Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Tuesday, December 19, 2017
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
30 | Kings | 24% | 101 | 101 | |
9 | 76ers | 76% | 110 | 95 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
15 | Pelicans | 106 | |||
10 | Wizards | 116 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | Cavaliers | 51% | 112 | 116 | |
13 | Bucks | 49% | 111 | 119 |
Monday, December 18, 2017
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
23 | Knicks | 30% | 103 | 91 | |
17 | Hornets | 70% | 111 | 109 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | Celtics | 112 | |||
16 | Pacers | 111 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
18 | Heat | 59% | 106 | 104 | |
28 | Hawks | 41% | 103 | 110 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
9 | 76ers | 115 | |||
24 | Bulls | 117 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
11 | Jazz | 19% | 104 | 99 | |
2 | Rockets | 81% | 116 | 120 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
19 | Trail Blazers | 107 | |||
8 | Timberwolves | 108 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
13 | Nuggets | 40% | 106 | 94 | |
7 | Thunder | 60% | 110 | 95 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
29 | Suns | 97 | |||
22 | Mavericks | 91 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
14 | Clippers | 26% | 100 | 91 | |
3 | Spurs | 74% | 109 | 109 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Warriors | 116 | |||
26 | Lakers | 114 |
Sunday, December 17, 2017
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
30 | Kings | 15% | 99 | 93 | |
4 | Raptors | 85% | 114 | 108 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
27 | Magic | 110 | |||
20 | Pistons | 114 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
16 | Pacers | 63% | 114 | 109 | |
25 | Nets | 37% | 109 | 97 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | Cavaliers | 106 | |||
10 | Wizards | 99 |
Saturday, December 16, 2017
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
19 | Trail Blazers | 42% | 104 | 93 | |
16 | Hornets | 58% | 107 | 91 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
10 | Jazz | 100 | |||
5 | Cavaliers | 109 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 | Thunder | 61% | 106 | 96 | |
23 | Knicks | 39% | 103 | 111 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
12 | Clippers | 85 | |||
18 | Heat | 90 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
14 | Bucks | 15% | 105 | 111 | |
2 | Rockets | 85% | 120 | 115 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
29 | Suns | 108 | |||
8 | Timberwolves | 106 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
22 | Mavericks | 43% | 100 | 96 | |
3 | Spurs | 57% | 103 | 98 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | Celtics | 102 | |||
20 | Grizzlies | 93 |
Friday, December 15, 2017
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
20 | Heat | 104 | |||
17 | Hornets | 98 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
21 | Pistons | 34% | 104 | 104 | |
16 | Pacers | 66% | 110 | 98 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
19 | Trail Blazers | 95 | |||
27 | Magic | 88 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
8 | Thunder | 45% | 106 | 119 | |
9 | 76ers | 55% | 108 | 117 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
12 | Clippers | 91 | |||
11 | Wizards | 100 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
10 | Jazz | 43% | 100 | 107 | |
6 | Celtics | 57% | 102 | 95 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
24 | Nets | 87 | |||
4 | Raptors | 120 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
28 | Hawks | 32% | 100 | 94 | |
18 | Grizzlies | 68% | 106 | 96 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
26 | Bulls | 115 | |||
13 | Bucks | 109 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
15 | Pelicans | 49% | 114 | 111 | |
14 | Nuggets | 51% | 115 | 117 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | Spurs | 109 | |||
2 | Rockets | 124 |
Thursday, December 14, 2017
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
21 | Pistons | 57% | 108 | 105 | |
28 | Hawks | 43% | 105 | 91 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
23 | Knicks | 111 | |||
24 | Nets | 104 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
25 | Lakers | 28% | 109 | 112 | |
5 | Cavaliers | 72% | 117 | 121 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
30 | Kings | 96 | |||
7 | Timberwolves | 119 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
22 | Mavericks | 27% | 104 | 97 | |
1 | Warriors | 73% | 113 | 112 |
Wednesday, December 13, 2017
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
9 | Thunder | 100 | |||
16 | Pacers | 95 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
12 | Clippers | 56% | 110 | 106 | |
25 | Magic | 44% | 108 | 95 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
18 | Grizzlies | 87 | |||
11 | Wizards | 93 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
15 | Nuggets | 32% | 103 | 118 | |
6 | Celtics | 68% | 110 | 124 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
20 | Trail Blazers | 102 | |||
19 | Heat | 95 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
8 | Jazz | 67% | 104 | 100 | |
27 | Bulls | 33% | 98 | 103 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
13 | Bucks | 108 | |||
14 | Pelicans | 115 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | Raptors | 83% | 120 | 115 | |
29 | Suns | 17% | 107 | 109 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
17 | Hornets | 96 | |||
2 | Rockets | 108 |
Tuesday, December 12, 2017
