Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Tuesday, December 17, 2019
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 27 | Hornets | 38% | 108 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 10 | Lakers | 48% | 108 | 102 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 29 | Knicks | 51% | 116 | 143 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 20 | Nets | 49% | 117 | 108 |
 | 22 | Pelicans | 51% | 118 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 18 | Magic | 39% | 105 | 102 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Monday, December 16, 2019
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 21 | Pistons | 64% | 122 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 8 | Raptors | 83% | 117 | 133 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 7 | Heat | 65% | 115 | 111 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 12 | Mavericks | 31% | 112 | 120 |
 | 2 | Bucks | 69% | 119 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 23 | Bulls | 39% | 106 | 106 |
 | 17 | Thunder | 61% | 110 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 13 | Suns | 58% | 120 | 110 |
Sunday, December 15, 2019
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Magic | 51% | 112 | 130 |
| 22 | Pelicans | 49% | 111 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Hornets | 24% | 105 | 85 |
| 9 | Pacers | 76% | 115 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Lakers | 79% | 121 | 101 |
| 28 | Hawks | 21% | 110 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 19 | Nets | 42% | 110 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Knicks | 21% | 103 | 105 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Kings | 59% | 112 | 100 |
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Saturday, December 14, 2019
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Spurs | 38% | 114 | 121 |
| 13 | Suns | 62% | 118 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Nets | 33% | 109 | 102 |
| 7 | Raptors | 67% | 115 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Clippers | 65% | 114 | 106 |
| 25 | Bulls | 35% | 109 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Wizards | 49% | 121 | 111 |
| 23 | Grizzlies | 51% | 122 | 128 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Heat | 33% | 110 | 122 |
| 5 | Mavericks | 67% | 117 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Cavaliers | 14% | 107 | 108 |
| 2 | Bucks | 86% | 122 | 125 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Pistons | 30% | 114 | 115 |
| 3 | Rockets | 70% | 121 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Thunder | 36% | 105 | 102 |
| 9 | Nuggets | 64% | 110 | 110 |
Friday, December 13, 2019
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Rockets | 66% | 115 | 130 |
| 22 | Magic | 34% | 110 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Pelicans | 28% | 108 | 109 |
| 7 | 76ers | 72% | 116 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Lakers | 52% | 110 | 113 |
| 9 | Heat | 48% | 109 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Pacers | 69% | 118 | 110 |
| 27 | Hawks | 31% | 111 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Hornets | 35% | 109 | 83 |
| 21 | Bulls | 65% | 114 | 73 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bucks | 78% | 120 | 127 |
| 25 | Grizzlies | 22% | 109 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Warriors | 23% | 106 | 106 |
| 12 | Jazz | 77% | 116 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Clippers | 67% | 122 | 124 |
 | 17 | Timberwolves | 33% | 116 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Knicks | 26% | 105 | 103 |
| 15 | Kings | 74% | 115 | 101 |
Thursday, December 12, 2019
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 76ers | 49% | 107 | 115 |
 | 7 | Celtics | 51% | 108 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Cavaliers | 22% | 108 | 117 |
| 19 | Spurs | 78% | 119 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Mavericks | 57% | 117 | 122 |
| 18 | Pistons | 43% | 114 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Trail Blazers | 33% | 110 | 99 |
| 10 | Nuggets | 67% | 116 | 114 |
Wednesday, December 11, 2019
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rockets | 85% | 125 | 116 |
| 30 | Cavaliers | 15% | 110 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Celtics | 51% | 109 | 117 |
| 11 | Pacers | 49% | 108 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Lakers | 66% | 111 | 96 |
| 21 | Magic | 34% | 105 | 87 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Clippers | 53% | 112 | 112 |
| 9 | Raptors | 47% | 111 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Hornets | 25% | 110 | 113 |
| 17 | Nets | 75% | 120 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Hawks | 31% | 112 | 102 |
| 22 | Bulls | 69% | 119 | 136 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Jazz | 44% | 114 | 127 |
| 12 | Timberwolves | 56% | 116 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Grizzlies | 32% | 114 | 115 |
| 13 | Suns | 68% | 121 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Pelicans | 25% | 112 | 112 |
| 6 | Bucks | 75% | 122 | 127 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Thunder | 47% | 109 | 93 |
| 16 | Kings | 53% | 110 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Knicks | 32% | 108 | 124 |
| 26 | Warriors | 68% | 114 | 122 |
Tuesday, December 10, 2019
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Wizards | 57% | 121 | 107 |
