Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Tuesday, April 29, 2014
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 12 | Bulls | 69 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 2 | Thunder | 99 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Monday, April 28, 2014
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
%20--%3e%3csvg%20version='1.1'%20id='Layer_2_1_'%20xmlns='http://www.w3.org/2000/svg'%20xmlns:xlink='http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink'%20x='0px'%20y='0px'%20viewBox='0%200%20400%20400'%20style='enable-background:new%200%200%20400%20400;'%20xml:space='preserve'%3e%3cstyle%20type='text/css'%3e%20.st0{fill:%23FFFFFF;}%20.st1{fill:%23E03A3E;}%20%3c/style%3e%3cg%20id='Layer_2_2_'%3e%3cpath%20class='st0'%20d='M312.9,93.7c-28.8-30.8-70.7-48.4-115-48.4c-3.8,0-7.6,0.1-11.3,0.5c-71.5,4.8-106,55.7-109.6,61.3%20c-5.4,6.7-50.7,68-20.3,152.6l0.6,1.8C57.6,262.4,87.2,353,193,353l0,0c5.6,0,11.5-0.3,17.4-0.8c79.1-6.9,137.8-65.3,142.8-141.9%20C356.3,166.2,342,124.8,312.9,93.7'/%3e%3cpath%20class='st1'%20d='M305.4,100.6c-29.7-31.7-73.5-48-118.3-44.9C116,60.5,84.4,113.4,84.4,113.4s56.4,17.1,64.1,19.5%20c5.4,1.6,40.4,10.4,56.3,19c3.3,1.8,6.5,5.5,9.7,8.8c2.4,2.5,4.6,4.9,6.9,6.8c4.2,3.4,8.2,6.3,12.2,9.2%20c9.7,7.1,18.2,13.1,22.2,22.4c3.4,8,3.5,16.4,0.5,24.1c-2.7,6.7-8,12.8-14.4,17c0.7-3.4,1.5-8.3-3.1-11.3%20c-2.1-1.3-12.6-3.8-19.7-4.6c-3.4-0.3-41.5-2.1-94.3,26.4c15.8-21.2,27.2-24.7,27.2-24.7c-0.5-2.5-85.5,31.9-85.5,31.9%20s29.4,94.1,142.8,84.1c73.9-6.5,128.9-60.6,133.7-132.7C345.8,168.2,332.4,129.5,305.4,100.6%20M281.8,233.8%20c10.7-23.6,5.4-49.2-12.8-69.5c-5-5.6-11.3-9.5-17.3-13.1c-3.9-2.4-8-4.9-11.6-7.9c-1.7-1.4-3.1-3.3-4.6-5.2%20c-1.8-2.5-3.9-5.4-6.9-7.4c-16.7-12.2-36.5-16.5-55.9-22.2c-9.2-2.7-18.1-4.7-26.5-7.7c10.5-7.2,23.8-12,38.4-13.3%20c4.6-0.5,9.1-0.7,13.7-0.7c43.1,0,80.5,21.6,100.5,58c19.9,36.3,18.7,80.4-3.4,115.2c-22.7,35.7-62.9,54.6-108.4,50.8%20c-27.2-2.2-56.3-16.6-65.2-32c5.5-3.4,55.2-29.7,89.3-19.1c9.7,0-5.8,23.7-5.8,23.7S261.6,278.4,281.8,233.8'/%3e%3cpath%20class='st1'%20d='M197.7,162.3c-18.2,0.7-35.1-21.3-49.1-6.8c2.7,0.7,8.3-1.4,9.1,1.1C150.5,185,197.3,192.4,197.7,162.3'/%3e%3c/g%3e%3c/svg%3e) | 15 | Hawks | 107 | ||
%20--%3e%3csvg%20version='1.1'%20id='Layer_1'%20xmlns='http://www.w3.org/2000/svg'%20xmlns:xlink='http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink'%20x='0px'%20y='0px'%20viewBox='0%200%20400%20400'%20style='enable-background:new%200%200%20400%20400;'%20xml:space='preserve'%3e%3cstyle%20type='text/css'%3e%20.st0{fill:%23BEC0C2;}%20.st1{fill:%23002D62;}%20.st2{fill:%23FDBB30;}%20%3c/style%3e%3cg%3e%3cpath%20class='st0'%20d='M318.6,100.7c-20.1-24.2-48.9-37.7-81.3-37.7l-129.5,0L47.7,336.1l110.6,0.1l15.9-66.1c14.8,0,53.9,0,53.8,0%20c37,0.3,67.4-12.3,87.9-36.3C353,193.4,346.4,134.3,318.6,100.7z'/%3e%3cpath%20class='st1'%20d='M168.4,262.9L152.6,329l-96,0l56.9-258.8l123.7,0.