Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Sunday, September 27, 2020
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 2 | Celtics | 47% | 107 | 113 |
 | 5 | Heat | 53% | 108 | 125 |
Saturday, September 26, 2020
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 3 | Lakers | 67% | 112 | 117 |
Friday, September 25, 2020
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Heat | 32% | 104 | 108 |
| 2 | Celtics | 68% | 111 | 121 |
Thursday, September 24, 2020
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Lakers | 47% | 107 | 114 |
| 8 | Nuggets | 53% | 108 | 108 |
Wednesday, September 23, 2020
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Celtics | 46% | 107 | 109 |
| 5 | Heat | 54% | 109 | 112 |
Tuesday, September 22, 2020
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Lakers | 47% | 107 | 106 |
| 9 | Nuggets | 53% | 108 | 114 |
Sunday, September 20, 2020
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Nuggets | 34% | 105 | 103 |
| 5 | Lakers | 66% | 111 | 105 |
Saturday, September 19, 2020
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Celtics | 42% | 106 | 117 |
| 4 | Heat | 58% | 109 | 106 |
Friday, September 18, 2020
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Nuggets | 37% | 105 | 114 |
| 5 | Lakers | 63% | 110 | 126 |
Thursday, September 17, 2020
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Heat | 33% | 104 | 106 |
| 2 | Celtics | 67% | 110 | 101 |
Tuesday, September 15, 2020
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Heat | 30% | 103 | 117 |
| 2 | Celtics | 70% | 111 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Nuggets | 26% | 106 | 104 |
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Sunday, September 13, 2020
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Clippers | 55% | 112 | 98 |
| 9 | Nuggets | 45% | 110 | 111 |
Saturday, September 12, 2020
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 4 | Lakers | 65% | 113 | 119 |
Friday, September 11, 2020
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Nuggets | 25% | 106 | 111 |
| 1 | Clippers | 75% | 116 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Celtics | 44% | 104 | 92 |
 | 3 | Raptors | 56% | 106 | 87 |
Thursday, September 10, 2020
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Lakers | 41% | 108 | 110 |
| 7 | Rockets | 59% | 112 | 100 |
Wednesday, September 9, 2020
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Raptors | 37% | 103 | 125 |
| 2 | Celtics | 63% | 107 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Clippers | 54% | 112 | 96 |
| 9 | Nuggets | 46% | 111 | 85 |
Tuesday, September 8, 2020
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Heat | 40% | 108 | 103 |
 | 6 | Bucks | 60% | 111 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Lakers | 37% | 107 | 112 |
| 5 | Rockets | 63% | 112 | 102 |
Monday, September 7, 2020
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Celtics | 37% | 102 | 111 |
| 2 | Raptors | 63% | 107 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Clippers | 54% | 113 | 113 |
| 9 | Nuggets | 46% | 111 | 107 |
Sunday, September 6, 2020
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Bucks | 45% | 109 | 118 |
| 5 | Heat | 55% | 111 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Rockets | 37% | 107 | 109 |
| 6 | Lakers | 63% | 112 | 117 |
Saturday, September 5, 2020
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Raptors | 41% | 103 | 100 |
| 4 | Celtics | 59% | 107 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Nuggets | 23% | 107 | 110 |
| 1 | Clippers | 77% | 118 | 101 |
Friday, September 4, 2020
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Bucks | 49% | 110 | 100 |
| 6 | Heat | 51% | 111 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Rockets | 37% | 107 | 112 |
| 5 | Lakers | 63% | 112 | 97 |
Thursday, September 3, 2020
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Raptors | 36% | 103 | 104 |
| 3 | Celtics | 64% | 108 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Nuggets | 23% | 108 | 97 |
| 1 | Clippers | 77% | 118 | 120 |
Wednesday, September 2, 2020
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Heat | 31% | 107 | 116 |
| 2 | Bucks | 69% | 114 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 10 | Thunder | 35% | 107 | 102 |
| 8 | Rockets | 65% | 113 | 104 |
Tuesday, September 1, 2020
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Celtics | 39% | 104 | 102 |
| 3 | Raptors | 61% | 108 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 9 | Nuggets | 56% | 113 | 80 |
Monday, August 31, 2020
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Heat | 29% | 106 | 115 |
