Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Friday, March 17, 2006
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 18 | Bucks | 42% | 98 | 96 |
 | 16 | Raptors | 58% | 101 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 6 | Mavericks | 51% | 97 | 104 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 12 | Celtics | 48% | 93 | 77 |
 | 25 | Magic | 52% | 94 | 84 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 13 | Lakers | 40% | 91 | 89 |
| 11 | Nets | 60% | 95 | 92 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 2 | Pistons | 78% | 98 | 103 |
 | 29 | Knicks | 22% | 88 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Thursday, March 16, 2006
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Celtics | 26% | 93 | 104 |
 | 5 | Heat | 74% | 102 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 23 | Timberwolves | 36% | 91 | 97 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | 76ers | 39% | 99 | 98 |
| 16 | SuperSonics | 61% | 103 | 102 | |
Wednesday, March 15, 2006
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Pistons | 66% | 98 | 105 |
| 15 | Raptors | 34% | 93 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 29 | Bobcats | 27% | 96 | 99 |
| 11 | Wizards | 73% | 104 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Jazz | 40% | 87 | 108 |
| 26 | Magic | 60% | 90 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Nuggets | 39% | 93 | 101 |
| 9 | Pacers | 61% | 96 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Trail Blazers | 14% | 82 | 65 |
| 10 | Nets | 86% | 95 | 78 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Hawks | 44% | 97 | 117 |
| 28 | Knicks | 56% | 99 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 20 | Bulls | 36% | 92 | 88 |
| 18 | Bucks | 64% | 97 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Mavericks | 55% | 89 | 95 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Clippers | 35% | 100 | 95 |
| 3 | Suns | 65% | 105 | 126 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Timberwolves | 36% | 91 | 89 |
| 8 | Lakers | 64% | 95 | 92 |
Tuesday, March 14, 2006
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Raptors | 42% | 99 | 111 |
| 19 | 76ers | 58% | 101 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Wizards | 56% | 99 | 119 |
| 28 | Bobcats | 44% | 97 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Jazz | 22% | 89 | 83 |
| 3 | Heat | 78% | 99 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Celtics | 39% | 89 | 76 |
| 15 | Grizzlies | 61% | 92 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Trail Blazers | 23% | 87 | 66 |
| 18 | Bulls | 77% | 96 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Cavaliers | 28% | 89 | 87 |
| 4 | Mavericks | 72% | 97 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Hornets | 16% | 82 | 81 | |
| 1 | Spurs | 84% | 94 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Lakers | 33% | 95 | 98 |
| 6 | Kings | 67% | 101 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Suns | 61% | 108 | 129 |
| 17 | SuperSonics | 39% | 105 | 120 | |
Monday, March 13, 2006
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Magic | 27% | 85 | 83 |
| 9 | Pacers | 73% | 93 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Nuggets | 52% | 100 | 108 |
| 29 | Knicks | 48% | 99 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Hawks | 31% | 94 | 87 |
| 18 | Bucks | 69% | 101 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Nets | 47% | 87 | 90 | |
| 22 | Rockets | 53% | 88 | 77 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Timberwolves | 27% | 88 | 87 |
| 7 | Clippers | 73% | 95 | 95 |
Sunday, March 12, 2006
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Nuggets | 44% | 97 | 101 |
| 14 | Celtics | 56% | 99 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Pacers | 49% | 97 | 89 |
| 15 | Raptors | 51% | 98 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Rockets | 19% | 81 | 81 |
| 1 | Spurs | 81% | 92 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Cavaliers | 27% | 93 | 92 |
| 4 | Heat | 73% | 100 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | SuperSonics | 28% | 97 | 120 | |
| 8 | Lakers | 72% | 105 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | 76ers | 36% | 89 | 94 |
| 11 | Grizzlies | 64% | 93 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Bobcats | 17% | 86 | 78 |
| 2 | Pistons | 83% | 98 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Nets | 51% | 91 | 95 | |
| 24 | Hornets | 49% | 90 | 84 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Mavericks | 38% | 94 | 80 |
| 5 | Kings | 62% | 98 | 85 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Suns | 75% | 102 | 101 |
| 30 | Trail Blazers | 25% | 94 | 111 |
Saturday, March 11, 2006
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pistons | 61% | 96 | 92 |
| 12 | Wizards | 39% | 93 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Bulls | 51% | 96 | 95 |
| 27 | Hawks | 49% | 95 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Warriors | 49% | 93 | 92 |
| 28 | Magic | 51% | 94 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Knicks | 35% | 94 | 109 |
| 24 | Bobcats | 65% | 99 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Clippers | 49% | 95 | 106 |
| 19 | Bucks | 51% | 96 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Mavericks | 65% | 92 | 90 |
| 25 | Jazz | 35% | 88 | 87 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Timberwolves | 18% | 91 | 102 |
| 6 | Suns | 82% | 102 | 110 |
Friday, March 10, 2006
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Nuggets | 39% | 99 | 108 |