1c30.8,0.1,57.2,12.5,75.8,35c27.4,33.1,30.1,88.1-2.7,123.9%20c-20.1,23.6-49.6,34-82.3,33.7L168.4,262.9z'/%3e%3cpath%20class='st2'%20d='M100.8,127.7l54.2,0c6.2,0,12.9,5.2,10,13.1c-1.8,4.9-3.1,10.6-3.8,15.9c-0.5,4.2,4.2,6.8,6.8,6.8l110.5,0.1%20c2.1,0,3.2-0.6,3.2-1.6c0-1-0.1-4.7-0.5-7.2c-0.4-2.4-0.8-2.9-2.8-2.9c-13.8,0-19.4-6.1-33.8-15.5c-14.4-9.3-35.6-14.7-53.8-14.7%20l-88.7-0.1L100.8,127.7z'/%3e%3cpath%20class='st2'%20d='M167.7,199.3c-1.9-4.1-3.7-9-4.8-13.4c-1.4-5.7-6.2-10.4-14.5-10.4l-58.2,0l1.4-6.5l188.5,0.1%20c1.9,0,1.5,0.8,1.4,2.9c-0.1,2.1-0.6,5.9-0.9,8.2c-0.3,2.3-2.2,1.7-4,1.8c-4.2,0.1-12.1,1.1-16.7,4.5c-7.8,5.9-24.5,16.2-33.8,19.2%20c-10,3.2-47.6,14.7-58.6-6.5'/%3e%3cpath%20class='st2'%20d='M79.9,222.8l98.4,0.1c4.3,0,8.1,1,11,3.4c8.3,6.9,19.1,11.8,30.5,15.1c5.1,1.5,14-0.4,21.9-4.9%20c19.7-11.1,32.4-32.3,36.5-46c1.1-3.6-1-3.3-3.8-3.1c-8.3,0.6-17,8.1-28.5,15.4c-11.5,7.3-34.8,14.2-57,14.2l-107.8-0.1L79.9,222.8%20z'/%3e%3cpath%20class='st2'%20d='M224.2,91c1.4-0.2,6.4-0.5,9.1,0.5c18.7,7.4,36.4,26.8,43.8,47.5c1.4,4,1.8,6.5,0,6.7%20c-8.6,0.9-12.6-3.3-22.6-10.1c-10.1-6.8-19.4-11.5-32.1-15.5c-12.6-4-35.5-4.6-38.5-4.7c-3-0.1-2.6-1.3-1.3-2.6%20C193.6,101.9,208.3,93.9,224.2,91z'/%3e%3cpath%20class='st2'%20d='M313.9,162c0.1,0.8-0.8,1.7-1.8,1.7c-0.1,0-21.6,0-21.6,0c-2.8,0-2.8-1.3-2.9-2.9c-0.1-1.6-0.6-4.7-0.6-6.6%20c-0.1-1.8-0.8-3.9,1.7-4.9c6-2.5,11.7-8.4,14.3-13.4c0.9-1.7,2.2-4.5,3.6-2.1C311.7,141.8,313.3,151.9,313.9,162z'/%3e%3cpath%20class='st2'%20d='M306.2,200.7c-0.4,0.7-1.7,1.3-2.2,0.1c-3.1-8.4-10.6-14.2-15.8-17.1c-1.6-0.9-1.7-1.9-1.5-3.4%20c0.2-1.5,0.9-6.4,1-8.5c0.1-1.6,0.7-2.8,2-2.8l22.5,0c0.8,0,1.8,0.7,1.8,1.3C313.9,181,310.7,191.6,306.2,200.7z'/%3e%3cpath%20class='st2'%20d='M247.8,242.9c-1.6,0.2-5-0.3,0.4-3.5c16.3-9.5,30.9-31.8,34.7-44.5c1.5-4.9,1.6-5.1,3.5-4.6%20c2.5,0.7,6.4,4.1,9.4,8.3c3,4.1,4.3,12.2,2.6,14.6C286.8,228.8,268.1,239.9,247.8,242.9z'/%3e%3cpath%20class='st2'%20d='M289.3,142.1c-3.8,2-4.5,1.7-5.3-1.2c-7.1-24.9-28-43.3-36.6-48.7c-1.6-1-1.2-1.7,0-1.6%20c20.5,2.7,40.5,13.9,50.6,29.2C303.8,128.5,293,140.1,289.3,142.1z'/%3e%3c/g%3e%3c/svg%3e) | 16 | Pacers | 97 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 5 | Heat | 109 | ||
 | 21 | Bobcats | 98 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 6 | Mavericks | 89 | ||
Sunday, April 27, 2014
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 13 | Raptors | 87 | ||
 | 17 | Nets | 79 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Bulls | 89 | ||
| 14 | Wizards | 98 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Clippers | 97 | ||
