Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Saturday, January 13, 2018
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 23 | Lakers | 40% | 107 | 107 |
 | 21 | Mavericks | 60% | 110 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 11 | Thunder | 52% | 107 | 101 |
 | 14 | Hornets | 48% | 106 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 25 | Nets | 26% | 105 | 113 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 10 | Raptors | 38% | 110 | 125 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 19 | Pistons | 57% | 106 | 105 |
 | 27 | Bulls | 43% | 104 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Friday, January 12, 2018
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 14 | Hornets | 57% | 106 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 29 | Magic | 21% | 104 | 119 |
| 6 | Wizards | 79% | 116 | 125 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Nets | 44% | 107 | 110 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Warriors | 61% | 112 | 108 |
 | 15 | Bucks | 39% | 108 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 21 | Knicks | 30% | 104 | 108 |
 | 5 | Timberwolves | 70% | 111 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 17 | Pelicans | 51% | 110 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 10 | Nuggets | 68% | 109 | 87 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Thursday, January 11, 2018
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 5 | Celtics | 49% | 104 | 114 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Cavaliers | 42% | 111 | 99 |
| 8 | Raptors | 58% | 114 | 133 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Clippers | 58% | 107 | 121 |
| 30 | Kings | 42% | 104 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Spurs | 57% | 106 | 81 |
| 25 | Lakers | 43% | 104 | 93 |
Wednesday, January 10, 2018
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Mavericks | 37% | 104 | 115 |
| 16 | Hornets | 63% | 109 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 12 | Heat | 45% | 106 | 114 |
| 20 | Pacers | 55% | 107 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Jazz | 36% | 102 | 107 |
| 5 | Wizards | 64% | 107 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Pistons | 49% | 106 | 114 |
| 24 | Nets | 51% | 107 | 80 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Bulls | 41% | 104 | 122 |
| 21 | Knicks | 59% | 108 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Magic | 22% | 105 | 103 |
| 11 | Bucks | 78% | 116 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Pelicans | 55% | 107 | 102 |
| 25 | Grizzlies | 45% | 105 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Thunder | 33% | 105 | 88 |
| 3 | Timberwolves | 67% | 111 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Trail Blazers | 25% | 104 | 112 |
| 2 | Rockets | 75% | 113 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Hawks | 25% | 106 | 110 |
| 4 | Nuggets | 75% | 115 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Clippers | 21% | 102 | 125 |
| 1 | Warriors | 79% | 114 | 106 |
Tuesday, January 9, 2018
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Heat | 39% | 104 | 90 |
| 7 | Raptors | 61% | 108 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Trail Blazers | 32% | 99 | 117 |
| 10 | Thunder | 68% | 106 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Magic | 30% | 105 | 99 |
| 17 | Mavericks | 70% | 113 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Kings | 27% | 103 | 86 |
| 25 | Lakers | 73% | 111 | 99 |
Monday, January 8, 2018
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Bucks | 53% | 110 | 96 |
| 18 | Pacers | 47% | 109 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Raptors | 68% | 114 | 114 |
| 25 | Nets | 32% | 108 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Rockets | 67% | 114 | 116 |
| 23 | Bulls | 33% | 108 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Cavaliers | 43% | 112 | 99 |
| 5 | Timberwolves | 57% | 114 | 127 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Pistons | 35% | 104 | 109 |
| 12 | Pelicans | 65% | 110 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Spurs | 68% | 105 | 107 |
| 30 | Kings | 32% | 98 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Nuggets | 26% | 108 | 114 |
| 1 | Warriors | 74% | 117 | 124 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Hawks | 36% | 104 | 107 |
| 26 | Clippers | 64% | 109 | 108 |
Sunday, January 7, 2018
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Jazz | 45% | 101 | 102 |
| 13 | Heat | 55% | 103 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Knicks | 39% | 104 | 100 |
| 17 | Mavericks | 61% | 108 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Thunder | 71% | 113 | 100 |
| 28 | Suns | 29% | 106 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Spurs | 52% | 100 | 110 |
| 19 | Trail Blazers | 48% | 99 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Hawks | 46% | 108 | 113 |
| 27 | Lakers | 54% | 109 | 132 |
Saturday, January 6, 2018
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Warriors | 71% | 115 | 121 |
| 16 | Clippers | 29% | 107 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Celtics | 58% | 107 | 87 |
