Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Tuesday, April 28, 2015
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 11 | Mavericks | 94 | ||
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Monday, April 27, 2015
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 20 | Nets | 120 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 22 | Bucks | 94 | ||
 | 5 | Bulls | 88 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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%20--%3e%3csvg%20version='1.1'%20id='Layer_1'%20xmlns='http://www.w3.org/2000/svg'%20xmlns:xlink='http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink'%20x='0px'%20y='0px'%20viewBox='0%200%20400%20400'%20style='enable-background:new%200%200%20400%20400;'%20xml:space='preserve'%3e%3cstyle%20type='text/css'%3e%20.st0{fill:%23FFFFFF;}%20.st1{fill:%23CF0A2C;}%20%3c/style%3e%3cg%3e%3cpath%20d='M300.9,131.4c-4.4-6.5-9.4-12.6-15-18.2c-2.4-2.4-4.9-4.7-7.5-6.9L333,51.7H174l-61.4,61.4h0c0,0-0.1,0.1-0.1,0.1%20c-5.5,5.6-10.6,11.7-15,18.2c-4.4,6.6-8.2,13.6-11.3,20.8c-6.4,15.1-9.6,31.2-9.6,47.7c0,16.6,3.2,32.6,9.6,47.7%20c3.1,7.3,6.9,14.3,11.3,20.8c4.4,6.5,9.4,12.6,15,18.2c2.4,2.4,4.9,4.7,7.5,6.9l-54.6,54.6h159l61.6-61.6h0%20c5.5-5.5,10.5-11.6,14.9-18c4.4-6.6,8.2-13.6,11.3-20.8c6.4-15.1,9.6-31.2,9.6-47.7c0-16.6-3.2-32.6-9.6-47.7%20C309.1,145,305.3,137.9,300.9,131.4'/%3e%3cpath%20class='st0'%20d='M278.8,120.3c-2.4-2.4-4.9-4.7-7.4-6.8l-66.7,66.7c3.3,0.9,6.4,2.7,9,5.3l0,0c8.1,8.1,8.1,21.1,0,29.2%20L89.9,338.3h14.5l116.4-116.4c12-12,12.1-31.5,0.1-43.6l7.2-7.2c16,16.1,15.9,42-0.1,58L118.9,338.3h14.5l101.9-101.9%20c20-20,20.1-52.5,0.1-72.5l7.2-7.2c24,24.1,23.9,63-0.1,87l-94.7,94.7h14.5l87.4-87.4c28-28,28.1-73.4,0.1-101.5l7.2-7.2%20c31.9,32.1,31.9,84-0.1,116l-80.2,80.2h14.5l72.9-72.9c36-36,36.1-94.4,0.1-130.5l7.3-7.3c40,40.1,39.9,105-0.1,145l-65.6,65.6%20h14.5l58.4-58.4l0,0C322.8,235.8,322.8,164.4,278.8,120.3'/%3e%3cpath%20class='st1'%20d='M119.7,279.7c2.4,2.4,4.9,4.7,7.4,6.8l66.7-66.7c-3.3-0.9-6.4-2.7-9-5.3l0,0c-8.1-8.1-8.1-21.1,0-29.2%20L308.7,61.6h-14.5L177.7,178.1c-12,12-12.1,31.5-0.1,43.6l-7.2,7.2c-15.9-16.1-15.9-42,0.1-58L279.8,61.6h-14.5L163.2,163.6%20c-20,20-20.1,52.5-0.1,72.5l-7.2,7.2c-24-24.1-23.9-63,0.1-87l94.8-94.8h-14.5l-87.6,87.6c-28,28-28.1,73.4-0.1,101.5l-7.2,7.2%20c-31.9-32.1-31.9-84,0.1-116l80.3-80.3h-14.5l-73.1,73.1c-36,36-36.1,94.4-0.1,130.5l-7.3,7.3c-40-40.1-39.9-105,0.1-145l65.8-65.8%20h-14.5l-58.6,58.6l0,0C75.7,164.2,75.7,235.7,119.7,279.7'/%3e%3c/g%3e%3c/svg%3e) | 10 | Trail Blazers | 99 | ||
Sunday, April 26, 2015
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 18 | Celtics | 93 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 14 | Raptors | 94 | ||
%20--%3e%3csvg%20version='1.1'%20id='Layer_2_1_'%20xmlns='http://www.w3.org/2000/svg'%20xmlns:xlink='http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink'%20x='0px'%20y='0px'%20viewBox='0%200%20400%20400'%20style='enable-background:new%200%200%20400%20400;'%20xml:space='preserve'%3e%3cstyle%20type='text/css'%3e%20.st0{fill:%23FFFFFF;}%20.st1{fill:%23C4CDD3;}%20.st2{fill:%23002B5C;}%20.st3{fill:%23E21936;}%20%3c/style%3e%3cg%20id='Layer_2_2_'%3e%3cpath%20class='st0'%20d='M200.3,53.4h-0.3c-80.9,0-146.4,65.5-146.7,146.4v0.3c0,80.9,65.5,146.5,146.4,146.7h0.1h0.1l0,0%20c80.9,0,146.5-65.5,146.7-146.4v-0.1v-0.1C346.7,119