 111 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Pistons | 28% | 108 | 106 |
| 17 | Knicks | 72% | 116 | 130 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Grizzlies | 76% | 120 | 129 |
| 30 | Rockets | 24% | 110 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Jazz | 31% | 112 | 132 |
| 10 | Timberwolves | 69% | 119 | 126 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Nuggets | 38% | 118 | 128 |
| 4 | Warriors | 62% | 123 | 123 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Suns | 60% | 117 | 111 |
| 20 | Blazers | 40% | 113 | 113 |
Thursday, October 20, 2022
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Bucks | 39% | 109 | 90 |
| 3 | 76ers | 61% | 114 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Clippers | 57% | 119 | 103 |
| 16 | Lakers | 43% | 116 | 97 |
Wednesday, October 19, 2022
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Magic | 48% | 107 | 109 |
| 28 | Pistons | 52% | 108 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Wizards | 52% | 117 | 114 |
| 24 | Pacers | 48% | 116 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Rockets | 22% | 109 | 107 |
| 18 | Hawks | 78% | 121 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Pelicans | 42% | 115 | 130 |
| 8 | Nets | 58% | 118 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Bulls | 29% | 107 | 116 |
| 7 | Heat | 71% | 115 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Cavaliers | 47% | 113 | 105 |
| 15 | Raptors | 53% | 114 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Knicks | 42% | 113 | 112 |
| 14 | Grizzlies | 58% | 116 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Thunder | 22% | 105 | 108 |
| 12 | Timberwolves | 78% | 116 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Hornets | 45% | 111 | 129 |
| 25 | Spurs | 55% | 113 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Nuggets | 64% | 119 | 102 |
| 20 | Jazz | 36% | 114 | 123 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Mavericks | 39% | 112 | 105 |
| 6 | Suns | 61% | 116 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Blazers | 49% | 117 | 115 |
| 22 | Kings | 51% | 118 | 108 |
Tuesday, October 18, 2022
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 76ers | 38% | 110 | 117 |
| 1 | Celtics | 62% | 115 | 126 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Lakers | 32% | 109 | 109 |
| 4 | Warriors | 68% | 116 | 123 |
Friday, October 14, 2022
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rockets | - | - | 122 | |
| Pacers | - | - | 114 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cavaliers | - | - | 108 | |
| Magic | - | - | 114 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Celtics | - | - | 134 | |
| Raptors | - | - | 137 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wizards | - | - | 89 | |
| Knicks | - | - | 105 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nets | - | - | 112 | |
| Timberwolves | - | - | 102 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hawks | - | - | 111 | |
| Pelicans | - | - | 120 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mavericks | - | - | 115 | |
| Jazz | - | - | 101 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nuggets | - | - | 119 | |
| Warriors | - | - | 112 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lakers | - | - | 86 | |
| Kings | - | - | 133 | |
Thursday, October 13, 2022
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grizzlies | - | - | 126 | |
| Pistons | - | - | 111 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thunder | - | - | 118 | |
| Spurs | - | - | 112 | |
Wednesday, October 12, 2022
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hawks | - | - | 99 | |
| Cavaliers | - | - | 105 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Knicks | - | - | 100 | |
| Pacers | - | - | 109 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hornets | - | - | 94 | |
| 76ers | - | - | 99 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pelicans | - | - | 103 | |
| Heat | - | - | 120 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nets | - | - | 107 | |
| Bucks | - | - | 97 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Timberwolves | - | - | 118 | |
| Lakers | - | - | 113 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kings | - | - | 105 | |
| Suns | - | - | 104 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nuggets | - | - | 126 | |
| Clippers | - | - | 115 | |
Tuesday, October 11, 2022
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thunder | - | - | 115 | |
| Pistons | - | - | 99 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grizzlies | - | - | 105 | |
| Magic | - | - | 109 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bucks | - | - | 104 | |
| Bulls | - | - | 127 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spurs | - | - | 111 | |
| Jazz | - | - | 104 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blazers | - | - | 98 | |
| Warriors | - | - | 131 | |
Monday, October 10, 2022
