Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Monday, April 22, 2024
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | 76ers | 101 | |||
4 | Knicks | 104 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
18 | Magic | 86 | |||
13 | Cavaliers | 96 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
12 | Lakers | 99 | |||
2 | Nuggets | 101 |
Sunday, April 21, 2024
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
16 | Heat | 94 | |||
1 | Celtics | 114 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
17 | Pacers | 94 | |||
8 | Bucks | 109 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 | Pelicans | 92 | |||
11 | Thunder | 94 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
12 | Mavericks | 97 | |||
20 | Clippers | 109 |
Saturday, April 20, 2024
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | 76ers | 104 | |||
3 | Knicks | 111 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
18 | Magic | 83 | |||
12 | Cavaliers | 97 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
10 | Lakers | 103 | |||
4 | Nuggets | 114 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | Suns | 95 | |||
2 | Timberwolves | 120 |
Friday, April 19, 2024
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
19 | Bulls | 91 | |||
16 | Heat | 112 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
14 | Kings | 98 | |||
7 | Pelicans | 105 |
Wednesday, April 17, 2024
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
16 | Heat | 104 | |||
6 | 76ers | 105 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
21 | Hawks | 116 | |||
19 | Bulls | 131 |
Tuesday, April 16, 2024
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
13 | Lakers | 110 | |||
6 | Pelicans | 106 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
9 | Warriors | 94 | |||
14 | Kings | 118 |
Sunday, April 14, 2024
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
30 | Wizards | 122 | |||
1 | Celtics | 132 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
27 | Hornets | 16% | 99 | 120 | |
11 | Cavaliers | 84% | 114 | 110 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
21 | Hawks | 115 | |||
17 | Pacers | 157 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
26 | Raptors | 15% | 101 | 103 | |
16 | Heat | 85% | 116 | 118 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
20 | Bulls | 119 | |||
3 | Knicks | 120 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
12 | Bucks | 42% | 108 | 88 | |
18 | Magic | 58% | 111 | 113 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
23 | Nets | 86 | |||
6 | 76ers | 107 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | Nuggets | 80% | 114 | 126 | |
22 | Grizzlies | 20% | 101 | 111 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
9 | Suns | 125 | |||
2 | Timberwolves | 106 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
15 | Lakers | 38% | 112 | 124 | |
5 | Pelicans | 62% | 116 | 108 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
10 | Mavericks | 86 | |||
8 | Thunder | 135 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
29 | Pistons | 39% | 110 | 95 | |
24 | Spurs | 61% | 114 | 123 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
25 | Jazz | 116 | |||
7 | Warriors | 123 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
14 | Rockets | 59% | 113 | 116 | |
19 | Clippers | 41% | 109 | 105 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
28 | Trail Blazers | 82 | |||
13 | Kings | 121 |
Friday, April 12, 2024
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
19 | Magic | 37% | 107 | 113 | |
10 | 76ers | 63% | 112 | 125 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
20 | Bulls | 129 | |||
29 | Wizards | 127 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
26 | Hornets | 14% | 102 | 98 | |
1 | Celtics | 86% | 118 | 131 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
18 | Pacers | 120 | |||
12 | Cavaliers | 129 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
23 | Nets | 27% | 107 | 107 | |
3 | Knicks | 73% | 116 | 111 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
27 | Raptors | 103 | |||
16 | Heat | 125 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
17 | Lakers | 72% | 114 | 123 | |
22 | Grizzlies | 28% | 106 | 120 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
21 | Hawks | 106 | |||
2 | Timberwolves | 109 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
11 | Bucks | 30% | 108 | 107 | |
7 | Thunder | 70% | 116 | 125 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | Nuggets | 120 | |||
24 | Spurs | 121 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
30 | Pistons | 21% | 105 | 107 | |
4 | Mavericks | 79% | 117 | 89 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | Pelicans | 114 | |||
8 | Warriors | 109 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
13 | Rockets | 66% | 111 | 116 | |
28 | Trail Blazers | 34% | 105 | 107 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
25 | Jazz | 110 | |||
15 | Clippers | 109 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
9 | Suns | 55% | 115 | 108 | |
14 | Kings | 45% | 113 | 107 |
Thursday, April 11, 2024
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
20 | Bulls | 127 | |||
30 | Pistons | 105 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | Knicks | 28% | 107 | 118 | |
1 | Celtics | 72% | 116 | 109 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
14 | Rockets | 121 | |||
27 | Jazz | 124 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | Warriors | 80% | 119 | 100 | |
28 | Trail Blazers | 20% | 106 | 92 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
8 | Pelicans | 135 | |||
13 | Kings | 123 |
Wednesday, April 10, 2024
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
22 | Grizzlies | 98 | |||
12 | Cavaliers | 110 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
25 | Hornets | 24% | 109 | 115 | |
20 | Hawks | 76% | 119 | 114 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
26 | Raptors | 102 | |||
23 | Nets | 106 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | Mavericks | 43% | 110 | 111 | |
14 | Heat | 57% | 112 | 92 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
19 | Magic | 99 | |||
11 | Bucks | 117 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
24 | Spurs | 16% | 107 | 89 | |
6 | Thunder | 84% | 122 | 127 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | Timberwolves | 107 | |||
4 | Nuggets | 116 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
9 | Suns | 66% | 116 | 124 | |
13 | Clippers | 34% | 110 | 108 |
Tuesday, April 9, 2024
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | Mavericks | 130 | |||
26 | Hornets | 104 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
30 | Pistons | 15% | 104 | 102 | |
9 | 76ers | 85% | 119 | 120 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
17 | Pacers | 140 | |||
25 | Raptors | 123 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
14 | Heat | 59% | 113 | 117 | |
20 | Hawks | 41% | 109 | 111 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Celtics | 91 | |||
12 | Bucks | 104 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | Knicks | 60% | 110 | 128 | |
21 | Bulls | 40% | 106 | 117 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
19 | Magic | 106 | |||
16 | Rockets | 118 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
24 | Spurs | 57% | 109 | 102 | |
22 | Grizzlies | 43% | 107 | 87 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
29 | Wizards | 121 | |||
2 | Timberwolves | 130 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
18 | Kings | 35% | 111 | 105 | |
7 | Thunder | 65% | 117 | 112 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | Nuggets | 111 | |||
27 | Jazz | 95 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
10 | Warriors | 51% | 116 | 134 | |
15 | Lakers | 49% | 115 | 120 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
13 | Clippers | 105 | |||
5 | Suns | 92 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
8 | Pelicans | 81% | 115 | 110 | |
28 | Trail Blazers | 19% | 102 | 100 |