Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Sunday, May 14, 2006
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 6 | Heat | 39% | 90 | 102 |
| 7 | Nets | 61% | 93 | 92 | |
Saturday, May 13, 2006
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 3 | Mavericks | 61% | 91 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 1 | Pistons | 54% | 90 | 77 |
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Friday, May 12, 2006
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Suns | 45% | 100 | 94 |
| 8 | Clippers | 55% | 102 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Heat | 40% | 90 | 103 |
| 10 | Nets | 60% | 93 | 92 | |
Wednesday, May 10, 2006
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Clippers | 27% | 97 | 122 |
| 4 | Suns | 73% | 105 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Nets | 33% | 88 | 89 | |
| 6 | Heat | 67% | 94 | 111 |
Tuesday, May 9, 2006
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Cavaliers | 24% | 85 | 91 |
| 4 | Pistons | 76% | 94 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Mavericks | 33% | 86 | 113 |
| 1 | Spurs | 67% | 92 | 91 |
Monday, May 8, 2006
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Clippers | 24% | 95 | 123 |
| 4 | Suns | 76% | 104 | 130 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Nets | 35% | 90 | 100 | |
| 6 | Heat | 65% | 95 | 88 |
Sunday, May 7, 2006
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Mavericks | 30% | 84 | 85 |
| 1 | Spurs | 70% | 91 | 87 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Cavaliers | 23% | 84 | 86 |
| 2 | Pistons | 77% | 94 | 113 |
Saturday, May 6, 2006
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 11 | Lakers | 26% | 97 | 90 |
| 4 | Suns | 74% | 105 | 121 |
Friday, May 5, 2006
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spurs | 43% | 90 | 105 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Cavaliers | 33% | 93 | 114 |
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Thursday, May 4, 2006
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Suns | 46% | 99 | 126 |
| 10 | Lakers | 54% | 100 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Nets | 43% | 86 | 96 | |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Heat | 43% | 93 | 113 |
 | 15 | Bulls | 57% | 95 | 96 |
Wednesday, May 3, 2006
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 17 | Bucks | 20% | 87 | 93 |
| 2 | Pistons | 80% | 98 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Wizards | 35% | 93 | 120 |
| 10 | Cavaliers | 65% | 98 | 121 |
Tuesday, May 2, 2006
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Lakers | 25% | 96 | 97 |
| 4 | Suns | 75% | 105 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Kings | 25% | 86 | 98 |
| 2 | Spurs | 75% | 95 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Pacers | 33% | 85 | 86 |
| 7 | Nets | 67% | 91 | 92 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Bulls | 28% | 90 | 78 |
| 6 | Heat | 72% | 98 | 92 |
Monday, May 1, 2006
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Mavericks | 45% | 86 | 102 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 16 | Clippers | 60% | 95 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Pistons | 59% | 93 | 109 |
| 15 | Bucks | 41% | 91 | 99 |
Sunday, April 30, 2006
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spurs | 49% | 92 | 84 |
| 5 | Kings | 51% | 93 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Heat | 47% | 95 | 87 |
| 13 | Bulls | 53% | 96 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Cavaliers | 35% | 93 | 96 |
| 11 | Wizards | 65% | 98 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Suns | 46% | 101 | 98 |
| 7 | Lakers | 54% | 102 | 99 |
Saturday, April 29, 2006
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Mavericks | 45% | 86 | 94 |
| 11 | Grizzlies | 55% | 88 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Clippers | 44% | 93 | 100 |
| 16 | Nuggets | 56% | 95 | 86 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Nets | 42% | 87 | 97 | |
| 12 | Pacers | 58% | 90 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Pistons | 55% | 92 | 104 |
| 17 | Bucks | 45% | 90 | 124 |
Friday, April 28, 2006
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Suns | 45% | 100 | 92 |
| 6 | Lakers | 55% | 102 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spurs | 48% | 91 | 93 |
| 9 | Kings | 52% | 92 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Cavaliers | 37% | 94 | 97 |
| 8 | Wizards | 63% | 98 | 96 |
Thursday, April 27, 2006
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Heat | 41% | 93 | 90 |
| 14 | Bulls | 59% | 96 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Nets | 37% | 85 | 95 | |
| 12 | Pacers | 63% | 90 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Clippers | 41% | 92 | 87 |
