Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Sunday, March 26, 2006
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 18 | Bulls | 40% | 94 | 101 |
 | 12 | Celtics | 60% | 97 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 29 | Knicks | 27% | 88 | 94 |
 | 22 | Timberwolves | 73% | 96 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Nets | 28% | 85 | 79 | |
 | 2 | Pistons | 72% | 93 | 74 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 16 | Raptors | 40% | 98 | 116 |
 | 15 | Bucks | 60% | 101 | 125 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 28 | Bobcats | 19% | 85 | 95 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 23 | Magic | 70% | 97 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 19 | SuperSonics | 32% | 93 | 106 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Hornets | 31% | 90 | 94 | |
 | 9 | Lakers | 69% | 96 | 105 |
Saturday, March 25, 2006
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 8 | Clippers | 63% | 101 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 7 | Mavericks | 66% | 97 | 98 |
| 27 | Hawks | 34% | 92 | 83 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Kings | 57% | 95 | 91 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Friday, March 24, 2006
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Timberwolves | 37% | 93 | 77 |
| 16 | Raptors | 63% | 97 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Magic | 39% | 91 | 102 |
| 22 | 76ers | 61% | 95 | 86 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Pistons | 57% | 90 | 75 |
| 11 | Pacers | 43% | 87 | 72 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Grizzlies | 67% | 95 | 91 |
| 29 | Knicks | 33% | 89 | 75 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Bobcats | 20% | 93 | 93 |
 | 4 | Heat | 80% | 104 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Celtics | 39% | 94 | 82 |
| 14 | Cavaliers | 61% | 97 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Hornets | 32% | 89 | 82 | |
| 19 | Bulls | 68% | 95 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | SuperSonics | 31% | 98 | 104 | |
| 10 | Nuggets | 69% | 104 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spurs | 87% | 96 | 98 |
| 30 | Trail Blazers | 13% | 82 | 79 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Bucks | 37% | 94 | 96 |
| 12 | Lakers | 63% | 98 | 101 |
Thursday, March 23, 2006
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Timberwolves | 31% | 85 | 82 |
| 9 | Nets | 69% | 92 | 86 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Clippers | 39% | 90 | 85 |
| 7 | Grizzlies | 61% | 93 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Rockets | 40% | 86 | 93 |
| 23 | Hornets | 60% | 89 | 92 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Warriors | 24% | 90 | 122 |
| 6 | Mavericks | 76% | 99 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Wizards | 47% | 96 | 109 |
| 20 | Jazz | 53% | 97 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Trail Blazers | 9% | 92 | 108 |
| 2 | Suns | 91% | 109 | 125 |
Wednesday, March 22, 2006
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Hawks | 39% | 95 | 106 |
| 23 | 76ers | 61% | 99 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Knicks | 32% | 91 | 87 |
| 24 | Magic | 68% | 97 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Bobcats | 26% | 91 | 118 |
| 13 | Cavaliers | 74% | 99 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Bulls | 38% | 89 | 85 |
| 11 | Pacers | 62% | 93 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Raptors | 30% | 97 | 96 |
| 12 | Celtics | 70% | 104 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Heat | 29% | 89 | 73 |
| 3 | Pistons | 71% | 96 | 82 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spurs | 55% | 94 | 92 |
| 15 | Nuggets | 45% | 92 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Bucks | 48% | 99 | 105 |
| 18 | SuperSonics | 52% | 100 | 114 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Kings | 44% | 96 | 80 |
| 10 | Lakers | 56% | 98 | 87 |
Tuesday, March 21, 2006
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Nets | 44% | 95 | 112 | |
| 14 | Wizards | 56% | 97 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Raptors | 56% | 102 | 114 |
| 29 | Knicks | 44% | 100 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Magic | 47% | 92 | 102 |
| 28 | Bobcats | 53% | 93 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Pacers | 38% | 86 | 75 |
| 8 | Grizzlies | 62% | 90 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Clippers | 51% | 93 | 108 |
| 23 | Hornets | 49% | 92 | 120 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Rockets | 19% | 83 | 72 |
| 6 | Mavericks | 81% | 94 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Heat | 62% | 94 | 96 |
| 22 | Timberwolves | 38% | 90 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Warriors | 17% | 87 | 96 |
| 2 | Spurs | 83% | 99 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Suns | 62% | 102 | 99 |
| 19 | Jazz | 38% | 98 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | SuperSonics | 24% | 97 | 96 | |
| 5 | Kings | 76% | 106 | 105 |
Monday, March 20, 2006
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Lakers | 39% | 95 | 105 |
| 12 | Celtics | 61% | 98 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Hawks | 12% | 86 | 84 |
| 1 | Pistons | 88% | 101 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Clippers | 56% | 91 | 99 |
| 24 | Rockets | 44% | 89 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Bucks | 63% | 93 | 100 |
| 30 | Trail Blazers | 37% | 89 | 93 |
Sunday, March 19, 2006
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Mavericks | 49% | 90 | 89 |