| 23 | Nets | 42% | 105 | 85 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Cavaliers | 71% | 117 | 131 |
| 29 | Magic | 29% | 109 | 127 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Bulls | 36% | 105 | 86 |
| 19 | Pacers | 64% | 110 | 125 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Rockets | 66% | 110 | 101 |
| 21 | Pistons | 34% | 104 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Bucks | 35% | 106 | 110 |
| 8 | Wizards | 65% | 111 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Pelicans | 42% | 110 | 98 |
| 6 | Timberwolves | 58% | 112 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Nuggets | 76% | 111 | 98 |
| 30 | Kings | 24% | 102 | 106 |
Friday, January 5, 2018
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Pistons | 36% | 103 | 78 |
| 11 | 76ers | 64% | 108 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Timberwolves | 42% | 104 | 84 |
| 6 | Celtics | 58% | 107 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Knicks | 38% | 103 | 103 |
| 14 | Heat | 62% | 107 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Raptors | 56% | 111 | 129 |
| 13 | Bucks | 44% | 109 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Bulls | 39% | 104 | 127 |
| 18 | Mavericks | 61% | 108 | 124 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Suns | 17% | 101 | 89 |
| 3 | Spurs | 83% | 114 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Jazz | 37% | 104 | 91 |
| 7 | Nuggets | 63% | 109 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Wizards | 66% | 106 | 102 |
| 27 | Grizzlies | 34% | 101 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Hawks | 38% | 103 | 89 |
| 19 | Trail Blazers | 62% | 107 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Hornets | 56% | 109 | 108 |
| 26 | Lakers | 44% | 107 | 94 |
Thursday, January 4, 2018
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Warriors | 60% | 115 | 124 |
| 7 | Rockets | 40% | 111 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Thunder | 44% | 106 | 127 |
| 13 | Clippers | 56% | 108 | 117 |
Wednesday, January 3, 2018
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Rockets | 73% | 117 | 116 |
| 29 | Magic | 27% | 108 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Spurs | 40% | 102 | 106 |
| 11 | 76ers | 60% | 106 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Knicks | 24% | 102 | 103 |
| 3 | Wizards | 76% | 112 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Timberwolves | 60% | 113 | 97 |
| 22 | Nets | 40% | 110 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Pistons | 48% | 102 | 104 |
| 19 | Heat | 52% | 103 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Pacers | 31% | 105 | 101 |
| 12 | Bucks | 69% | 112 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Cavaliers | 39% | 107 | 88 |
| 8 | Celtics | 61% | 111 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Raptors | 66% | 111 | 124 |
| 21 | Bulls | 34% | 105 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Warriors | 79% | 117 | 125 |
| 20 | Mavericks | 21% | 105 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Suns | 17% | 107 | 111 |
| 4 | Nuggets | 83% | 121 | 134 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Pelicans | 48% | 107 | 108 |
| 15 | Jazz | 52% | 108 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Thunder | 69% | 110 | 133 |
| 27 | Lakers | 31% | 104 | 96 |
Tuesday, January 2, 2018
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Trail Blazers | 27% | 105 | 110 |
| 7 | Cavaliers | 73% | 113 | 127 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Spurs | 62% | 106 | 100 |
| 21 | Knicks | 38% | 101 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Hawks | 54% | 112 | 103 |
| 28 | Suns | 46% | 111 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Hornets | 66% | 108 | 131 |
| 30 | Kings | 34% | 102 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Grizzlies | 29% | 101 | 105 |
| 14 | Clippers | 71% | 108 | 113 |
Monday, January 1, 2018
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Bucks | 34% | 106 | 127 |
| 2 | Raptors | 66% | 112 | 131 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Magic | 38% | 110 | 95 |
| 22 | Nets | 62% | 114 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Lakers | 24% | 106 | 96 |
| 9 | Timberwolves | 76% | 116 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Trail Blazers | 51% | 102 | 124 |
| 20 | Bulls | 49% | 101 | 120 |
Sunday, December 31, 2017
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Bulls | 29% | 102 | 110 |
| 10 | Wizards | 71% | 110 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Timberwolves | 60% | 113 | 107 |
| 21 | Pacers | 40% | 109 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Nets | 26% | 102 | 105 |
| 8 | Celtics | 74% | 112 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Lakers | 17% | 107 | 142 |
| 2 | Rockets | 83% | 120 | 148 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Mavericks | 30% | 101 | 116 |
| 7 | Thunder | 70% | 108 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Hornets | 43% | 108 | 98 |
| 14 | Clippers | 57% | 111 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Grizzlies | 46% | 100 | 114 |
| 29 | Kings | 54% | 101 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 76ers | 61% | 113 | 123 |
| 28 | Suns | 39% | 109 | 110 |