Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Sunday, December 12, 2010
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 11 | Knicks | 56% | 110 | 129 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Hornets | 49% | 96 | 70 | |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 2 | Lakers | 78% | 102 | 99 |
| 27 | Nets | 22% | 92 | 92 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 8 | Thunder | 79% | 105 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 4 | Magic | 73% | 100 | 94 |
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Saturday, December 11, 2010
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 23 | Clippers | 49% | 100 | 83 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 5 | Celtics | 69% | 94 | 93 |
 | 21 | Bobcats | 31% | 88 | 62 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 22 | Raptors | 45% | 101 | 120 |
 | 26 | Pistons | 55% | 102 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 27 | Timberwolves | 21% | 96 | 82 |
 | 12 | Bulls | 79% | 106 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 6 | Mavericks | 68% | 99 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Cavaliers | 34% | 99 | 95 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 1 | Heat | 78% | 100 | 104 |
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Friday, December 10, 2010
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Bobcats | 35% | 93 | 92 |
| 14 | Pacers | 65% | 98 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Nuggets | 62% | 109 | 123 |
| 22 | Raptors | 38% | 105 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Knicks | 65% | 108 | 101 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Lakers | 56% | 100 | 84 |
| 13 | Bulls | 44% | 98 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Pistons | 45% | 101 | 99 |
| 27 | Timberwolves | 55% | 103 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Thunder | 47% | 95 | 97 |
| 15 | Hornets | 53% | 96 | 92 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Rockets | 44% | 95 | 91 |
 | 17 | Bucks | 56% | 97 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Hawks | 27% | 94 | 92 |
| 4 | Spurs | 73% | 102 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Trail Blazers | 43% | 101 | 101 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Magic | 43% | 94 | 105 |
| 8 | Jazz | 57% | 96 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Heat | 78% | 104 | 106 |
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Thursday, December 9, 2010
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Celtics | 56% | 97 | 102 |
| 19 | 76ers | 44% | 95 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Nets | 17% | 87 | 89 | |
| 4 | Mavericks | 83% | 99 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Magic | 46% | 93 | 83 |
| 8 | Trail Blazers | 54% | 94 | 97 |
Wednesday, December 8, 2010
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Nuggets | 36% | 97 | 89 |
| 7 | Celtics | 64% | 102 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Bulls | 67% | 101 | 88 |
| 26 | Cavaliers | 33% | 96 | 83 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Raptors | 29% | 105 | 110 |
| 11 | Knicks | 71% | 113 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Pacers | 45% | 93 | 95 |
| 18 | Bucks | 55% | 94 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Thunder | 63% | 105 | 111 |
| 29 | Timberwolves | 37% | 101 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Pistons | 23% | 89 | 74 |
| 14 | Hornets | 77% | 99 | 93 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Warriors | 18% | 98 | 94 |
| 3 | Spurs | 82% | 110 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Grizzlies | 35% | 104 | 104 |
| 10 | Suns | 65% | 109 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Heat | 56% | 96 | 111 |
| 9 | Jazz | 44% | 94 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Wizards | 44% | 97 | 91 |
| 30 | Kings | 56% | 99 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Lakers | 68% | 104 | 87 |
| 24 | Clippers | 32% | 98 | 86 |
Tuesday, December 7, 2010
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Nets | 34% | 89 | 101 | |
| 17 | Hawks | 66% | 95 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Nuggets | 59% | 100 | 98 |
| 21 | Bobcats | 41% | 97 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Cavaliers | 35% | 97 | 97 |
| 19 | 76ers | 65% | 102 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Warriors | 24% | 96 | 100 |
| 4 | Mavericks | 76% | 105 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Pistons | 31% | 97 | 83 |
| 16 | Rockets | 69% | 104 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Suns | 37% | 100 | 99 |
| 8 | Trail Blazers | 63% | 105 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Wizards | 14% | 92 | 108 |
| 2 | Lakers | 86% | 107 | 115 |
Monday, December 6, 2010
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Raptors | 30% | 98 | 100 |
| 16 | Pacers | 70% | 105 | 124 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Hawks | 30% | 91 | 80 |
| 6 | Magic | 70% | 98 | 74 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Timberwolves | 25% | 103 | 114 |
| 10 | Knicks | 75% | 112 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Thunder | 38% | 95 | 90 |
| 13 | Bulls | 62% | 99 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Heat | 67% | 94 | 88 |
| 18 | Bucks | 33% | 89 | 78 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Grizzlies | 24% | 94 | 85 |
| 9 | Jazz | 76% | 104 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Kings | 40% | 97 | 91 |
| 24 | Clippers | 60% | 101 | 98 |
Sunday, December 5, 2010
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Celtics | 70% | 96 | 100 |