| 2 | Bucks | 71% | 114 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Rockets | 46% | 110 | 100 |
| 11 | Thunder | 54% | 111 | 104 |
Sunday, August 30, 2020
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Celtics | 43% | 105 | 112 |
| 5 | Raptors | 57% | 108 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Clippers | 55% | 117 | 111 |
 | 12 | Mavericks | 45% | 115 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Nuggets | 33% | 107 | 119 |
| 6 | Jazz | 67% | 114 | 107 |
Saturday, August 29, 2020
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 16 | Magic | 17% | 103 | 104 |
| 1 | Bucks | 83% | 116 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Thunder | 40% | 110 | 80 |
| 7 | Rockets | 60% | 114 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 9 | Lakers | 79% | 114 | 131 |
Tuesday, August 25, 2020
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Jazz | 44% | 110 | 107 |
| 12 | Nuggets | 56% | 112 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Mavericks | 27% | 111 | 111 |
| 2 | Clippers | 73% | 120 | 154 |
Monday, August 24, 2020
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Bucks | 66% | 112 | 121 |
| 16 | Magic | 34% | 106 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Rockets | 37% | 109 | 114 |
| 7 | Thunder | 63% | 114 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 6 | Heat | 69% | 110 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Lakers | 49% | 111 | 135 |
| 12 | Trail Blazers | 51% | 112 | 115 |
Sunday, August 23, 2020
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Celtics | 51% | 109 | 110 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Clippers | 45% | 114 | 133 |
| 6 | Mavericks | 55% | 116 | 135 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Raptors | 65% | 109 | 150 |
 | 19 | Nets | 35% | 104 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Nuggets | 34% | 107 | 127 |
| 10 | Jazz | 66% | 113 | 129 |
Saturday, August 22, 2020
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bucks | 64% | 112 | 121 |
| 16 | Magic | 36% | 107 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Pacers | 31% | 103 | 115 |
| 6 | Heat | 69% | 110 | 124 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Rockets | 41% | 110 | 107 |
| 9 | Thunder | 59% | 114 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Lakers | 46% | 110 | 116 |
| 12 | Trail Blazers | 54% | 112 | 108 |
Friday, August 21, 2020
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Raptors | 60% | 109 | 117 |
| 18 | Nets | 40% | 105 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Nuggets | 39% | 109 | 87 |
| 10 | Jazz | 61% | 113 | 124 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Celtics | 49% | 108 | 102 |
| 11 | 76ers | 51% | 109 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Clippers | 41% | 113 | 130 |
| 5 | Mavericks | 59% | 116 | 122 |
Thursday, August 20, 2020
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Heat | 51% | 107 | 109 |
| 15 | Pacers | 49% | 106 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Thunder | 38% | 109 | 98 |
| 9 | Rockets | 62% | 114 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Magic | 19% | 104 | 96 |
| 1 | Bucks | 81% | 116 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Trail Blazers | 36% | 110 | 88 |
| 3 | Lakers | 64% | 115 | 111 |
Wednesday, August 19, 2020
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Nets | 21% | 102 | 99 |
| 4 | Raptors | 79% | 113 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Jazz | 36% | 106 | 124 |
| 12 | Nuggets | 64% | 111 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 76ers | 29% | 103 | 101 |
| 2 | Celtics | 71% | 111 | 128 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Mavericks | 34% | 111 | 127 |
| 3 | Clippers | 66% | 117 | 114 |
Tuesday, August 18, 2020
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Magic | 20% | 103 | 122 |
| 5 | Bucks | 80% | 115 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Heat | 45% | 105 | 113 |
| 14 | Pacers | 55% | 106 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Thunder | 34% | 105 | 108 |
| 11 | Rockets | 66% | 111 | 123 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Trail Blazers | 43% | 112 | 100 |
| 8 | Lakers | 57% | 115 | 93 |
Monday, August 17, 2020
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Jazz | 36% | 106 | 125 |
| 13 | Nuggets | 64% | 111 | 135 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Nets | 23% | 102 | 110 |
| 4 | Raptors | 77% | 112 | 134 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 76ers | 30% | 104 | 101 |
| 2 | Celtics | 70% | 111 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Mavericks | 39% | 112 | 110 |
| 5 | Clippers | 61% | 116 | 118 |