Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Monday, February 12, 2024
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 30 | Hornets | 24% | 112 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 20 | Bulls | 44% | 113 | 136 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 24 | Raptors | 61% | 115 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 16 | Knicks | 59% | 109 | 103 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 6 | Pelicans | 64% | 111 | 96 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 17 | Bucks | 49% | 113 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 10 | Mavericks | 79% | 125 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 3 | Timberwolves | 45% | 108 | 121 |
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Sunday, February 11, 2024
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 1 | Celtics | 73% | 114 | 110 |
 | 20 | Heat | 27% | 105 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 6 | Thunder | 60% | 117 | 127 |
Saturday, February 10, 2024
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Thunder | 55% | 118 | 111 |
| 10 | Mavericks | 45% | 116 | 146 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 28 | Pistons | 15% | 106 | 106 |
| 4 | Clippers | 85% | 121 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Spurs | 33% | 107 | 103 |
 | 21 | Nets | 67% | 114 | 123 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Grizzlies | 76% | 111 | 106 |
| 30 | Hornets | 24% | 101 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Bulls | 41% | 103 | 108 |
 | 12 | Magic | 59% | 106 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | 76ers | 65% | 120 | 119 |
| 27 | Wizards | 35% | 114 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Rockets | 32% | 110 | 113 |
| 13 | Hawks | 68% | 117 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Pacers | 41% | 115 | 125 |
| 17 | Knicks | 59% | 118 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Cavaliers | 74% | 114 | 119 |
| 24 | Raptors | 26% | 104 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 8 | Warriors | 59% | 115 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Pelicans | 75% | 110 | 93 |
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Friday, February 9, 2024
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Hawks | 51% | 119 | 127 |
| 24 | 76ers | 49% | 118 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Wizards | 11% | 104 | 129 |
| 1 | Celtics | 89% | 122 | 133 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Rockets | 52% | 110 | 104 |
| 25 | Raptors | 48% | 109 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Hornets | 21% | 108 | 84 |
| 15 | Bucks | 79% | 119 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Nuggets | 51% | 116 | 106 |
| 12 | Kings | 49% | 115 | 135 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Pelicans | 58% | 114 | 122 |
 | 11 | Lakers | 42% | 111 | 139 |
Thursday, February 8, 2024
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Warriors | 39% | 116 | 131 |
| 11 | Pacers | 61% | 121 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Spurs | 27% | 104 | 111 |
| 16 | Magic | 73% | 113 | 127 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Cavaliers | 57% | 109 | 118 |
| 18 | Nets | 43% | 106 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Mavericks | 42% | 114 | 122 |
| 9 | Knicks | 58% | 117 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Bulls | 54% | 105 | 118 |
| 25 | Grizzlies | 46% | 104 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Timberwolves | 52% | 112 | 129 |
| 8 | Bucks | 48% | 111 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Jazz | 44% | 114 | 115 |
| 17 | Suns | 56% | 117 | 129 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Nuggets | 55% | 115 | 114 |
| 13 | Lakers | 45% | 113 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Pistons | 46% | 110 | 128 |
| 29 | Trail Blazers | 54% | 112 | 122 |
Wednesday, February 7, 2024
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Raptors | 71% | 114 | 123 |
| 30 | Hornets | 29% | 106 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Cavaliers | 78% | 117 | 114 |
| 28 | Wizards | 22% | 106 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Warriors | 51% | 115 | 127 |
| 21 | 76ers | 49% | 114 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Hawks | 23% | 111 | 117 |
| 1 | Celtics | 77% | 122 | 125 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Spurs | 33% | 109 | 104 |
| 14 | Heat | 67% | 115 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Pelicans | 41% | 111 | 117 |
| 5 | Clippers | 59% | 115 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Pistons | 27% | 114 | 133 |
| 15 | Kings | 73% | 123 | 120 |
Tuesday, February 6, 2024
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Rockets | 33% | 112 | 129 |
| 9 | Pacers | 67% | 118 | 132 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Mavericks | 46% | 113 | 119 |
| 20 | Nets | 54% | 115 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Magic | 49% | 105 | 95 |
| 18 | Heat | 51% | 106 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Grizzlies | 16% | 99 | 113 |
| 5 | Knicks | 84% | 113 | 123 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Timberwolves | 64% | 106 | 123 |
| 22 | Bulls | 36% | 101 | 129 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Thunder | 57% | 118 | 117 |
| 17 | Jazz | 43% | 116 | 124 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Bucks | 41% | 114 | 106 |
| 10 | Suns | 59% | 118 | 114 |
Monday, February 5, 2024
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Lakers | 83% | 118 | 124 |