| 24 | Nets | 30% | 89 | 75 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Knicks | 51% | 109 | 116 |
| 22 | Raptors | 49% | 108 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Cavaliers | 39% | 96 | 92 |
| 25 | Pistons | 61% | 100 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Warriors | 32% | 98 | 109 |
| 11 | Thunder | 68% | 105 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Hornets | 29% | 94 | 84 | |
| 3 | Spurs | 71% | 101 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Grizzlies | 27% | 101 | 107 |
| 6 | Nuggets | 73% | 109 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Wizards | 24% | 100 | 108 |
| 10 | Suns | 76% | 109 | 125 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Clippers | 23% | 92 | 91 |
| 9 | Trail Blazers | 77% | 102 | 100 |
Saturday, December 4, 2010
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Hawks | 19% | 90 | 77 |
| 1 | Heat | 81% | 101 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Bobcats | 45% | 93 | 91 |
| 24 | 76ers | 55% | 95 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Rockets | 37% | 97 | 116 |
| 14 | Bulls | 63% | 102 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Cavaliers | 60% | 105 | 95 |
| 29 | Timberwolves | 40% | 101 | 129 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Magic | 58% | 93 | 85 |
| 20 | Bucks | 42% | 91 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Mavericks | 74% | 98 | 105 |
| 30 | Kings | 26% | 90 | 103 |
Friday, December 3, 2010
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Nets | 34% | 87 | 84 | |
| 18 | Bobcats | 66% | 93 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Thunder | 49% | 100 | 99 |
| 23 | Raptors | 51% | 101 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Trail Blazers | 69% | 100 | 79 |
| 28 | Wizards | 31% | 93 | 83 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | 76ers | 38% | 96 | 88 |
| 15 | Hawks | 62% | 100 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Magic | 76% | 100 | 104 |
| 25 | Pistons | 24% | 90 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Bulls | 30% | 90 | 92 |
| 5 | Celtics | 70% | 97 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Rockets | 47% | 102 | 127 |
| 21 | Grizzlies | 53% | 103 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Knicks | 36% | 99 | 100 |
| 10 | Hornets | 64% | 104 | 92 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Timberwolves | 13% | 96 | 101 |
| 4 | Spurs | 87% | 111 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Clippers | 20% | 98 | 104 |
| 6 | Nuggets | 80% | 109 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Pacers | 40% | 103 | 97 |
| 11 | Suns | 60% | 106 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Mavericks | 44% | 94 | 93 |
| 9 | Jazz | 56% | 96 | 81 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Kings | 12% | 91 | 80 |
| 1 | Lakers | 88% | 107 | 113 |
Thursday, December 2, 2010
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Heat | 65% | 99 | 118 |
| 22 | Cavaliers | 35% | 94 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Suns | 53% | 110 | 107 |
| 21 | Warriors | 47% | 109 | 101 |
Wednesday, December 1, 2010
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Grizzlies | 35% | 96 | 109 |
| 15 | Hawks | 65% | 101 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Thunder | 60% | 94 | 123 |
| 28 | Nets | 40% | 91 | 120 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Wizards | 36% | 100 | 108 |
| 22 | Raptors | 64% | 105 | 127 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Trail Blazers | 34% | 90 | 95 |
| 6 | Celtics | 66% | 96 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Pistons | 11% | 88 | 72 |
| 2 | Heat | 89% | 104 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Magic | 49% | 94 | 107 |
| 10 | Bulls | 51% | 95 | 78 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Bobcats | 34% | 90 | 73 |
| 12 | Hornets | 66% | 96 | 89 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Timberwolves | 17% | 94 | 86 |
| 5 | Mavericks | 83% | 107 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lakers | 61% | 106 | 99 |
| 17 | Rockets | 39% | 102 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Bucks | 28% | 95 | 94 |
| 8 | Nuggets | 72% | 103 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Pacers | 31% | 94 | 88 |
| 9 | Jazz | 69% | 101 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Spurs | 69% | 105 | 85 |
| 26 | Clippers | 31% | 98 | 90 |
Tuesday, November 30, 2010
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Celtics | 67% | 98 | 106 |
| 20 | Cavaliers | 33% | 93 | 87 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Pistons | 18% | 90 | 79 |
| 3 | Magic | 82% | 102 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Trail Blazers | 61% | 100 | 79 |
| 22 | 76ers | 39% | 96 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Nets | 30% | 98 | 100 | |
| 13 | Knicks | 70% | 105 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lakers | 68% | 106 | 96 |
| 19 | Grizzlies | 32% | 100 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Pacers | 62% | 98 | 107 |
| 30 | Kings | 38% | 94 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Spurs | 67% | 106 | 118 |
| 21 | Warriors | 33% | 100 | 98 |
Monday, November 29, 2010
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Wizards | 12% | 90 | 94 |
| 2 | Heat | 88% | 105 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Hornets | 41% | 95 | 89 | |
| 11 | Thunder | 59% | 98 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Rockets | 22% | 94 | 91 |
| 5 | Mavericks | 78% | 105 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Bucks | 34% | 91 | 88 |
| 9 | Jazz | 66% | 96 | 109 |