Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Thursday, November 11, 2010
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 6 | Celtics | 30% | 90 | 112 |
 | 1 | Heat | 70% | 97 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 13 | Bulls | 64% | 105 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 3 | Lakers | 54% | 106 | 112 |
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Wednesday, November 10, 2010
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 18 | Bucks | 34% | 94 | 108 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 3 | Magic | 75% | 103 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 22 | Bobcats | 49% | 97 | 101 |
 | 23 | Raptors | 51% | 98 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Nets | 32% | 95 | 95 | |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Warriors | 48% | 106 | 122 |
 | 19 | Knicks | 52% | 107 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 7 | Mavericks | 57% | 102 | 106 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 11 | Thunder | 72% | 103 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 30 | Timberwolves | 26% | 101 | 98 |
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Tuesday, November 9, 2010
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Nuggets | 52% | 104 | 113 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Cavaliers | 52% | 99 | 93 |
| 26 | Nets | 48% | 98 | 91 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Jazz | 24% | 93 | 116 |
| 1 | Heat | 76% | 103 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Knicks | 44% | 99 | 80 |
| 17 | Bucks | 56% | 101 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Clippers | 24% | 91 | 82 |
| 11 | Hornets | 76% | 101 | 101 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 25 | Pistons | 19% | 93 | 78 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Timberwolves | 8% | 96 | 94 |
| 2 | Lakers | 92% | 115 | 99 |
Monday, November 8, 2010
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Spurs | 57% | 97 | 95 |
| 21 | Bobcats | 43% | 95 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Hawks | 26% | 94 | 89 |
| 3 | Magic | 74% | 103 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Warriors | 44% | 105 | 109 |
| 23 | Raptors | 56% | 107 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Nuggets | 52% | 103 | 92 |
| 15 | Bulls | 48% | 102 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 19 | Grizzlies | 52% | 109 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Celtics | 38% | 92 | 87 |
| 6 | Mavericks | 62% | 96 | 89 |
Sunday, November 7, 2010
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | 76ers | 26% | 100 | 106 |
| 13 | Knicks | 74% | 109 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Suns | 46% | 104 | 118 |
| 14 | Hawks | 54% | 105 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Warriors | 53% | 104 | 97 |
| 25 | Pistons | 47% | 103 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Timberwolves | 26% | 103 | 94 |
| 18 | Rockets | 74% | 111 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Celtics | 51% | 96 | 92 |
| 10 | Thunder | 49% | 95 | 83 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Trail Blazers | 30% | 96 | 96 |
| 2 | Lakers | 70% | 103 | 121 |
Saturday, November 6, 2010
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Magic | 62% | 94 | 91 |
| 18 | Bobcats | 38% | 90 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Cavaliers | 48% | 99 | 107 |
| 26 | Wizards | 52% | 100 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Nets | 8% | 86 | 89 | |
| 1 | Heat | 92% | 104 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Hornets | 45% | 95 | 87 | |
| 16 | Bucks | 55% | 97 | 81 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Rockets | 30% | 104 | 121 |
| 7 | Spurs | 70% | 111 | 124 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Nuggets | 31% | 97 | 103 |
| 5 | Mavericks | 69% | 104 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Clippers | 20% | 96 | 107 |
| 8 | Jazz | 80% | 107 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Raptors | 15% | 96 | 84 |
| 3 | Trail Blazers | 85% | 110 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Grizzlies | 42% | 104 | 100 |
| 24 | Kings | 58% | 107 | 91 |
Friday, November 5, 2010
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Bucks | 49% | 97 | 94 |
| 20 | Pacers | 51% | 98 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Nets | 14% | 90 | 90 | |
| 4 | Magic | 86% | 104 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Cavaliers | 45% | 96 | 123 |
| 24 | 76ers | 55% | 98 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Bobcats | 53% | 95 | 90 |
| 26 | Pistons | 47% | 94 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Wizards | 34% | 101 | 91 |
| 13 | Knicks | 66% | 106 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Bulls | 24% | 91 | 105 |
| 5 | Celtics | 76% | 100 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Hawks | 70% | 107 | 113 |
| 30 | Timberwolves | 30% | 100 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Heat | 64% | 99 | 93 |
| 14 | Hornets | 36% | 94 | 96 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Grizzlies | 27% | 104 | 118 |
| 9 | Suns | 73% | 112 | 123 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Clippers | 18% | 96 | 104 |
| 8 | Nuggets | 82% | 108 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Jazz | 54% | 109 | 78 |
| 17 | Warriors | 46% | 108 | 85 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Raptors | 16% | 99 | 103 |
| 1 | Lakers | 84% | 112 | 108 |
Thursday, November 4, 2010
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Knicks | 40% | 99 | 120 |
| 15 | Bulls | 60% | 102 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Thunder | 25% | 94 | 107 |
| 4 | Trail Blazers | 75% | 103 | 106 |
Wednesday, November 3, 2010
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Pistons | 25% | 97 | 85 |
| 12 | Hawks | 75% | 106 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Bobcats | 54% | 94 | 85 |
| 28 | Nets | 46% | 93 | 83 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Timberwolves | 9% | 93 | 86 |
| 4 | Magic | 91% | 111 | 128 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Pacers | 56% | 103 | 75 |
| 26 | 76ers | 44% | 101 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Bucks | 27% | 90 | 102 |
| 5 | Celtics | 73% | 98 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Hornets | 39% | 104 | 107 | |
