Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Thursday, February 13, 2003
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 13 | Celtics | 29% | 93 | 100 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 17 | Magic | 29% | 93 | 88 |
 | 8 | Pistons | 71% | 100 | 98 |
Wednesday, February 12, 2003
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 20 | Knicks | 65% | 105 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 27 | Bulls | 25% | 92 | 111 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 21 | Raptors | 71% | 100 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 12 | Timberwolves | 66% | 103 | 102 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Nets | 63% | 100 | 90 | |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 16 | Hornets | 51% | 95 | 72 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 1 | Mavericks | 54% | 106 | 114 |
 | 10 | Bucks | 46% | 105 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 9 | Lakers | 63% | 95 | 113 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Tuesday, February 11, 2003
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Pistons | 62% | 97 | 89 |
| 27 | Bulls | 38% | 93 | 79 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Nets | 48% | 100 | 83 | |
| 12 | Magic | 52% | 101 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Cavaliers | 15% | 92 | 96 |
| 7 | Pacers | 85% | 105 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Hornets | 47% | 88 | 78 | |
 | 24 | Heat | 53% | 89 | 69 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Warriors | 47% | 100 | 116 |
| 25 | Hawks | 53% | 101 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mavericks | 60% | 106 | 98 |
| 11 | Timberwolves | 40% | 103 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Jazz | 52% | 95 | 103 |
| 19 | Rockets | 48% | 94 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Clippers | 34% | 95 | 107 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Wizards | 25% | 92 | 80 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 2 | Trail Blazers | 64% | 96 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Celtics | 44% | 95 | 82 |
| 14 | SuperSonics | 56% | 97 | 76 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Nuggets | 17% | 88 | 93 |
| 3 | Lakers | 83% | 99 | 121 |
Thursday, February 6, 2003
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Lakers | 54% | 102 | 114 |
| 19 | Knicks | 46% | 100 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | SuperSonics | 29% | 96 | 91 | |
| 9 | Bucks | 71% | 103 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Spurs | 64% | 90 | 83 |
| 28 | Nuggets | 36% | 85 | 74 |
Wednesday, February 5, 2003
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Spurs | 53% | 99 | 103 |
| 18 | Warriors | 47% | 98 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Grizzlies | 19% | 94 | 84 |
| 5 | Jazz | 81% | 104 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Kings | 54% | 97 | 84 |
| 20 | Hornets | 46% | 95 | 108 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Clippers | 22% | 89 | 80 |
| 7 | Pistons | 78% | 99 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Trail Blazers | 53% | 92 | 101 |
| 24 | Heat | 47% | 91 | 87 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Nets | 49% | 94 | 111 | |
| 15 | 76ers | 51% | 95 | 85 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Rockets | 64% | 99 | 102 |
| 29 | Cavaliers | 36% | 94 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | SuperSonics | 38% | 93 | 74 | |
| 11 | Celtics | 62% | 97 | 114 |
Tuesday, February 4, 2003
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Kings | 34% | 101 | 110 |
| 1 | Mavericks | 66% | 106 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Bulls | 41% | 90 | 100 |
| 28 | Nuggets | 59% | 93 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Rockets | 36% | 96 | 89 |
| 12 | Timberwolves | 64% | 101 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Raptors | 30% | 97 | 98 |
| 10 | Bucks | 70% | 104 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Clippers | 42% | 98 | 92 |
| 22 | Knicks | 58% | 101 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Lakers | 43% | 99 | 97 |
| 8 | Pacers | 57% | 101 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Trail Blazers | 49% | 101 | 96 |
| 15 | Magic | 51% | 102 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Cavaliers | 21% | 91 | 84 |
| 19 | Wizards | 79% | 101 | 93 |
Monday, February 3, 2003
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | SuperSonics | 35% | 90 | 108 | |
| 11 | Nets | 65% | 95 | 109 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Hawks | 32% | 89 | 79 |
| 24 | Heat | 68% | 95 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Celtics | 46% | 93 | 96 |
| 22 | Hornets | 54% | 95 | 103 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mavericks | 49% | 101 | 92 |
| 4 | Jazz | 51% | 102 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Bulls | 29% | 95 | 111 |
| 16 | Suns | 71% | 102 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Grizzlies | 28% | 101 | 91 |
| 17 | Warriors | 72% | 108 | 101 |
Sunday, February 2, 2003
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Grizzlies | 54% | 94 | 78 |
| 28 | Nuggets | 46% | 93 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Kings | 61% | 99 | 89 |
| 21 | Rockets | 39% | 96 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 76ers | 38% | 97 | 91 |
| 10 | Timberwolves | 62% | 101 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Magic | 49% | 101 | 89 |
| 26 | Hawks | 51% | 102 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Clippers | 46% | 97 | 86 |
| 23 | Raptors | 54% | 98 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Trail Blazers | 75% | 102 | 114 |
| 29 | Cavaliers | 25% | 93 | 95 |
Saturday, February 1, 2003
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Bulls | 25% | 92 | 77 |
| 16 | SuperSonics | 75% | 100 | 90 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Hornets | 32% | 89 | 104 | |
| 17 | Wizards | 68% | 95 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Celtics | 32% | 93 | 100 |
| 8 | Pacers | 68% | 99 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Nets | 37% | 89 | 84 | |
| 7 | Pistons | 63% | 93 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Spurs | 55% | 90 | 67 |
| 24 | Heat | 45% | 89 | 65 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Knicks | 27% | 98 | 100 |
| 9 | Bucks | 73% | 106 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Nuggets | 8% | 87 | 100 |
| 1 | Mavericks | 92% | 104 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Warriors | 35% | 98 | 107 |
| 14 | Suns | 65% | 103 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Jazz | 37% | 97 | 87 |
| 3 | Lakers | 63% | 102 | 99 |
Friday, January 31, 2003
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Heat | 33% | 88 | 99 |
| 13 | 76ers | 67% | 94 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Lakers | 34% | 99 | 124 |
| 2 | Kings | 66% | 104 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Suns | 43% | 97 | 98 |
| 18 | Clippers | 57% | 99 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Bulls | 22% | 93 | 94 |
| 7 | Trail Blazers | 78% | 102 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Warriors | 24% | 97 | 94 |
| 4 | Jazz | 76% | 105 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Timberwolves | 43% | 96 | 101 |
| 22 | Rockets | 57% | 99 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Knicks | 48% | 100 | 108 |
| 26 | Grizzlies | 52% | 101 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Spurs | 49% | 98 | 109 |
| 16 | Magic | 51% | 99 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Cavaliers | 27% | 94 | 91 |
| 25 | Hawks | 73% | 102 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Hornets | 28% | 89 | 72 | |
| 5 | Nets | 72% | 97 | 89 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Pistons | 44% | 91 | 118 |
| 12 | Celtics | 56% | 92 | 66 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Pacers | 59% | 99 | 90 |
| 24 | Raptors | 41% | 96 | 102 |