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wizards | - | - | 116 | |
| Hornets | - | - | 107 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 76ers | - | - | 113 | |
| Cavaliers | - | - | 97 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rockets | - | - | 110 | |
| Heat | - | - | 118 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Suns | - | - | 105 | |
| Nuggets | - | - | 107 | |
Sunday, October 9, 2022
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bulls | - | - | 115 | |
| Raptors | - | - | 98 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ra'anana | - | - | 97 | ||
| Thunder | - | - | 144 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pelicans | - | - | 111 | |
| Spurs | - | - | 97 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lakers | - | - | 124 | |
| Warriors | - | - | 121 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blazers | - | - | 94 | |
| Kings | - | - | 126 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Timberwolves | - | - | 119 | |
| Clippers | - | - | 117 | |
Saturday, October 8, 2022
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hawks | - | - | 118 | |
| Bucks | - | - | 109 | |
Friday, October 7, 2022
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Celtics | - | - | 112 | |
| Hornets | - | - | 103 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pacers | - | - | 114 | |
| Knicks | - | - | 131 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nuggets | - | - | 113 | |
| Bulls | - | - | 131 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raptors | - | - | 100 | |
| Rockets | - | - | 116 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heat | - | - | 111 | |
| Grizzlies | - | - | 108 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pistons | - | - | 101 | |
| Pelicans | - | - | 107 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Magic | - | - | 110 | |
| Mavericks | - | - | 105 | |
Thursday, October 6, 2022
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bucks | - | - | 113 | |
| Hawks | - | - | 123 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heat | - | - | 109 | |
| Nets | - | - | 80 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| - | - | 98 | |||
| Thunder | - | - | 131 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Magic | - | - | 102 | |
| Spurs | - | - | 99 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ra'anana | - | - | 85 | ||
| Blazers | - | - | 138 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Timberwolves | - | - | 114 | |
| Lakers | - | - | 99 | |
Wednesday, October 5, 2022
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pacers | - | - | 122 | |
| Hornets | - | - | 97 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cavaliers | - | - | 112 | |
| 76ers | - | - | 113 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raptors | - | - | 125 | |
| Celtics | - | - | 119 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mavericks | - | - | 98 | |
| Thunder | - | - | 96 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Suns | - | - | 119 | |
| Lakers | - | - | 115 | |
Tuesday, October 4, 2022
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pistons | - | - | 96 | |
| Knicks | - | - | 117 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Timberwolves | - | - | 121 | |
| Heat | - | - | 111 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pelicans | - | - | 129 | |
| Bulls | - | - | 125 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jazz | - | - | 118 | |
| Blazers | - | - | 101 | |
Monday, October 3, 2022
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 76ers | - | - | 127 | |
| Nets | - | - | 108 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Magic | - | - | 97 | |
| Grizzlies | - | - | 109 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thunder | - | - | 112 | |
| Nuggets | - | - | 101 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kings | - | - | 105 | |
| Lakers | - | - | 75 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blazers | - | - | 97 | |
| Clippers | - | - | 102 | |
Sunday, October 2, 2022
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wizards | - | - | 95 | |
| Warriors | - | - | 104 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hornets | - | - | 93 | |
| Celtics | - | - | 134 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jazz | - | - | 82 | |
| Raptors | - | - | 114 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spurs | - | - | 96 | |
| Rockets | - | - | 134 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| - | - | 134 | |||
| Suns | - | - | 124 | |
Saturday, October 1, 2022
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grizzlies | - | - | 107 | |
| Bucks | - | - | 102 | |
Friday, September 30, 2022
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Warriors | - | - | 96 | |
| Wizards | - | - | 87 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ra'anana | - | - | 81 | ||
| Clippers | - | - | 121 | |