| 5 | Warriors | 118 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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%20--%3e%3csvg%20version='1.1'%20id='Layer_1'%20xmlns='http://www.w3.org/2000/svg'%20xmlns:xlink='http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink'%20x='0px'%20y='0px'%20viewBox='0%200%20400%20400'%20style='enable-background:new%200%200%20400%20400;'%20xml:space='preserve'%3e%3cstyle%20type='text/css'%3e%20.st0{fill:%23FFFFFF;}%20.st1{fill:%23CF0A2C;}%20%3c/style%3e%3cg%3e%3cpath%20d='M300.9,131.4c-4.4-6.5-9.4-12.6-15-18.2c-2.4-2.4-4.9-4.7-7.5-6.9L333,51.7H174l-61.4,61.4h0c0,0-0.1,0.1-0.1,0.1%20c-5.5,5.6-10.6,11.7-15,18.2c-4.4,6.6-8.2,13.6-11.3,20.8c-6.4,15.1-9.6,31.2-9.6,47.7c0,16.6,3.2,32.6,9.6,47.7%20c3.1,7.3,6.9,14.3,11.3,20.8c4.4,6.5,9.4,12.6,15,18.2c2.4,2.4,4.9,4.7,7.5,6.9l-54.6,54.6h159l61.6-61.6h0%20c5.5-5.5,10.5-11.6,14.9-18c4.4-6.6,8.2-13.6,11.3-20.8c6.4-15.1,9.6-31.2,9.6-47.7c0-16.6-3.2-32.6-9.6-47.7%20C309.1,145,305.3,137.9,300.9,131.4'/%3e%3cpath%20class='st0'%20d='M278.8,120.3c-2.4-2.4-4.9-4.7-7.4-6.8l-66.7,66.7c3.3,0.9,6.4,2.7,9,5.3l0,0c8.1,8.1,8.1,21.1,0,29.2%20L89.9,338.3h14.5l116.4-116.4c12-12,12.1-31.5,0.1-43.6l7.2-7.2c16,16.1,15.9,42-0.1,58L118.9,338.3h14.5l101.9-101.9%20c20-20,20.1-52.5,0.1-72.5l7.2-7.2c24,24.1,23.9,63-0.1,87l-94.7,94.7h14.5l87.4-87.4c28-28,28.1-73.4,0.1-101.5l7.2-7.2%20c31.9,32.1,31.9,84-0.1,116l-80.2,80.2h14.5l72.9-72.9c36-36,36.1-94.4,0.1-130.5l7.3-7.3c40,40.1,39.9,105-0.1,145l-65.6,65.6%20h14.5l58.4-58.4l0,0C322.8,235.8,322.8,164.4,278.8,120.3'/%3e%3cpath%20class='st1'%20d='M119.7,279.7c2.4,2.4,4.9,4.7,7.4,6.8l66.7-66.7c-3.3-0.9-6.4-2.7-9-5.3l0,0c-8.1-8.1-8.1-21.1,0-29.2%20L308.7,61.6h-14.5L177.7,178.1c-12,12-12.1,31.5-0.1,43.6l-7.2,7.2c-15.9-16.1-15.9-42,0.1-58L279.8,61.6h-14.5L163.2,163.6%20c-20,20-20.1,52.5-0.1,72.5l-7.2,7.2c-24-24.1-23.9-63,0.1-87l94.8-94.8h-14.5l-87.6,87.6c-28,28-28.1,73.4-0.1,101.5l-7.2,7.2%20c-31.9-32.1-31.9-84,0.1-116l80.3-80.3h-14.5l-73.1,73.1c-36,36-36.1,94.4-0.1,130.5l-7.3,7.3c-40-40.1-39.9-105,0.1-145l65.8-65.8%20h-14.5l-58.6,58.6l0,0C75.7,164.2,75.7,235.7,119.7,279.7'/%3e%3c/g%3e%3c/svg%3e) | 9 | Trail Blazers | 123 | ||
Saturday, April 26, 2014
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Pacers | 91 | ||
| 15 | Hawks | 88 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Heat | 98 | ||
| 21 | Bobcats | 85 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Spurs | 108 | ||
| 6 | Mavericks | 109 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Thunder | 92 | ||
| 8 | Grizzlies | 89 | ||
Friday, April 25, 2014
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Raptors | 98 | ||
| 17 | Nets | 102 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Bulls | 100 | ||
| 15 | Wizards | 97 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Rockets | 121 | ||
| 10 | Trail Blazers | 116 | ||
Thursday, April 24, 2014
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Pacers | 85 | ||
| 17 | Hawks | 98 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Thunder | 95 | ||
| 7 | Grizzlies | 98 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Clippers | 98 | ||
| 8 | Warriors | 96 | ||
Wednesday, April 23, 2014
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Bobcats | 97 | ||