| 27 | Hornets | 43% | 119 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Nuggets | 42% | 106 | 92 |
| 4 | 76ers | 58% | 109 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Hawks | 21% | 107 | 121 |
| 8 | Heat | 79% | 119 | 135 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Knicks | 23% | 110 | 87 |
| 15 | Trail Blazers | 77% | 121 | 115 |
Monday, December 9, 2019
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Clippers | 45% | 110 | 110 |
| 11 | Pacers | 55% | 112 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Cavaliers | 13% | 103 | 88 |
| 7 | Celtics | 87% | 119 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Raptors | 66% | 113 | 93 |
| 23 | Bulls | 34% | 107 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Kings | 20% | 110 | 119 |
| 2 | Rockets | 80% | 122 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Magic | 21% | 105 | 101 |
| 1 | Bucks | 79% | 116 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Pistons | 54% | 117 | 105 |
| 24 | Pelicans | 46% | 116 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Timberwolves | 37% | 118 | 109 |
| 14 | Suns | 63% | 122 | 125 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Thunder | 32% | 104 | 104 |
| 12 | Jazz | 68% | 110 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Grizzlies | 46% | 113 | 110 |
| 26 | Warriors | 54% | 115 | 102 |
Sunday, December 8, 2019
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Nuggets | 58% | 114 | 102 |
| 20 | Nets | 42% | 111 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Hawks | 45% | 115 | 122 |
| 27 | Hornets | 55% | 117 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Bulls | 28% | 105 | 105 |
| 9 | Heat | 72% | 114 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Raptors | 56% | 110 | 104 |
| 8 | 76ers | 44% | 108 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Clippers | 70% | 125 | 135 |
| 22 | Wizards | 30% | 117 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Kings | 32% | 110 | 110 |
| 6 | Mavericks | 68% | 117 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Thunder | 45% | 115 | 108 |
| 14 | Trail Blazers | 55% | 117 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Timberwolves | 25% | 111 | 125 |
| 2 | Lakers | 75% | 120 | 142 |
Saturday, December 7, 2019
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Pelicans | 26% | 114 | 84 |
| 6 | Mavericks | 74% | 123 | 130 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Pacers | 70% | 112 | 104 |
| 30 | Knicks | 30% | 105 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Cavaliers | 19% | 103 | 94 |
| 14 | 76ers | 81% | 116 | 141 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Suns | 25% | 116 | 109 |
| 5 | Rockets | 75% | 126 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Grizzlies | 27% | 107 | 112 |
| 11 | Jazz | 73% | 115 | 126 |
Friday, December 6, 2019
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Nets | 59% | 117 | 111 |
| 26 | Hornets | 41% | 114 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Magic | 67% | 113 | 93 |
| 30 | Cavaliers | 33% | 107 | 87 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Pacers | 52% | 112 | 101 |
| 17 | Pistons | 48% | 111 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Nuggets | 40% | 106 | 95 |
| 9 | Celtics | 60% | 110 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Wizards | 22% | 112 | 103 |
| 7 | Heat | 78% | 123 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Warriors | 37% | 110 | 100 |
| 24 | Bulls | 63% | 115 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Timberwolves | 39% | 111 | 127 |
| 11 | Thunder | 61% | 115 | 139 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Clippers | 43% | 115 | 91 |
| 4 | Bucks | 57% | 118 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Kings | 45% | 112 | 104 |
| 19 | Spurs | 55% | 114 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Lakers | 60% | 117 | 136 |
| 14 | Trail Blazers | 40% | 114 | 113 |
Thursday, December 5, 2019
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 76ers | 63% | 121 | 113 |
| 23 | Wizards | 37% | 117 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Nuggets | 78% | 114 | 129 |
| 29 | Knicks | 22% | 103 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Rockets | 39% | 114 | 119 |
| 2 | Raptors | 61% | 118 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Suns | 40% | 118 | 139 |
| 18 | Pelicans | 60% | 121 | 132 |
Wednesday, December 4, 2019
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Warriors | 47% | 113 | 91 |
| 26 | Hornets | 53% | 114 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Bucks | 66% | 118 | 127 |
| 16 | Pistons | 34% | 112 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Suns | 54% | 112 | 114 |
| 23 | Magic | 46% | 111 | 128 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Nets | 59% | 118 | 130 |
| 28 | Hawks | 41% | 115 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Heat | 39% | 106 | 93 |
| 10 | Celtics | 61% | 110 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Grizzlies | 38% | 112 | 99 |
| 24 | Bulls | 62% | 116 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Pacers | 55% | 110 | 107 |
| 15 | Thunder | 45% | 108 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Timberwolves | 33% | 115 | 114 |
| 5 | Mavericks | 67% | 122 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Lakers | 48% | 108 | 121 |
| 12 | Jazz | 52% | 109 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Kings | 44% | 113 | 116 |
| 17 | Trail Blazers | 56% | 115 | 127 |