Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Monday, April 29, 2019
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 2 | Raptors | 72% | 117 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Sunday, April 28, 2019
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 7 | Celtics | 33% | 107 | 112 |
 | 4 | Bucks | 67% | 113 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Saturday, April 27, 2019
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 76ers | 24% | 107 | 95 |
| 3 | Raptors | 76% | 117 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 7 | Nuggets | 69% | 113 | 90 |
Friday, April 26, 2019
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Warriors | 62% | 119 | 129 |
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Thursday, April 25, 2019
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Nuggets | 46% | 108 | 103 |
| 11 | Spurs | 54% | 109 | 120 |
Wednesday, April 24, 2019
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 1 | Rockets | 72% | 110 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Clippers | 22% | 110 | 129 |
| 3 | Warriors | 78% | 121 | 121 |
Tuesday, April 23, 2019
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 13 | Magic | 22% | 101 | 96 |
| 1 | Raptors | 78% | 112 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 18 | Nets | 30% | 110 | 100 |
| 10 | 76ers | 70% | 117 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Spurs | 35% | 107 | 90 |
| 7 | Nuggets | 65% | 112 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 8 | Thunder | 43% | 112 | 115 |
| 9 | Trail Blazers | 57% | 114 | 118 |
Monday, April 22, 2019
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Bucks | 57% | 110 | 127 |
 | 14 | Pistons | 43% | 108 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Rockets | 46% | 106 | 91 |
| 5 | Jazz | 54% | 107 | 107 |
Sunday, April 21, 2019
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Celtics | 49% | 104 | 110 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Warriors | 55% | 115 | 113 |
| 16 | Clippers | 45% | 113 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Raptors | 57% | 108 | 107 |
| 12 | Magic | 43% | 105 | 85 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Trail Blazers | 36% | 110 | 111 |
| 7 | Thunder | 64% | 115 | 98 |
Saturday, April 20, 2019
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 76ers | 49% | 112 | 112 |
| 18 | Nets | 51% | 113 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Nuggets | 46% | 109 | 117 |
| 9 | Spurs | 54% | 110 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Bucks | 57% | 110 | 119 |
| 14 | Pistons | 43% | 107 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Rockets | 45% | 105 | 104 |
| 5 | Jazz | 55% | 107 | 101 |
Friday, April 19, 2019
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Raptors | 56% | 107 | 98 |
| 13 | Magic | 44% | 105 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Celtics | 49% | 104 | 104 |
| 12 | Pacers | 51% | 105 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Trail Blazers | 32% | 109 | 108 |
| 7 | Thunder | 68% | 115 | 120 |
Thursday, April 18, 2019
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 76ers | 49% | 111 | 131 |
| 18 | Nets | 51% | 112 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Nuggets | 44% | 108 | 108 |
| 9 | Spurs | 56% | 110 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Warriors | 55% | 117 | 132 |
| 13 | Clippers | 45% | 115 | 105 |
Wednesday, April 17, 2019
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Pacers | 33% | 102 | 91 |
| 7 | Celtics | 67% | 108 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Pistons | 25% | 103 | 99 |
| 8 | Bucks | 75% | 113 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Jazz | 30% | 104 | 98 |
| 1 | Rockets | 70% | 111 | 118 |
Tuesday, April 16, 2019
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Magic | 20% | 101 | 82 |
| 1 | Raptors | 80% | 113 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Spurs | 33% | 106 | 105 |
| 6 | Nuggets | 67% | 112 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Thunder | 49% | 113 | 94 |
| 11 | Trail Blazers | 51% | 114 | 114 |
Monday, April 15, 2019
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Nets | 30% | 108 | 123 |
| 10 | 76ers | 70% | 115 | 145 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Clippers | 23% | 109 | 135 |
| 3 | Warriors | 77% | 120 | 131 |
Sunday, April 14, 2019
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Pacers | 32% | 101 | 74 |
| 9 | Celtics | 68% | 108 | 84 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Thunder | 51% | 114 | 99 |
| 13 | Trail Blazers | 49% | 113 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Pistons | 31% | 104 | 86 |
| 11 | Bucks | 69% | 111 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Jazz | 25% | 102 | 90 |
| 2 | Rockets | 75% | 112 | 122 |
Saturday, April 13, 2019
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Nets | 31% | 107 | 111 |
| 9 | 76ers | 69% | 114 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Magic | 22% | 102 | 104 |
| 2 | Raptors | 78% | 113 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Clippers | 23% | 108 | 104 |
| 3 | Warriors | 77% | 118 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Spurs | 33% | 106 | 101 |
| 4 | Nuggets | 67% | 112 | 96 |
Wednesday, April 10, 2019
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Pacers | 63% | 116 | 135 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 13 | Heat | 38% | 106 | 94 |
| 9 | Nets | 62% | 110 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Magic | 57% | 112 | 122 |
 | 18 | Hornets | 43% | 110 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Pistons | 66% | 111 | 115 |
 | 28 | Knicks | 34% | 105 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 30 | Bulls | 29% | 104 | 109 |
| 25 | 76ers | 71% | 112 | 125 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Warriors | 59% | 111 | 117 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Thunder | 29% | 110 | 127 |
| 3 | Bucks | 71% | 117 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 19 | Mavericks | 28% | 110 | 94 |
| 6 | Spurs | 72% | 118 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 23 | Timberwolves | 21% | 106 | 95 |
| 4 | Nuggets | 79% | 118 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Jazz | 42% | 110 | 137 |
| 16 | Clippers | 58% | 113 | 143 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 7 | Trail Blazers | 61% | 118 | 136 |
Tuesday, April 9, 2019