| 17 | Nuggets | 59% | 95 | 94 |
Wednesday, April 26, 2006
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Grizzlies | 33% | 84 | 79 |
| 2 | Mavericks | 67% | 90 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Lakers | 32% | 98 | 99 |
| 4 | Suns | 68% | 104 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Bucks | 24% | 86 | 98 |
| 3 | Pistons | 76% | 95 | 109 |
Tuesday, April 25, 2006
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Kings | 30% | 86 | 119 |
| 3 | Spurs | 70% | 93 | 128 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Wizards | 40% | 94 | 89 |
| 11 | Cavaliers | 60% | 97 | 84 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Pacers | 34% | 83 | 75 |
| 9 | Nets | 66% | 88 | 90 | |
Monday, April 24, 2006
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Nuggets | 38% | 92 | 87 |
| 14 | Clippers | 62% | 96 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Bulls | 35% | 92 | 108 |
| 11 | Heat | 65% | 96 | 115 |
Sunday, April 23, 2006
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Bucks | 28% | 86 | 74 |
| 2 | Pistons | 72% | 93 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Pacers | 48% | 86 | 90 |
| 18 | Nets | 52% | 87 | 88 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Lakers | 33% | 97 | 102 |
| 8 | Suns | 67% | 102 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Grizzlies | 34% | 81 | 93 |
| 4 | Mavericks | 66% | 86 | 103 |
Saturday, April 22, 2006
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Nuggets | 33% | 90 | 87 |
| 15 | Clippers | 67% | 95 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Kings | 30% | 86 | 88 |
| 1 | Spurs | 70% | 93 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Wizards | 39% | 94 | 86 |
| 11 | Cavaliers | 61% | 97 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Bulls | 36% | 91 | 106 |
| 13 | Heat | 64% | 95 | 111 |
Wednesday, April 19, 2006
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 26 | Raptors | 27% | 93 | 106 |
| 12 | Bulls | 73% | 101 | 127 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 18 | Cavaliers | 67% | 98 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 14 | Magic | 30% | 89 | 83 |
| 3 | Pacers | 70% | 95 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Heat | 38% | 88 | 78 |
 | 19 | Celtics | 62% | 92 | 85 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 29 | Knicks | 29% | 88 | 90 |
| 17 | Nets | 71% | 95 | 83 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 24 | Bobcats | 57% | 99 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Wizards | 38% | 91 | 96 |
| 9 | Pistons | 62% | 95 | 80 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Spurs | 62% | 87 | 89 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Grizzlies | 56% | 86 | 102 |
 | 27 | Timberwolves | 44% | 84 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Clippers | 14% | 85 | 85 |
| 1 | Mavericks | 86% | 99 | 71 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Suns | 76% | 103 | 106 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Hornets | 21% | 88 | 95 | |
| 6 | Lakers | 79% | 98 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Nuggets | 47% | 101 | 98 |
| 11 | SuperSonics | 53% | 102 | 109 | |
Tuesday, April 18, 2006
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | SuperSonics | 28% | 97 | 105 | |
| 2 | Kings | 72% | 105 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Clippers | 30% | 85 | 95 |
| 3 | Grizzlies | 70% | 92 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Heat | 49% | 95 | 100 |
| 21 | Hawks | 51% | 96 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Bucks | 30% | 97 | 103 |
| 5 | Wizards | 70% | 104 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Nets | 41% | 92 | 88 | |
| 14 | 76ers | 59% | 95 | 91 |
Monday, April 17, 2006
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Bulls | 39% | 91 | 116 |
| 15 | Magic | 61% | 94 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Cavaliers | 42% | 89 | 93 |
| 19 | Celtics | 58% | 91 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Bobcats | 58% | 99 | 98 |
| 29 | Knicks | 42% | 96 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Pistons | 45% | 91 | 93 |
| 10 | Bucks | 55% | 93 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Jazz | 21% | 85 | 82 |
| 2 | Spurs | 79% | 95 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Rockets | 32% | 87 | 86 |
| 11 | Nuggets | 68% | 93 | 83 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Hornets | 20% | 94 | 78 | |
| 7 | Suns | 80% | 104 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Trail Blazers | 29% | 90 | 79 |
| 25 | Warriors | 71% | 97 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Pacers | 59% | 97 | 120 |
| 22 | Raptors | 41% | 95 | 95 |