Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Saturday, January 27, 2018
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 4 | Thunder | 57% | 104 | 121 |
 | 20 | Pistons | 43% | 102 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 28 | Magic | 33% | 105 | 112 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 16 | Hornets | 40% | 101 | 91 |
 | 13 | Heat | 60% | 105 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 5 | Celtics | 18% | 103 | 105 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 22 | Mavericks | 31% | 104 | 89 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 27 | Nets | 22% | 104 | 97 |
 | 8 | Timberwolves | 78% | 115 | 111 |
Friday, January 26, 2018
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Hawks | 33% | 104 | 110 |
| 16 | Hornets | 67% | 110 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Pacers | 36% | 111 | 108 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 3 | Raptors | 68% | 107 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 27 | Lakers | 40% | 108 | 108 |
 | 23 | Bulls | 60% | 111 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Nets | 38% | 106 | 91 |
 | 18 | Bucks | 62% | 110 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 11 | Pelicans | 36% | 110 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 21 | Mavericks | 45% | 105 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 22 | Knicks | 51% | 113 | 107 |
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Thursday, January 25, 2018
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 11 | Heat | 78% | 106 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Wizards | 39% | 104 | 112 |
| 4 | Thunder | 61% | 108 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Knicks | 33% | 105 | 118 |
| 10 | Nuggets | 67% | 112 | 130 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Timberwolves | 13% | 105 | 113 |
| 1 | Warriors | 87% | 121 | 126 |
Wednesday, January 24, 2018
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Pelicans | 47% | 109 | 101 |
| 16 | Hornets | 53% | 110 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Jazz | 48% | 101 | 98 |
| 19 | Pistons | 52% | 102 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Suns | 35% | 107 | 101 |
| 22 | Pacers | 65% | 112 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Bulls | 30% | 103 | 101 |
| 6 | 76ers | 70% | 111 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Raptors | 69% | 112 | 108 |
| 24 | Hawks | 31% | 105 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Spurs | 62% | 98 | 108 |
| 29 | Grizzlies | 38% | 94 | 85 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Rockets | 71% | 114 | 104 |
| 20 | Mavericks | 29% | 106 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Timberwolves | 49% | 107 | 114 |
| 14 | Blazers | 51% | 108 | 123 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Celtics | 49% | 106 | 113 |
| 17 | Clippers | 51% | 107 | 102 |
Tuesday, January 23, 2018
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Kings | 30% | 103 | 105 |
| 26 | Magic | 70% | 111 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Cavaliers | 42% | 105 | 102 |
| 10 | Spurs | 58% | 108 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Nets | 27% | 102 | 108 |
| 6 | Thunder | 73% | 111 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Celtics | 69% | 109 | 107 |
| 27 | Lakers | 31% | 102 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Knicks | 14% | 104 | 112 |
| 1 | Warriors | 86% | 119 | 123 |
Monday, January 22, 2018
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Kings | 21% | 99 | 107 |
| 15 | Hornets | 79% | 111 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Jazz | 58% | 105 | 90 |
| 25 | Hawks | 42% | 103 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Heat | 22% | 102 | 90 |
| 2 | Rockets | 78% | 113 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 76ers | 62% | 103 | 101 |
| 26 | Grizzlies | 38% | 99 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Suns | 36% | 107 | 105 |
| 23 | Bucks | 64% | 112 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Bulls | 34% | 108 | 128 |
| 8 | Pelicans | 66% | 113 | 132 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Wizards | 55% | 109 | 75 |
| 20 | Mavericks | 45% | 107 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Blazers | 44% | 107 | 101 |
| 12 | Nuggets | 56% | 109 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Timberwolves | 52% | 111 | 126 |
| 17 | Clippers | 48% | 110 | 118 |
Sunday, January 21, 2018
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Magic | 21% | 99 | 103 |
| 4 | Celtics | 79% | 111 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Knicks | 57% | 109 | 107 |
| 28 | Lakers | 43% | 106 | 127 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Nets | 38% | 104 | 101 |
| 18 | Pistons | 62% | 109 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Pacers | 35% | 100 | 94 |
| 8 | Spurs | 65% | 105 | 86 |
Saturday, January 20, 2018
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Thunder | 43% | 109 | 148 |
| 8 | Cavaliers | 57% | 111 | 124 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Bulls | 48% | 108 | 113 |