.2,281.2,53.5,200.3,53.4'/%3e%3cpath%20class='st1'%20d='M350,199.6C349.8,117,282.7,50,200.1,50h-0.1h-0.3C117,50.2,50,117.3,50,199.9v0.2v0.1%20C50.1,283,117.2,350,199.9,350.1l0,0l0,0h0.1h0.1c82.8-0.1,149.7-67.2,149.8-149.8c0-0.1,0-0.1,0-0.2S350,199.8,350,199.6%20M346.7,200.2L346.7,200.2c-0.1,81-65.6,146.5-146.7,146.5l0,0h-0.1h-0.1C118.9,346.6,53.4,281,53.4,200.1v-0.3%20c0.1-80.9,65.8-146.4,146.7-146.4h0.3c80.9,0.2,146.3,65.8,146.3,146.7L346.7,200.2L346.7,200.2z'/%3e%3cpath%20class='st2'%20d='M151,166.7c15.3-15.3,21.6-33,21.6-33l3.4-12.4l0.8-2.9l-15.7-8.8c0,0-9.1-6.3-29.5,5.5%20c-23.8,14.1-43.2,32.3-53.3,51.5c-5.6,10.6-10,23.1-12.3,37c0.7,26.5,9.1,51,23.1,71.6C85.2,237,122.1,195.2,151,166.7'/%3e%3cpath%20class='st2'%20d='M268.6,115.2c-20.3-11.9-29.5-5.5-29.5-5.5l-15.7,8.8l0.8,2.9l3.4,12.4c0,0,6.4,17.8,21.6,33%20c28.8,28.4,65.4,70,61.8,108.1c13.9-20.7,22.3-45.6,22.7-72.3c-2.3-13.5-6.7-25.4-12.1-35.8C311.7,147.5,292.3,129.3,268.6,115.2'%20/%3e%3cpath%20class='st3'%20d='M219.5,92.4c53.5,6,88.7,36.3,106.8,63.3c-13.6-38.9-44.8-69.6-83.9-82.5C233.9,75.6,224.3,81,219.5,92.4'/%3e%3cpath%20class='st3'%20d='M180.7,92.4c-4.8-11.3-14.4-16.7-23.1-19.2c-39.4,13.2-70.7,44-84.2,83.2C91.5,129.3,126.8,98.4,180.7,92.4'/%3e%3cpath%20class='st3'%20d='M189.5,90.7L200.2,75l10.6,15.7c4.3-11.6,11-18,17.8-21.6c-9.2-2-18.7-3.1-28.3-3.1c-9.8,0-19.2,1.1-28.5,3%20C178.5,72.7,185.2,79.1,189.5,90.7'/%3e%3cpath%20class='st2'%20d='M272.8,208.1c-21.7-35.1-71.1-70.7-72.8-71.8c-1.6,1.1-50.9,36.7-72.8,71.8c-29.4,47.5-25.5,75-17.9,90.6%20c18.9,17.5,42.8,29.4,69.5,33.6l11.5-162.3l9.5-9.5l0.1-0.1l0,0l0,0l0.1,0.1l9.5,9.5L221.2,332l-0.2,0.1%20c26.8-4.2,50.9-16.4,69.8-34C298.5,282.6,302,255.2,272.8,208.1'/%3e%3cpolygon%20class='st1'%20points='209.7,170%20200.2,160.4%20200.3,344.1%20221,332.2%20221.2,332.1%20'/%3e%3cpath%20class='st1'%20d='M200.1,123.9l-4.2,3.1l-17.5,12.8l4.6-16.7l0.8-2.9l1.5-5.6l-5-2.7l-16.5-8.9c8.2-1.8,16.7-3,25.4-3.6l4.2-0.3%20l0.2-0.3l1.6-3.4l0.3-0.5l0,0l4.7-9.4l4.8,9.9l0,0l0.1,0.2l1.6,3.4l0.2,0.3l4.2,0.3c8.6,0.5,17,1.6,25.4,3.6l-16.5,8.9l-5,2.7%20l1.5,5.6l0.8,2.9l4.6,16.7l-17.5-12.8l-4.2-3.1v-0.1H200.1L200.1,123.9L200.1,123.9z'/%3e%3cpath%20class='st1'%20d='M200.3,123.9L200.3,123.9l4.2,3.2l17.5,12.8l-4.6-16.7l-0.8-2.9l-1.5-5.6l5-2.7l16.5-8.9%20c-8.2-1.8-16.7-3-25.4-3.6l-4.2-0.3l-0.2-0.3l-1.6-3.4l-0.1-0.2l-4.8-9.9l-4.7,9.4l0,0l-0.3,0.5l-1.6,3.4l-0.2,0.3l-4.2,0.3%20c-8.6,0.5-17,1.6-25.4,3.6l16.5,8.9l5,2.7l-1.4,5.6l-0.8,2.9l-4.6,16.7l17.5-12.8l4.2-3.1v-0.1L200.3,123.9L200.3,123.9%20L200.3,123.9z'/%3e%3c/g%3e%3c/svg%3e) | 16 | Wizards | 125 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Rockets | 109 | ||
| 10 | Mavericks | 121 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Clippers | 114 | ||
| 2 | Spurs | 105 | ||
Saturday, April 25, 2015
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Hawks | 83 | ||
| 20 | Nets | 91 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Bulls | 90 | ||
| 22 | Bucks | 92 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 12 | Pelicans | 98 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Grizzlies | 115 | ||
| 11 | Trail Blazers | 109 | ||
Friday, April 24, 2015
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Raptors | 99 | ||
| 16 | Wizards | 106 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Rockets | 130 | ||
