Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Tuesday, January 29, 2019
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 8 | Thunder | 65% | 112 | 126 |
 | 24 | Magic | 35% | 107 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 4 | Bucks | 66% | 112 | 115 |
 | 19 | Pistons | 34% | 107 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 27 | Bulls | 32% | 105 | 117 |
 | 21 | Nets | 68% | 112 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 26 | Pelicans | 24% | 111 | 121 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 23 | Lakers | 37% | 111 | 105 |
Monday, January 28, 2019
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 28 | Knicks | 23% | 108 | 92 |
 | 18 | Hornets | 77% | 119 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Nets | 31% | 104 | 104 |
 | 8 | Celtics | 69% | 111 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Sunday, January 27, 2019
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 18 | Clippers | 57% | 117 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Cavaliers | 33% | 108 | 104 |
| 27 | Bulls | 67% | 114 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Bucks | 49% | 114 | 112 |
| 7 | Thunder | 51% | 115 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Wizards | 45% | 111 | 119 |
| 13 | Spurs | 55% | 113 | 132 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 22 | Timberwolves | 36% | 106 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 2 | Raptors | 61% | 113 | 123 |
 | 14 | Mavericks | 39% | 109 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Magic | 25% | 107 | 98 |
| 5 | Rockets | 75% | 116 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 15 | Heat | 67% | 110 | 106 |
| 28 | Knicks | 33% | 104 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Suns | 27% | 107 | 102 |
| 23 | Lakers | 73% | 115 | 116 |
Saturday, January 26, 2019
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Spurs | 62% | 117 | 126 |
| 25 | Pelicans | 38% | 113 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Pacers | 58% | 103 | 103 |
| 15 | Grizzlies | 42% | 100 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Warriors | 55% | 114 | 115 |
| 3 | Celtics | 45% | 112 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | 76ers | 41% | 111 | 110 |
| 9 | Nuggets | 59% | 114 | 126 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Hawks | 25% | 110 | 111 |
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Friday, January 25, 2019
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Wizards | 49% | 110 | 95 |
| 22 | Magic | 51% | 111 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Heat | 78% | 113 | 100 |
| 30 | Cavaliers | 22% | 102 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Knicks | 26% | 107 | 99 |
| 15 | Nets | 74% | 116 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Clippers | 66% | 114 | 106 |
| 28 | Bulls | 34% | 108 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Raptors | 52% | 115 | 119 |
| 8 | Rockets | 48% | 114 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Kings | 41% | 106 | 99 |
| 17 | Grizzlies | 59% | 109 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Pistons | 41% | 106 | 101 |
| 14 | Mavericks | 59% | 110 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Hornets | 24% | 110 | 99 |
| 2 | Bucks | 76% | 120 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Suns | 12% | 104 | 95 |
| 6 | Nuggets | 88% | 121 | 132 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Timberwolves | 22% | 104 | 102 |
| 4 | Jazz | 78% | 114 | 106 |
Thursday, January 24, 2019
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Pelicans | 23% | 110 | 116 |
| 7 | Thunder | 77% | 120 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Warriors | 68% | 119 | 126 |
| 12 | Wizards | 32% | 112 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Blazers | 76% | 117 | 120 |
| 29 | Suns | 24% | 107 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Timberwolves | 48% | 113 | 120 |
| 22 | Lakers | 52% | 114 | 105 |
Wednesday, January 23, 2019
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Raptors | 45% | 108 | 106 |
| 5 | Pacers | 55% | 110 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Cavaliers | 12% | 100 | 103 |
| 10 | Celtics | 88% | 116 | 123 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Magic | 36% | 106 | 110 |
| 16 | Nets | 64% | 112 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Clippers | 35% | 105 | 111 |
| 14 | Heat | 65% | 111 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Rockets | 72% | 118 | 114 |
| 28 | Knicks | 28% | 109 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Spurs | 43% | 112 | 120 |
| 9 | 76ers | 57% | 115 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Hawks | 51% | 113 | 121 |
| 27 | Bulls | 49% | 112 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Hornets | 46% | 105 | 118 |
| 19 | Grizzlies | 54% | 107 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Pistons | 41% | 112 | 98 |
| 18 | Pelicans | 59% | 116 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Nuggets | 40% | 106 | 108 |
| 4 | Jazz | 60% | 110 | 114 |
Tuesday, January 22, 2019
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Kings | 22% | 108 | 105 |
| 4 | Raptors | 78% | 119 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Blazers | 39% | 110 | 114 |
