Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Friday, November 3, 2017
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 17 | Bucks | 44% | 107 | 96 |
 | 21 | Pistons | 56% | 109 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 26 | Bulls | 105 | ||
 | 20 | Magic | 83 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 24 | Knicks | 120 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 9 | Pelicans | 60% | 111 | 99 |
 | 23 | Mavericks | 40% | 107 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 16 | Hornets | 101 | ||
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 19 | Heat | 40% | 110 | 94 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 8 | Raptors | 109 | ||
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 12 | Celtics | 34% | 102 | 101 |
 | 5 | Thunder | 66% | 108 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 25 | Nets | 112 | ||
 | 27 | Lakers | 124 | ||
Thursday, November 2, 2017
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 3 | Spurs | 28% | 105 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Lakers | 110 | ||
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Wednesday, November 1, 2017
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Bucks | 37% | 104 | 121 |
| 14 | Hornets | 63% | 109 | 126 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Pacers | 124 | ||
| 4 | Cavaliers | 107 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Hawks | 26% | 104 | 109 |
| 19 | 76ers | 74% | 112 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Suns | 122 | ||
| 8 | Wizards | 116 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 11 | Celtics | 85% | 109 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Bulls | 91 | ||
| 16 | Heat | 97 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Rockets | 59% | 112 | 119 |
| 24 | Knicks | 41% | 109 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Magic | 101 | ||
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 10 | Timberwolves | 43% | 114 | 104 |
| 9 | Pelicans | 57% | 116 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Raptors | 111 | ||
| 15 | Nuggets | 129 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Trail Blazers | 40% | 99 | 103 |
| 12 | Jazz | 60% | 103 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Mavericks | 98 | ||
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Tuesday, October 31, 2017
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Kings | 36% | 106 | 83 |
| 23 | Pacers | 64% | 111 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Suns | 122 | ||
| 25 | Nets | 114 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Thunder | 53% | 108 | 110 |
| 14 | Bucks | 47% | 107 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Pistons | 93 | ||
| 28 | Lakers | 113 | ||
Monday, October 30, 2017
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Spurs | 94 | ||
| 12 | Celtics | 108 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Timberwolves | 51% | 113 | 125 |
| 18 | Heat | 49% | 112 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Nuggets | 110 | ||
| 23 | Knicks | 116 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | 76ers | 33% | 105 | 115 |
| 2 | Rockets | 67% | 111 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Hornets | 104 | ||
| 11 | Grizzlies | 99 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Magic | 29% | 111 | 115 |
| 9 | Pelicans | 71% | 118 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Mavericks | 89 | ||
| 13 | Jazz | 104 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Raptors | 44% | 111 | 99 |
| 15 | Trail Blazers | 56% | 113 | 85 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Warriors | 141 | ||
| 4 | Clippers | 113 | ||
Sunday, October 29, 2017
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Bucks | 62% | 108 | 117 |
| 27 | Hawks | 38% | 103 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Spurs | 94 | ||
| 23 | Pacers | 97 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Nuggets | 61% | 116 | 124 |
| 24 | Nets | 39% | 112 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Magic | 113 | ||
| 16 | Hornets | 120 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Wizards | 71% | 113 | 110 |
| 30 | Kings | 29% | 105 | 83 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Knicks | 114 | ||
| 4 | Cavaliers | 95 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Pistons | 10% | 105 | 115 |
| 1 | Warriors | 90% | 123 | 107 |
Saturday, October 28, 2017
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Cavaliers | 55% | 114 | 101 |
| 10 | Pelicans | 45% | 112 | 123 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Celtics | 96 | ||
| 17 | Heat | 90 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Thunder | 63% | 108 | 101 |
| 24 | Bulls | 37% | 103 | 69 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Rockets | 89 | ||
| 16 | Grizzlies | 103 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | 76ers | 52% | 110 | 112 |
| 19 | Mavericks | 48% | 109 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Lakers | 81 | ||
| 12 | Jazz | 96 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Suns | 20% | 107 | 107 |
| 11 | Trail Blazers | 80% | 119 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Pistons | 95 | ||
| 5 | Clippers | 87 | ||
Friday, October 27, 2017
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Rockets | 109 | ||
| 14 | Hornets | 93 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Spurs | 63% | 111 | 87 |
| 22 | Magic | 37% | 106 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Nuggets | 105 | ||
| 28 | Hawks | 100 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Nets | 49% | 115 | 86 |
| 26 | Knicks | 51% | 116 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Thunder | 116 | ||
| 9 | Timberwolves | 119 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Wizards | 14% | 110 | 117 |
| 1 | Warriors | 86% | 125 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Raptors | 101 | ||
| 27 | Lakers | 92 | ||
Thursday, October 26, 2017
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Hawks | 43% | 103 | 86 |
| 25 | Bulls | 57% | 105 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Mavericks | 91 | ||
| 14 | Grizzlies | 96 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Celtics | 41% | 104 | 96 |
| 11 | Bucks | 59% | 107 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Clippers | 104 | ||
| 15 | Trail Blazers | 103 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Pelicans | 64% | 110 | 114 |
| 29 | Kings | 36% | 105 | 106 |
Wednesday, October 25, 2017