| 13 | Mavericks | 128 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Clippers | 73 | ||
| 3 | Spurs | 100 | ||
Thursday, April 23, 2015
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Cavaliers | 103 | ||
| 16 | Celtics | 95 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Bulls | 113 | ||
| 22 | Bucks | 106 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Warriors | 123 | ||
| 10 | Pelicans | 119 | ||
Wednesday, April 22, 2015
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Nets | 91 | ||
| 8 | Hawks | 96 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Spurs | 111 | ||
| 2 | Clippers | 107 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Trail Blazers | 82 | ||
| 9 | Grizzlies | 97 | ||
Tuesday, April 21, 2015
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Celtics | 91 | ||
| 4 | Cavaliers | 99 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Wizards | 117 | ||
| 11 | Raptors | 106 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Mavericks | 99 | ||
| 7 | Rockets | 111 | ||
Monday, April 20, 2015
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Bucks | 82 | ||
| 6 | Bulls | 91 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Pelicans | 87 | ||
| 2 | Warriors | 97 | ||
Sunday, April 19, 2015
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Nets | 92 | ||
| 8 | Hawks | 99 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Celtics | 100 | ||
| 4 | Cavaliers | 113 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Spurs | 92 | ||
| 2 | Clippers | 107 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Trail Blazers | 86 | ||
| 10 | Grizzlies | 100 | ||
Saturday, April 18, 2015
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Bucks | 91 | ||
| 6 | Bulls | 103 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Wizards | 93 | ||
| 8 | Raptors | 86 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Pelicans | 99 | ||
| 3 | Warriors | 106 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Mavericks | 108 | ||
| 7 | Rockets | 118 | ||
Wednesday, April 15, 2015
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Hawks | 40% | 101 | 85 |
| 7 | Bulls | 60% | 105 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Trail Blazers | 98 | ||
| 13 | Mavericks | 114 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 6 | Rockets | 71% | 101 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 11 | Grizzlies | 95 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Celtics | 39% | 98 | 105 |
| 20 | Bucks | 61% | 101 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 5 | Thunder | 138 | ||
 | 28 | Timberwolves | 113 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Spurs | 57% | 103 | 103 |
| 10 | Pelicans | 43% | 101 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 27 | Magic | 88 | ||
| 21 | Nets | 101 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Wizards | 39% | 98 | 108 |
| 4 | Cavaliers | 61% | 102 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 19 | Pistons | 112 | ||
 | 30 | Knicks | 90 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 15 | Heat | 63% | 101 | 105 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 25 | Hornets | 87 | ||
| 8 | Raptors | 92 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 1 | Warriors | 86% | 115 | 133 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 26 | Lakers | 99 | ||