| 7 | Thunder | 61% | 113 | 123 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Clippers | 43% | 110 | 98 |
| 15 | Mavericks | 57% | 113 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Timberwolves | 63% | 117 | 118 |
| 27 | Suns | 37% | 112 | 91 |
Monday, January 21, 2019
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Thunder | 76% | 117 | 127 |
| 28 | Knicks | 24% | 107 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Bulls | 59% | 113 | 104 |
| 30 | Cavaliers | 41% | 109 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Pistons | 39% | 110 | 87 |
| 14 | Wizards | 61% | 114 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Mavericks | 30% | 109 | 106 |
| 3 | Bucks | 70% | 117 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Magic | 47% | 111 | 122 |
| 25 | Hawks | 53% | 112 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Kings | 42% | 113 | 94 |
| 16 | Nets | 58% | 116 | 123 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Pelicans | 49% | 109 | 105 |
| 21 | Grizzlies | 51% | 110 | 85 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Heat | 28% | 102 | 99 |
| 2 | Celtics | 72% | 110 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Rockets | 45% | 115 | 93 |
| 10 | 76ers | 55% | 117 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Blazers | 38% | 105 | 109 |
| 5 | Jazz | 62% | 110 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Warriors | 75% | 119 | 130 |
| 24 | Lakers | 25% | 109 | 111 |
Sunday, January 20, 2019
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Hornets | 29% | 106 | 95 |
| 7 | Pacers | 71% | 114 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Clippers | 33% | 111 | 103 |
| 11 | Spurs | 67% | 117 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Suns | 24% | 109 | 114 |
| 17 | Timberwolves | 76% | 119 | 116 |
Saturday, January 19, 2019
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Thunder | 44% | 113 | 117 |
| 6 | 76ers | 56% | 115 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Suns | 34% | 109 | 115 |
| 21 | Hornets | 66% | 115 | 135 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Bucks | 73% | 114 | 118 |
| 25 | Magic | 27% | 106 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Kings | 49% | 114 | 103 |
| 22 | Pistons | 51% | 115 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Mavericks | 39% | 107 | 99 |
| 9 | Pacers | 61% | 110 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Celtics | 71% | 116 | 113 |
| 27 | Hawks | 29% | 109 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Grizzlies | 24% | 100 | 90 |
| 4 | Raptors | 76% | 110 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Heat | 62% | 108 | 117 |
| 29 | Bulls | 38% | 104 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Lakers | 32% | 109 | 134 |
| 10 | Rockets | 68% | 115 | 138 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Cavaliers | 8% | 102 | 102 |
| 8 | Nuggets | 92% | 122 | 124 |
Friday, January 18, 2019
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Heat | 47% | 105 | 93 |
| 17 | Pistons | 53% | 106 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Grizzlies | 25% | 97 | 116 |
| 2 | Celtics | 75% | 107 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Nets | 52% | 109 | 117 |
| 25 | Magic | 48% | 108 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Spurs | 52% | 115 | 116 |
| 20 | Timberwolves | 48% | 114 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Cavaliers | 10% | 99 | 99 |
| 4 | Jazz | 90% | 117 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Warriors | 71% | 121 | 112 |
| 19 | Clippers | 29% | 113 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Pelicans | 49% | 116 | 112 |
| 14 | Blazers | 51% | 117 | 128 |
Thursday, January 17, 2019
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Knicks | 22% | 108 | 100 |
| 15 | Wizards | 78% | 119 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 76ers | 43% | 109 | 120 |
| 9 | Pacers | 57% | 112 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Kings | 47% | 116 | 95 |
| 23 | Hornets | 53% | 117 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Suns | 14% | 104 | 109 |
| 2 | Raptors | 86% | 119 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Bulls | 17% | 103 | 105 |
| 8 | Nuggets | 83% | 116 | 135 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Lakers | 30% | 106 | 138 |
| 7 | Thunder | 70% | 114 | 128 |
Wednesday, January 16, 2019
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Magic | 40% | 105 | 115 |
| 19 | Pistons | 60% | 109 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Raptors | 49% | 110 | 108 |
| 3 | Celtics | 51% | 111 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Nets | 27% | 108 | 145 |
| 4 | Rockets | 73% | 117 | 142 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Bucks | 56% | 107 | 111 |
| 18 | Grizzlies | 44% | 105 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Spurs | 46% | 111 | 105 |
| 14 | Mavericks | 54% | 113 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Cavaliers | 15% | 105 | 112 |
| 12 | Blazers | 85% | 119 | 129 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Pelicans | 31% | 115 | 140 |
| 1 | Warriors | 69% | 122 | 147 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Jazz | 54% | 112 | 129 |
| 16 | Clippers | 46% | 111 | 109 |