| 13 | Rockets | 61% | 107 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Mavericks | 41% | 100 | 102 |
| 6 | Nuggets | 59% | 103 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Raptors | 27% | 102 | 108 |
| 10 | Jazz | 73% | 110 | 125 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Spurs | 41% | 104 | 112 |
| 8 | Suns | 59% | 107 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Grizzlies | 36% | 103 | 109 |
| 22 | Warriors | 64% | 107 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Thunder | 68% | 103 | 92 |
| 29 | Clippers | 32% | 97 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Lakers | 65% | 107 | 112 |
| 23 | Kings | 35% | 101 | 100 |
Tuesday, November 2, 2010
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Hawks | 51% | 101 | 100 |
| 20 | Cavaliers | 49% | 100 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | 76ers | 52% | 98 | 115 |
| 30 | Wizards | 48% | 97 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Celtics | 66% | 103 | 109 |
| 25 | Pistons | 34% | 97 | 86 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Timberwolves | 9% | 90 | 97 |
| 1 | Heat | 91% | 109 | 129 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Trail Blazers | 47% | 97 | 90 |
| 14 | Bucks | 53% | 98 | 76 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Grizzlies | 20% | 98 | 105 |
| 2 | Lakers | 80% | 109 | 124 |
Monday, November 1, 2010
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Trail Blazers | 60% | 101 | 98 |
| 18 | Bulls | 40% | 98 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Raptors | 45% | 104 | 108 |
| 25 | Kings | 55% | 106 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Spurs | 79% | 106 | 97 |
| 30 | Clippers | 21% | 96 | 88 |
Sunday, October 31, 2010
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Heat | 81% | 102 | 101 |
| 27 | Nets | 19% | 91 | 78 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Mavericks | 70% | 102 | 99 |
| 28 | Clippers | 30% | 95 | 83 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Jazz | 36% | 98 | 120 |
| 10 | Thunder | 64% | 103 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Warriors | 18% | 99 | 83 |
| 2 | Lakers | 82% | 111 | 107 |
Saturday, October 30, 2010
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Wizards | 24% | 96 | 95 |
| 13 | Hawks | 76% | 105 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Kings | 38% | 98 | 107 |
| 20 | Cavaliers | 62% | 102 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Trail Blazers | 62% | 104 | 100 |
| 15 | Knicks | 38% | 99 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | 76ers | 34% | 98 | 86 |
| 18 | Pacers | 66% | 104 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Pistons | 29% | 97 | 91 |
| 16 | Bulls | 71% | 104 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Timberwolves | 35% | 100 | 89 |
| 23 | Grizzlies | 65% | 105 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Nuggets | 40% | 107 | 107 |
| 11 | Rockets | 60% | 110 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Bobcats | 38% | 94 | 88 |
| 17 | Bucks | 62% | 98 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Hornets | 27% | 99 | 99 | |
| 6 | Spurs | 73% | 108 | 90 |
Friday, October 29, 2010
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Pacers | 40% | 97 | 104 |
| 19 | Bobcats | 60% | 100 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Kings | 48% | 99 | 100 |
| 28 | Nets | 52% | 100 | 106 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Hawks | 55% | 103 | 104 |
| 23 | 76ers | 45% | 101 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Cavaliers | 43% | 100 | 81 |
| 21 | Raptors | 57% | 102 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Knicks | 26% | 94 | 101 |
| 5 | Celtics | 74% | 103 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Thunder | 58% | 101 | 105 |
| 22 | Pistons | 42% | 98 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Magic | 31% | 95 | 70 |
| 1 | Heat | 69% | 102 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Bucks | 65% | 103 | 85 |
| 29 | Timberwolves | 35% | 98 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Nuggets | 48% | 104 | 95 |
| 12 | Hornets | 52% | 105 | 101 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Grizzlies | 21% | 94 | 91 |
| 7 | Mavericks | 79% | 105 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Clippers | 32% | 101 | 91 |
| 18 | Warriors | 68% | 107 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Lakers | 53% | 107 | 114 |
| 8 | Suns | 47% | 105 | 106 |
Thursday, October 28, 2010
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Wizards | 10% | 86 | 83 |
| 3 | Magic | 90% | 103 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Suns | 53% | 104 | 110 |
| 14 | Jazz | 47% | 102 | 94 |
Wednesday, October 27, 2010
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Celtics | 63% | 96 | 87 |
| 21 | Cavaliers | 37% | 91 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Pistons | 51% | 100 | 98 |
| 28 | Nets | 49% | 99 | 101 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Heat | 72% | 102 | 97 |
| 24 | 76ers | 28% | 94 | 87 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Knicks | 51% | 102 | 98 |
| 22 | Raptors | 49% | 101 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Hawks | 59% | 100 | 119 |
| 25 | Grizzlies | 41% | 96 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Kings | 48% | 95 | 117 |
| 29 | Timberwolves | 52% | 96 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Bucks | 41% | 98 | 91 |
| 13 | Hornets | 59% | 100 | 95 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Bulls | 38% | 91 | 95 |
| 10 | Thunder | 62% | 95 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Bobcats | 27% | 89 | 86 |
| 9 | Mavericks | 73% | 97 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Pacers | 25% | 91 | 109 |
| 6 | Spurs | 75% | 100 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Jazz | 37% | 98 | 88 |
| 8 | Nuggets | 63% | 103 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Rockets | 43% | 101 | 128 |
| 17 | Warriors | 57% | 104 | 132 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Trail Blazers | 68% | 101 | 98 |
| 27 | Clippers | 32% | 95 | 88 |
Tuesday, October 26, 2010
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Heat | 53% | 97 | 80 |
| 6 | Celtics | 47% | 96 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Suns | 38% | 100 | 92 |
| 5 | Trail Blazers | 62% | 105 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Rockets | 27% | 94 | 110 |
| 3 | Lakers | 73% | 102 | 112 |