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Nuggets | 49% | 110 | 93 |
| 14 | Hornets | 51% | 111 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Timberwolves | 101 | ||
| 23 | Pistons | 122 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Rockets | 53% | 112 | 105 |
| 19 | 76ers | 47% | 111 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Cavaliers | 107 | ||
| 24 | Nets | 112 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Spurs | 56% | 106 | 117 |
| 15 | Heat | 44% | 104 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Pacers | 96 | ||
| 6 | Thunder | 114 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Grizzlies | 59% | 108 | 94 |
| 20 | Mavericks | 41% | 105 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Jazz | 88 | ||
| 29 | Suns | 97 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Raptors | 17% | 109 | 112 |
| 1 | Warriors | 83% | 122 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Wizards | 99 | ||
| 27 | Lakers | 102 | ||
Tuesday, October 24, 2017
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Bulls | 18% | 100 | 112 |
| 4 | Cavaliers | 82% | 113 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Nets | 121 | ||
| 22 | Magic | 125 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Knicks | 33% | 107 | 89 |
| 18 | Celtics | 67% | 113 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Pacers | 130 | ||
| 7 | Timberwolves | 107 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Pelicans | 45% | 110 | 93 |
| 17 | Trail Blazers | 55% | 112 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Jazz | 84 | ||
| 6 | Clippers | 102 | ||
Monday, October 23, 2017
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | 76ers | 45% | 110 | 97 |
| 20 | Pistons | 55% | 112 | 86 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Hawks | 93 | ||
| 15 | Heat | 104 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Grizzlies | 35% | 106 | 98 |
| 2 | Rockets | 65% | 111 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Hornets | 94 | ||
| 12 | Bucks | 103 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Warriors | 82% | 119 | 133 |
| 19 | Mavericks | 18% | 106 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Raptors | 97 | ||
| 3 | Spurs | 101 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Wizards | 47% | 113 | 109 |
| 13 | Nuggets | 53% | 115 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Kings | 115 | ||
| 30 | Suns | 117 | ||
Sunday, October 22, 2017
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Hawks | 104 | ||
| 25 | Nets | 116 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Timberwolves | 40% | 108 | 115 |
| 5 | Thunder | 60% | 112 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Pelicans | 119 | ||
| 26 | Lakers | 112 | ||
Saturday, October 21, 2017
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | 76ers | 27% | 108 | 94 |
| 9 | Raptors | 73% | 117 | 128 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Magic | 114 | ||
| 2 | Cavaliers | 93 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Pacers | 28% | 111 | 108 |
| 17 | Heat | 72% | 119 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Pistons | 111 | ||
| 22 | Knicks | 107 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Spurs | 72% | 107 | 87 |
| 27 | Bulls | 28% | 99 | 77 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Mavericks | 91 | ||
| 3 | Rockets | 107 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Warriors | 69% | 116 | 101 |
| 14 | Grizzlies | 31% | 109 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Trail Blazers | 110 | ||
| 13 | Bucks | 113 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Kings | 23% | 104 | 79 |
| 12 | Nuggets | 77% | 114 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Thunder | 87 | ||
| 11 | Jazz | 96 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Suns | 15% | 114 | 88 |
| 6 | Clippers | 85% | 129 | 130 |
Friday, October 20, 2017
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Hawks | 33% | 105 | 91 |
| 16 | Hornets | 67% | 111 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Trail Blazers | 114 | ||
| 23 | Pacers | 96 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Celtics | 44% | 110 | 102 |
| 20 | 76ers | 56% | 112 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Pistons | 111 | ||
| 7 | Wizards | 115 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Cavaliers | 58% | 113 | 116 |
| 13 | Bucks | 42% | 111 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Magic | 121 | ||
| 24 | Nets | 126 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Jazz | 40% | 104 | 97 |
| 8 | Timberwolves | 60% | 108 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Kings | 93 | ||
| 19 | Mavericks | 88 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Warriors | 68% | 113 | 128 |
| 10 | Pelicans | 32% | 107 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Lakers | 132 | ||
| 28 | Suns | 130 | ||
Thursday, October 19, 2017
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Bulls | 100 | ||
| 11 | Raptors | 117 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Knicks | 20% | 104 | 84 |
| 5 | Thunder | 80% | 116 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Clippers | 108 | ||
| 28 | Lakers | 92 | ||
Wednesday, October 18, 2017
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Hornets | 54% | 106 | 90 |
| 22 | Pistons | 46% | 105 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Nets | 131 | ||
| 23 | Pacers | 140 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Heat | 58% | 108 | 109 |
| 24 | Magic | 42% | 105 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | 76ers | 115 | ||
| 8 | Wizards | 120 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Bucks | 49% | 107 | 108 |
| 14 | Celtics | 51% | 108 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Pelicans | 91 | ||
| 18 | Grizzlies | 103 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Hawks | 38% | 102 | 117 |
| 19 | Mavericks | 62% | 106 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Nuggets | 96 | ||
| 11 | Jazz | 106 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Timberwolves | 49% | 108 | 99 |
| 4 | Spurs | 51% | 109 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Trail Blazers | 124 | ||
| 26 | Suns | 76 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Rockets | 73% | 114 | 105 |
| 27 | Kings | 27% | 105 | 100 |
Tuesday, October 17, 2017
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Celtics | 28% | 106 | 99 |
| 2 | Cavaliers | 72% | 114 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Rockets | 122 | ||
| 1 | Warriors | 121 | ||