| 4 | Heat | 101 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Mavericks | 113 | ||
| 2 | Spurs | 92 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Trail Blazers | 112 | ||
| 5 | Rockets | 105 | ||
Tuesday, April 22, 2014
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Hawks | 85 | ||
| 17 | Pacers | 101 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Nets | 95 | ||
| 13 | Raptors | 100 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Wizards | 101 | ||
| 9 | Bulls | 99 | ||
Monday, April 21, 2014
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Grizzlies | 111 | ||
| 1 | Thunder | 105 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Warriors | 98 | ||
| 2 | Clippers | 138 | ||
Sunday, April 20, 2014
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Bobcats | 88 | ||
| 4 | Heat | 99 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Wizards | 102 | ||
| 9 | Bulls | 93 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Mavericks | 85 | ||
| 3 | Spurs | 90 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Trail Blazers | 122 | ||
| 5 | Rockets | 120 | ||
Saturday, April 19, 2014
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Hawks | 101 | ||
| 15 | Pacers | 93 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Nets | 94 | ||
| 12 | Raptors | 87 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Grizzlies | 86 | ||
| 2 | Thunder | 100 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Warriors | 109 | ||
| 1 | Clippers | 105 | ||
Wednesday, April 16, 2014
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Mavericks | 105 | ||
| 8 | Grizzlies | 106 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Hawks | 59% | 104 | 111 |
 | 27 | Bucks | 41% | 101 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 11 | Timberwolves | 130 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Rockets | 61% | 104 | 100 |
 | 20 | Pelicans | 39% | 100 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 24 | Pistons | 111 | ||
| 3 | Thunder | 112 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 26 | Lakers | 15% | 99 | 113 |
| 2 | Spurs | 85% | 113 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Wizards | 118 | ||
 | 25 | Celtics | 102 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Bulls | 57% | 95 | 86 |
| 21 | Bobcats | 43% | 92 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Nets | 85 | ||
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 4 | Heat | 79% | 107 | 87 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Raptors | 92 | ||
 | 18 | Knicks | 95 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Pacers | 66% | 96 | 101 |
 | 28 | Magic | 34% | 90 | 86 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Clippers | 104 | ||
| 10 | Trail Blazers | 110 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Warriors | 116 | ||
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