| 24 | Hawks | 52% | 109 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Grizzlies | 26% | 101 | 104 |
| 11 | Pelicans | 74% | 110 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Heat | 41% | 102 | 106 |
| 17 | Hornets | 59% | 105 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Bucks | 31% | 101 | 94 |
| 6 | 76ers | 69% | 108 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Warriors | 53% | 116 | 108 |
| 2 | Rockets | 47% | 115 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Clippers | 48% | 104 | 113 |
| 15 | Jazz | 52% | 105 | 125 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Raptors | 38% | 108 | 109 |
| 3 | Timberwolves | 62% | 113 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Mavericks | 38% | 103 | 108 |
| 14 | Blazers | 62% | 107 | 117 |
Friday, January 19, 2018
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Spurs | 34% | 102 | 83 |
| 4 | Raptors | 66% | 108 | 86 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Heat | 57% | 108 | 95 |
| 25 | Nets | 43% | 105 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Kings | 32% | 98 | 88 |
| 26 | Grizzlies | 68% | 105 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Wizards | 51% | 106 | 122 |
| 18 | Pistons | 49% | 105 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Suns | 24% | 107 | 108 |
| 12 | Nuggets | 76% | 117 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Knicks | 40% | 101 | 117 |
| 17 | Jazz | 60% | 105 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Pacers | 53% | 109 | 86 |
| 28 | Lakers | 47% | 108 | 99 |
Thursday, January 18, 2018
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Magic | 25% | 110 | 103 |
| 6 | Cavaliers | 75% | 120 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | 76ers | 39% | 97 | 89 |
| 9 | Celtics | 61% | 101 | 80 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Timberwolves | 39% | 110 | 98 |
| 2 | Rockets | 61% | 114 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Pacers | 39% | 105 | 86 |
| 15 | Blazers | 61% | 109 | 100 |
Wednesday, January 17, 2018
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Wizards | 51% | 108 | 109 |
| 14 | Hornets | 49% | 107 | 133 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Pelicans | 53% | 111 | 93 |
| 24 | Hawks | 47% | 110 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Spurs | 59% | 106 | 100 |
| 26 | Nets | 41% | 103 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Pistons | 27% | 103 | 91 |
| 4 | Raptors | 73% | 111 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Knicks | 49% | 103 | 99 |
| 25 | Grizzlies | 51% | 104 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Warriors | 78% | 119 | 119 |
| 23 | Bulls | 22% | 109 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Heat | 45% | 104 | 106 |
| 13 | Bucks | 55% | 105 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Lakers | 27% | 101 | 90 |
| 6 | Thunder | 73% | 110 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Jazz | 68% | 105 | 120 |
| 30 | Kings | 32% | 98 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Nuggets | 40% | 109 | 104 |
| 15 | Clippers | 60% | 112 | 109 |
Tuesday, January 16, 2018
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Timberwolves | 72% | 115 | 102 |
| 28 | Magic | 28% | 107 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Pelicans | 35% | 103 | 116 |
| 5 | Celtics | 65% | 109 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Mavericks | 37% | 106 | 102 |
| 10 | Nuggets | 63% | 111 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Suns | 26% | 104 | 111 |
| 16 | Blazers | 74% | 113 | 118 |
Monday, January 15, 2018
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Hornets | 48% | 104 | 118 |
| 19 | Pistons | 52% | 105 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Raptors | 52% | 110 | 111 |
| 8 | 76ers | 48% | 109 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Bucks | 30% | 104 | 104 |
| 7 | Wizards | 70% | 112 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Spurs | 67% | 107 | 99 |
| 26 | Hawks | 33% | 101 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Knicks | 41% | 106 | 119 |
| 23 | Nets | 59% | 109 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Heat | 52% | 105 | 111 |
| 24 | Bulls | 48% | 104 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Lakers | 42% | 102 | 114 |
| 25 | Grizzlies | 58% | 105 | 123 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Warriors | 67% | 120 | 118 |
| 10 | Cavaliers | 33% | 114 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Kings | 18% | 98 | 88 |
| 9 | Thunder | 82% | 111 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Pacers | 33% | 101 | 109 |
| 16 | Jazz | 67% | 107 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Rockets | 64% | 116 | 102 |
| 18 | Clippers | 36% | 111 | 113 |
Sunday, January 14, 2018
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Bucks | 42% | 104 | 79 |
| 11 | Heat | 58% | 107 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Pelicans | 48% | 109 | 123 |
| 19 | Knicks | 52% | 110 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Pacers | 61% | 113 | 120 |
| 29 | Suns | 39% | 109 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Blazers | 33% | 104 | 103 |
| 4 | Timberwolves | 67% | 110 | 120 |