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
28 | Hawks | 23% | 106 | 114 | |
5 | Cavaliers | 77% | 117 | 123 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
17 | Nuggets | 103 | |||
21 | Pistons | 84 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
26 | Lakers | 45% | 107 | 109 | |
23 | Knicks | 55% | 109 | 113 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
10 | Wizards | 98 | |||
24 | Nets | 103 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
11 | 76ers | 38% | 110 | 118 | |
7 | Timberwolves | 62% | 114 | 112 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | Spurs | 89 | |||
22 | Mavericks | 95 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
29 | Suns | 48% | 108 | 92 | |
30 | Kings | 52% | 109 | 99 |
Monday, December 11, 2017
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | Celtics | 62% | 101 | 85 | |
28 | Bulls | 38% | 97 | 108 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
15 | Pelicans | 123 | |||
2 | Rockets | 130 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
21 | Heat | 49% | 101 | 107 | |
16 | Grizzlies | 51% | 102 | 82 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
19 | Hornets | 116 | |||
7 | Thunder | 103 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
18 | Trail Blazers | 29% | 108 | 104 | |
1 | Warriors | 71% | 116 | 111 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | Raptors | 91 | |||
12 | Clippers | 96 |
Sunday, December 10, 2017
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | Raptors | 81% | 113 | 102 | |
30 | Kings | 19% | 101 | 87 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 | Celtics | 91 | |||
20 | Pistons | 81 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
17 | Nuggets | 32% | 109 | 116 | |
15 | Pacers | 68% | 116 | 126 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
22 | Mavericks | 92 | |||
8 | Timberwolves | 97 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
11 | 76ers | 42% | 111 | 124 | |
14 | Pelicans | 58% | 114 | 131 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
27 | Hawks | 107 | |||
23 | Knicks | 111 |
Saturday, December 9, 2017
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
10 | Wizards | 54% | 108 | 112 | |
12 | Clippers | 46% | 107 | 113 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
21 | Heat | 101 | |||
24 | Nets | 89 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
26 | Lakers | 37% | 106 | 110 | |
14 | Hornets | 63% | 110 | 99 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
25 | Magic | 110 | |||
27 | Hawks | 117 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
11 | 76ers | 39% | 112 | 98 | |
5 | Cavaliers | 61% | 116 | 105 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
23 | Knicks | 102 | |||
28 | Bulls | 104 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | Jazz | 56% | 103 | 100 | |
13 | Bucks | 44% | 101 | 117 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
8 | Thunder | 102 | |||
17 | Grizzlies | 101 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | Spurs | 63% | 111 | 104 | |
29 | Suns | 37% | 106 | 101 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | Rockets | 124 | |||
19 | Trail Blazers | 117 |
Friday, December 8, 2017
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
28 | Bulls | 25% | 101 | 119 | |
13 | Hornets | 75% | 110 | 111 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Warriors | 102 | |||
20 | Pistons | 98 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | Cavaliers | 54% | 114 | 102 | |
17 | Pacers | 46% | 113 | 106 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
16 | Nuggets | 103 | |||
24 | Magic | 89 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | Raptors | 65% | 108 | 116 | |
18 | Grizzlies | 35% | 103 | 107 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
23 | Mavericks | 102 | |||
15 | Bucks | 109 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
30 | Kings | 25% | 103 | 116 | |
14 | Pelicans | 75% | 112 | 109 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
9 | Celtics | 102 | |||
3 | Spurs | 105 |
Thursday, December 7, 2017
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
26 | Lakers | 23% | 105 | 107 | |
11 | 76ers | 77% | 116 | 104 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
10 | Wizards | 109 | |||
29 | Suns | 99 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | Thunder | 63% | 112 | 95 | |
25 | Nets | 37% | 107 | 100 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | Rockets | 112 | |||
8 | Jazz | 101 |
Wednesday, December 6, 2017
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
30 | Kings | 15% | 103 | 95 | |
4 | Cavaliers | 85% | 117 | 101 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
28 | Bulls | 96 | |||
16 | Pacers | 98 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
27 | Hawks | 38% | 109 | 106 | |
24 | Magic | 62% | 113 | 110 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
22 | Mavericks | 90 | |||
6 | Celtics | 97 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
18 | Grizzlies | 49% | 103 | 88 | |
23 | Knicks | 51% | 104 | 99 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Warriors | 101 | |||
15 | Hornets | 87 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
20 | Pistons | 39% | 104 | 100 | |
12 | Bucks | 61% | 108 | 104 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
17 | Nuggets | 114 | |||
14 | Pelicans | 123 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
21 | Heat | 37% | 99 | 105 | |
3 | Spurs | 63% | 103 | 117 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
9 | Timberwolves | 113 | |||
13 | Clippers | 107 |