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Hornets | 64% | 117 | 124 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Grizzlies | 29% | 102 | 93 |
| 10 | Pistons | 71% | 110 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Celtics | 49% | 113 | 116 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | 76ers | 44% | 107 | 99 |
| 12 | Heat | 56% | 109 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Knicks | 49% | 107 | 96 |
| 30 | Bulls | 51% | 108 | 86 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Raptors | 65% | 116 | 120 |
| 20 | Timberwolves | 35% | 110 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Warriors | 77% | 121 | 112 |
 | 26 | Pelicans | 23% | 111 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 19 | Mavericks | 78% | 118 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Nuggets | 44% | 107 | 108 |
| 6 | Jazz | 56% | 109 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rockets | 48% | 113 | 111 |
| 4 | Thunder | 52% | 114 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Trail Blazers | 61% | 117 | 104 |
 | 23 | Lakers | 39% | 113 | 101 |
Sunday, April 7, 2019
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Spurs | 71% | 117 | 112 |
| 27 | Cavaliers | 29% | 109 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Thunder | 61% | 116 | 132 |
| 18 | Timberwolves | 39% | 112 | 126 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Hornets | 36% | 110 | 104 |
| 11 | Pistons | 64% | 115 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Nets | 34% | 107 | 108 |
| 9 | Pacers | 66% | 113 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Mavericks | 51% | 109 | 129 |
| 24 | Grizzlies | 49% | 108 | 127 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Suns | 9% | 103 | 113 |
| 3 | Rockets | 91% | 122 | 149 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Hawks | 23% | 111 | 107 |
| 5 | Bucks | 77% | 122 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Magic | 32% | 105 | 116 |
| 4 | Celtics | 68% | 111 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Wizards | 66% | 116 | 110 |
| 28 | Knicks | 34% | 110 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Clippers | 23% | 112 | 104 |
| 1 | Warriors | 77% | 123 | 131 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Nuggets | 35% | 110 | 108 |
| 8 | Trail Blazers | 65% | 116 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Pelicans | 31% | 112 | 133 |
| 17 | Kings | 69% | 120 | 129 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Jazz | 68% | 111 | 109 |
| 25 | Lakers | 32% | 104 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Heat | 25% | 104 | 109 |
| 2 | Raptors | 75% | 113 | 117 |
Saturday, April 6, 2019
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Nets | 30% | 109 | 133 |
| 5 | Bucks | 70% | 117 | 128 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 76ers | 82% | 117 | 116 |
| 30 | Bulls | 18% | 104 | 96 |
Friday, April 5, 2019
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Raptors | 70% | 118 | 111 |
| 20 | Hornets | 30% | 110 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Hawks | 31% | 110 | 113 |
| 12 | Magic | 69% | 117 | 149 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Spurs | 58% | 117 | 129 |
| 21 | Wizards | 42% | 114 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Celtics | 54% | 108 | 117 |
| 11 | Pacers | 46% | 107 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Knicks | 8% | 102 | 96 |
| 1 | Rockets | 92% | 122 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Heat | 49% | 109 | 109 |
| 19 | Timberwolves | 51% | 110 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Pistons | 33% | 108 | 110 |
| 6 | Thunder | 67% | 114 | 123 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Grizzlies | 44% | 104 | 122 |
| 23 | Mavericks | 56% | 106 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Kings | 26% | 106 | 98 |
| 7 | Jazz | 74% | 115 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Pelicans | 56% | 114 | 126 |
| 28 | Suns | 44% | 112 | 133 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Trail Blazers | 35% | 111 | 110 |
| 8 | Nuggets | 65% | 116 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Cavaliers | 11% | 107 | 114 |
| 3 | Warriors | 89% | 124 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Lakers | 24% | 110 | 122 |
| 16 | Clippers | 76% | 120 | 117 |
Thursday, April 4, 2019
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Bucks | 53% | 114 | 128 |
| 9 | 76ers | 47% | 113 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Cavaliers | 26% | 110 | 104 |
| 18 | Kings | 74% | 119 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Warriors | 79% | 121 | 108 |
| 25 | Lakers | 21% | 109 | 90 |
Wednesday, April 3, 2019
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Pacers | 52% | 105 | 108 |
| 18 | Pistons | 48% | 104 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Knicks | 19% | 102 | 100 |
| 13 | Magic | 81% | 114 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Bulls | 21% | 106 | 115 |
| 20 | Wizards | 79% | 118 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 76ers | 64% | 120 | 122 |
| 24 | Hawks | 36% | 115 | 130 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Raptors | 63% | 116 | 115 |
| 16 | Nets | 37% | 111 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Celtics | 57% | 108 | 112 |
| 11 | Heat | 43% | 105 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Hornets | 56% | 116 | 115 |
| 26 | Pelicans | 44% | 114 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Timberwolves | 41% | 112 | 110 |
| 19 | Mavericks | 59% | 115 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Spurs | 37% | 110 | 85 |
| 7 | Nuggets | 63% | 114 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Jazz | 81% | 115 | 118 |
| 28 | Suns | 19% | 103 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Grizzlies | 30% | 105 | 89 |
| 12 | Trail Blazers | 70% | 112 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Rockets | 55% | 116 | 135 |
| 15 | Clippers | 45% | 115 | 103 |
Tuesday, April 2, 2019
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Lakers | 23% | 108 | 103 |
| 7 | Thunder | 77% | 118 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Hawks | 22% | 111 | 111 |
| 9 | Spurs | 78% | 122 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Rockets | 62% | 116 | 130 |
| 14 | Kings | 38% | 111 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Nuggets | 33% | 111 | 102 |
| 1 | Warriors | 67% | 117 | 116 |