| 30 | Hornets | 17% | 104 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Kings | 34% | 109 | 110 |
| 2 | Cavaliers | 66% | 115 | 136 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Mavericks | 51% | 117 | 118 |
| 24 | 76ers | 49% | 116 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Clippers | 55% | 118 | 149 |
| 20 | Hawks | 45% | 116 | 144 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Warriors | 49% | 114 | 109 |
| 15 | Nets | 51% | 115 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Raptors | 26% | 107 | 100 |
| 8 | Pelicans | 74% | 117 | 138 |
Sunday, February 4, 2024
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Magic | 66% | 113 | 111 |
| 27 | Pistons | 34% | 107 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Suns | 72% | 120 | 140 |
| 28 | Wizards | 28% | 111 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Grizzlies | 14% | 99 | 91 |
| 1 | Celtics | 86% | 115 | 131 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Pacers | 80% | 123 | 115 |
| 30 | Hornets | 20% | 110 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Clippers | 56% | 111 | 103 |
| 17 | Heat | 44% | 109 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Rockets | 31% | 102 | 90 |
| 4 | Timberwolves | 69% | 109 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Raptors | 29% | 107 | 127 |
| 11 | Thunder | 71% | 115 | 135 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Bucks | 51% | 122 | 108 |
| 21 | Jazz | 49% | 121 | 123 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Trail Blazers | 14% | 102 | 103 |
| 2 | Nuggets | 86% | 118 | 112 |
Saturday, February 3, 2024
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Nets | 51% | 111 | 136 |
| 22 | 76ers | 49% | 110 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Warriors | 49% | 117 | 134 |
| 18 | Hawks | 51% | 118 | 141 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Kings | 48% | 111 | 123 |
| 21 | Bulls | 52% | 112 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Lakers | 37% | 107 | 113 |
| 8 | Knicks | 63% | 112 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Bucks | 62% | 123 | 129 |
| 23 | Mavericks | 38% | 118 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Cavaliers | 76% | 116 | 117 |
| 25 | Spurs | 24% | 105 | 101 |
Friday, February 2, 2024
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Clippers | 73% | 120 | 136 |
| 27 | Pistons | 27% | 111 | 125 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Heat | 67% | 116 | 110 |
| 29 | Wizards | 33% | 110 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Suns | 55% | 119 | 120 |
| 18 | Hawks | 45% | 117 | 129 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Kings | 52% | 121 | 133 |
| 16 | Pacers | 48% | 120 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Raptors | 41% | 107 | 106 |
| 19 | Rockets | 59% | 110 | 135 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Warriors | 62% | 111 | 121 |
| 25 | Grizzlies | 38% | 107 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Magic | 33% | 100 | 108 |
| 4 | Timberwolves | 67% | 106 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Hornets | 13% | 102 | 106 |
| 9 | Thunder | 87% | 118 | 126 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Pelicans | 70% | 118 | 114 |
| 26 | Spurs | 30% | 110 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Trail Blazers | 18% | 103 | 108 |
| 3 | Nuggets | 82% | 117 | 120 |
Thursday, February 1, 2024
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Lakers | 14% | 103 | 114 |
| 1 | Celtics | 86% | 119 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Pacers | 40% | 114 | 105 |
| 8 | Knicks | 60% | 118 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Cavaliers | 68% | 107 | 108 |
| 24 | Grizzlies | 32% | 100 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | 76ers | 47% | 115 | 127 |
| 20 | Jazz | 53% | 116 | 124 |
Wednesday, January 31, 2024
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Bulls | 69% | 110 | 117 |
| 30 | Hornets | 31% | 103 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Pistons | 17% | 104 | 121 |
| 2 | Cavaliers | 83% | 118 | 128 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Clippers | 70% | 119 | 125 |
| 27 | Wizards | 30% | 111 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Kings | 49% | 114 | 106 |
| 15 | Heat | 51% | 115 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Pelicans | 49% | 110 | 110 |
| 18 | Rockets | 51% | 111 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Mavericks | 19% | 102 | 87 |
| 3 | Timberwolves | 81% | 115 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Magic | 63% | 111 | 108 |
| 24 | Spurs | 37% | 106 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Nuggets | 41% | 109 | 100 |
| 7 | Thunder | 59% | 112 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Suns | 52% | 112 | 136 |
| 12 | Nets | 48% | 111 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Bucks | 71% | 119 | 116 |
| 26 | Trail Blazers | 29% | 110 | 119 |
Tuesday, January 30, 2024
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Lakers | 40% | 116 | 122 |
| 17 | Hawks | 60% | 119 | 138 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Pacers | 25% | 113 | 124 |
| 1 | Celtics | 75% | 123 | 129 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Jazz | 33% | 110 | 103 |
| 9 | Knicks | 67% | 116 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Raptors | 41% | 106 | 118 |
| 19 | Bulls | 59% | 109 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | 76ers | 33% | 109 | 107 |
| 8 | Warriors | 67% | 116 | 119 |