| 10 | Nets | 51% | 91 | 100 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Bulls | 31% | 94 | 104 |
| 11 | Wizards | 69% | 100 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Lakers | 41% | 94 | 95 |
| 14 | Cavaliers | 59% | 96 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Celtics | 35% | 91 | 103 |
| 8 | Pacers | 65% | 96 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Magic | 45% | 93 | 107 |
| 27 | Hawks | 55% | 94 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Kings | 61% | 95 | 89 |
| 21 | Timberwolves | 39% | 92 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Jazz | 31% | 85 | 84 |
| 9 | Grizzlies | 69% | 91 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | 76ers | 46% | 96 | 89 |
| 26 | Warriors | 54% | 98 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Heat | 67% | 101 | 111 |
| 29 | Knicks | 33% | 95 | 100 |
Saturday, March 18, 2006
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Heat | 59% | 97 | 85 |
| 19 | Bulls | 41% | 94 | 84 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Pistons | 66% | 95 | 108 |
| 27 | Bobcats | 34% | 90 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Nuggets | 44% | 92 | 109 |
| 21 | Hornets | 56% | 94 | 94 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Trail Blazers | 20% | 86 | 93 |
| 16 | Bucks | 80% | 97 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spurs | 65% | 89 | 92 |
| 24 | Rockets | 35% | 84 | 77 |
Friday, March 17, 2006
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Bucks | 42% | 98 | 96 |
| 16 | Raptors | 58% | 101 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Mavericks | 51% | 97 | 104 |
| 10 | Wizards | 49% | 96 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Jazz | 48% | 93 | 111 |
| 28 | Hawks | 52% | 94 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Celtics | 48% | 93 | 77 |
| 25 | Magic | 52% | 94 | 84 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Kings | 49% | 94 | 93 |
| 9 | Pacers | 51% | 95 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Lakers | 40% | 91 | 89 |
| 11 | Nets | 60% | 95 | 92 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Pistons | 78% | 98 | 103 |
| 29 | Knicks | 22% | 88 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Trail Blazers | 19% | 85 | 84 |
| 15 | Cavaliers | 81% | 96 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Nuggets | 43% | 89 | 102 |
| 14 | Grizzlies | 57% | 91 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Suns | 34% | 95 | 102 |
| 1 | Spurs | 66% | 100 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | 76ers | 25% | 91 | 89 |
| 7 | Clippers | 75% | 100 | 99 |
Thursday, March 16, 2006
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Celtics | 26% | 93 | 104 |
| 5 | Heat | 74% | 102 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Timberwolves | 36% | 91 | 97 |
| 20 | Warriors | 64% | 96 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | 76ers | 39% | 99 | 98 |
| 16 | SuperSonics | 61% | 103 | 102 | |
Wednesday, March 15, 2006
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Pistons | 66% | 98 | 105 |
| 15 | Raptors | 34% | 93 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Bobcats | 27% | 96 | 99 |
| 11 | Wizards | 73% | 104 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Jazz | 40% | 87 | 108 |
| 26 | Magic | 60% | 90 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Nuggets | 39% | 93 | 101 |
| 9 | Pacers | 61% | 96 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Trail Blazers | 14% | 82 | 65 |
| 10 | Nets | 86% | 95 | 78 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Hawks | 44% | 97 | 117 |
| 28 | Knicks | 56% | 99 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Bulls | 36% | 92 | 88 |
| 18 | Bucks | 64% | 97 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Mavericks | 55% | 89 | 95 |
| 23 | Rockets | 45% | 87 | 81 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Clippers | 35% | 100 | 95 |
| 3 | Suns | 65% | 105 | 126 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Timberwolves | 36% | 91 | 89 |
| 8 | Lakers | 64% | 95 | 92 |
Tuesday, March 14, 2006
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Raptors | 42% | 99 | 111 |
| 19 | 76ers | 58% | 101 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Wizards | 56% | 99 | 119 |
| 28 | Bobcats | 44% | 97 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Jazz | 22% | 89 | 83 |
| 3 | Heat | 78% | 99 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Celtics | 39% | 89 | 76 |
| 15 | Grizzlies | 61% | 92 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Trail Blazers | 23% | 87 | 66 |
| 18 | Bulls | 77% | 96 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Cavaliers | 28% | 89 | 87 |
| 4 | Mavericks | 72% | 97 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Hornets | 16% | 82 | 81 | |
| 1 | Spurs | 84% | 94 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Lakers | 33% | 95 | 98 |
| 6 | Kings | 67% | 101 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Suns | 61% | 108 | 129 |
| 17 | SuperSonics | 39% | 105 | 120 | |
Monday, March 13, 2006
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Magic | 27% | 85 | 83 |
| 9 | Pacers | 73% | 93 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Nuggets | 52% | 100 | 108 |
| 29 | Knicks | 48% | 99 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Hawks | 31% | 94 | 87 |
| 18 | Bucks | 69% | 101 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Nets | 47% | 87 | 90 | |
| 22 | Rockets | 53% | 88 | 77 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Timberwolves | 27% | 88 | 87 |
| 7 | Clippers | 73% | 95 | 95 |