| 15 | Raptors | 61% | 103 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Cavaliers | 58% | 93 | 73 |
| 27 | Magic | 42% | 90 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Bucks | 39% | 95 | 92 |
| 14 | Celtics | 61% | 99 | 86 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Warriors | 24% | 95 | 111 |
| 4 | Heat | 76% | 104 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Pacers | 54% | 90 | 92 |
| 26 | Hornets | 46% | 89 | 90 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Clippers | 49% | 94 | 107 |
| 16 | Bulls | 51% | 95 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Lakers | 28% | 88 | 100 |
| 2 | Spurs | 72% | 96 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Grizzlies | 29% | 88 | 93 |
| 5 | Kings | 71% | 95 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Timberwolves | 44% | 94 | 96 |
| 21 | SuperSonics | 56% | 96 | 107 | |
Thursday, March 9, 2006
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Nuggets | 48% | 98 | 97 |
| 17 | 76ers | 52% | 99 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Mavericks | 80% | 95 | 109 |
| 30 | Trail Blazers | 20% | 84 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Spurs | 42% | 96 | 117 |
| 3 | Suns | 58% | 98 | 93 |
Wednesday, March 8, 2006
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Cavaliers | 42% | 97 | 98 |
| 13 | Raptors | 58% | 100 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | 76ers | 43% | 97 | 101 |
| 14 | Celtics | 57% | 99 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Warriors | 45% | 96 | 101 |
| 26 | Bobcats | 55% | 98 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Wizards | 24% | 96 | 112 |
| 5 | Heat | 76% | 105 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Bulls | 17% | 84 | 101 |
| 1 | Pistons | 83% | 96 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Kings | 54% | 97 | 123 |
| 18 | Bucks | 46% | 96 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Lakers | 52% | 94 | 113 |
| 23 | Hornets | 48% | 93 | 107 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Pacers | 43% | 87 | 99 |
| 15 | Rockets | 57% | 89 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Timberwolves | 40% | 85 | 93 |
| 25 | Jazz | 60% | 88 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Grizzlies | 48% | 93 | 99 |
| 21 | SuperSonics | 52% | 94 | 74 | |
Tuesday, March 7, 2006
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Celtics | 38% | 97 | 116 |
| 12 | Wizards | 62% | 101 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Warriors | 56% | 99 | 106 |
| 28 | Hawks | 44% | 97 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Raptors | 37% | 96 | 99 |
| 13 | Cavaliers | 63% | 100 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Knicks | 23% | 89 | 107 |
| 10 | Pacers | 77% | 99 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Rockets | 51% | 88 | 93 |
| 24 | Timberwolves | 49% | 87 | 87 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Nets | 41% | 90 | 87 | |
| 18 | Bulls | 59% | 93 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Trail Blazers | 10% | 81 | 87 |
| 4 | Mavericks | 90% | 98 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Spurs | 49% | 91 | 85 |
| 7 | Clippers | 51% | 92 | 98 |
Monday, March 6, 2006
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Kings | 36% | 92 | 109 |
| 6 | Nets | 64% | 97 | 84 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Heat | 58% | 97 | 106 |
| 25 | Bobcats | 42% | 94 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Suns | 63% | 99 | 101 |
| 24 | Hornets | 37% | 95 | 88 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Grizzlies | 37% | 90 | 101 |
| 16 | Nuggets | 63% | 94 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Magic | 44% | 87 | 85 |
| 26 | Jazz | 56% | 89 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Spurs | 57% | 93 | 103 |
| 8 | Lakers | 43% | 91 | 96 |
Sunday, March 5, 2006
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Celtics | 49% | 102 | 105 |
| 16 | Raptors | 51% | 103 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Pacers | 51% | 95 | 94 |
| 21 | 76ers | 49% | 94 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Kings | 49% | 99 | 107 |
| 14 | Wizards | 51% | 100 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Suns | 41% | 97 | 115 |
| 4 | Mavericks | 59% | 100 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Warriors | 47% | 92 | 90 |
| 23 | Timberwolves | 53% | 93 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Bulls | 43% | 93 | 72 |
| 17 | Cavaliers | 57% | 95 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Trail Blazers | 14% | 82 | 84 |
| 12 | Rockets | 86% | 96 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Grizzlies | 39% | 89 | 102 |
| 6 | Clippers | 61% | 93 | 86 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Jazz | 40% | 95 | 81 |
| 19 | SuperSonics | 60% | 99 | 113 | |
Saturday, March 4, 2006
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Raptors | 30% | 94 | 100 |
| 7 | Nets | 70% | 100 | 105 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Hawks | 20% | 92 | 93 |
| 10 | Heat | 80% | 103 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Knicks | 23% | 93 | 103 |
| 19 | Bucks | 77% | 103 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Trail Blazers | 8% | 78 | 81 |
| 2 | Spurs | 92% | 96 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Magic | 28% | 91 | 94 |
| 16 | Nuggets | 72% | 98 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pistons | 57% | 93 | 94 |
| 9 | Lakers | 43% | 91 | 105 |