Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Sunday, January 28, 2018
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
15 | Bucks | 51% | 109 | 110 | |
24 | Bulls | 49% | 108 | 96 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
29 | Suns | 102 | |||
2 | Rockets | 113 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
12 | Clippers | 42% | 110 | 112 | |
13 | Pelicans | 58% | 113 | 103 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
23 | Pistons | 104 | |||
9 | Cavaliers | 121 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
25 | Lakers | 21% | 104 | 111 | |
4 | Raptors | 79% | 115 | 123 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
11 | 76ers | 112 | |||
6 | Thunder | 122 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
30 | Kings | 18% | 92 | 98 | |
3 | Spurs | 82% | 105 | 113 |
Saturday, January 27, 2018
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 | Thunder | 121 | |||
23 | Pistons | 108 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
27 | Magic | 34% | 105 | 112 | |
19 | Pacers | 66% | 111 | 114 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
10 | Wizards | 129 | |||
28 | Hawks | 104 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
16 | Hornets | 40% | 101 | 91 | |
18 | Heat | 60% | 105 | 95 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | Celtics | 105 | |||
1 | Warriors | 109 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
25 | Nets | 23% | 104 | 97 | |
5 | Timberwolves | 77% | 115 | 111 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
22 | Mavericks | 89 | |||
8 | Nuggets | 91 |
Friday, January 26, 2018
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
28 | Hawks | 110 | |||
15 | Hornets | 121 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
19 | Pacers | 36% | 111 | 108 | |
10 | Cavaliers | 64% | 116 | 115 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
17 | Jazz | 97 | |||
4 | Raptors | 93 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
26 | Lakers | 40% | 108 | 108 | |
24 | Bulls | 60% | 111 | 103 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
11 | Clippers | 109 | |||
21 | Grizzlies | 100 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
25 | Nets | 39% | 106 | 91 | |
14 | Bucks | 61% | 110 | 116 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | Rockets | 113 | |||
13 | Pelicans | 115 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
16 | Trail Blazers | 55% | 107 | 107 | |
20 | Mavericks | 45% | 105 | 93 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
12 | 76ers | 97 | |||
3 | Spurs | 78 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
23 | Knicks | 51% | 112 | 107 | |
29 | Suns | 49% | 111 | 85 |
Thursday, January 25, 2018
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
30 | Kings | 89 | |||
16 | Heat | 88 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
10 | Wizards | 38% | 103 | 112 | |
7 | Thunder | 62% | 108 | 121 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
23 | Knicks | 118 | |||
8 | Nuggets | 130 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | Timberwolves | 13% | 105 | 113 | |
1 | Warriors | 87% | 121 | 126 |
Wednesday, January 24, 2018
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
13 | Pelicans | 47% | 109 | 101 | |
15 | Hornets | 53% | 110 | 96 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
18 | Jazz | 98 | |||
22 | Pistons | 95 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
29 | Suns | 35% | 107 | 101 | |
19 | Pacers | 65% | 112 | 116 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
24 | Bulls | 101 | |||
11 | 76ers | 115 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | Raptors | 69% | 112 | 108 | |
28 | Hawks | 31% | 105 | 93 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | Rockets | 104 | |||
21 | Mavericks | 97 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | Spurs | 62% | 98 | 108 | |
20 | Grizzlies | 38% | 93 | 85 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | Timberwolves | 114 | |||
17 | Trail Blazers | 123 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | Celtics | 51% | 107 | 113 | |
9 | Clippers | 49% | 106 | 102 |
Tuesday, January 23, 2018
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
30 | Kings | 105 | |||
26 | Magic | 99 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
25 | Nets | 28% | 102 | 108 | |
7 | Thunder | 72% | 111 | 109 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
12 | Cavaliers | 102 | |||
4 | Spurs | 114 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
23 | Knicks | 14% | 104 | 112 | |
1 | Warriors | 86% | 119 | 123 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | Celtics | 107 | |||
27 | Lakers | 108 |
Monday, January 22, 2018
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
30 | Kings | 21% | 99 | 107 | |
15 | Hornets | 79% | 110 | 112 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
16 | Jazz | 90 | |||
28 | Hawks | 104 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
18 | Heat | 22% | 102 | 90 | |
2 | Rockets | 78% | 113 | 99 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
11 | 76ers | 101 | |||
20 | Grizzlies | 105 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
29 | Suns | 36% | 107 | 105 | |
14 | Bucks | 64% | 112 | 109 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
24 | Bulls | 128 | |||
13 | Pelicans | 132 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
10 | Wizards | 55% | 109 | 75 | |
21 | Mavericks | 45% | 107 | 98 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
17 | Trail Blazers | 101 | |||
8 | Nuggets | 104 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | Timberwolves | 52% | 110 | 126 | |
9 | Clippers | 48% | 109 | 118 |
Sunday, January 21, 2018
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
27 | Magic | 21% | 99 | 103 | |
5 | Celtics | 79% | 111 | 95 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
23 | Knicks | 107 | |||
26 | Lakers | 127 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
25 | Nets | 38% | 104 | 101 | |
19 | Pistons | 62% | 109 | 100 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
21 | Pacers | 94 | |||
4 | Spurs | 86 |
Saturday, January 20, 2018
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
8 | Thunder | 148 | |||
9 | Cavaliers | 124 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
24 | Bulls | 48% | 108 | 113 | |
27 | Hawks | 52% | 109 | 97 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
18 | Heat | 106 | |||
16 | Hornets | 105 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
19 | Grizzlies | 26% | 101 | 104 | |
13 | Pelicans | 74% | 110 | 111 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
14 | Bucks | 94 | |||
12 | 76ers | 116 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Warriors | 53% | 116 | 108 | |
2 | Rockets | 47% | 115 | 116 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | Raptors | 109 | |||
6 | Timberwolves | 115 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
10 | Clippers | 48% | 105 | 113 | |
15 | Jazz | 52% | 106 | 125 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
22 | Mavericks | 108 | |||
17 | Trail Blazers | 117 |
Friday, January 19, 2018
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | Spurs | 34% | 102 | 83 | |
3 | Raptors | 66% | 108 | 86 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
18 | Heat | 95 | |||
25 | Nets | 101 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
12 | Wizards | 51% | 106 | 122 | |
21 | Pistons | 49% | 105 | 112 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
30 | Kings | 88 | |||
19 | Grizzlies | 106 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
29 | Suns | 25% | 107 | 108 | |
7 | Nuggets | 75% | 117 | 100 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
23 | Knicks | 117 | |||
14 | Jazz | 115 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
20 | Pacers | 53% | 109 | 86 | |
26 | Lakers | 47% | 108 | 99 |
Thursday, January 18, 2018
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
12 | 76ers | 40% | 97 | 89 | |
4 | Celtics | 60% | 101 | 80 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
28 | Magic | 103 | |||
8 | Cavaliers | 104 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | Timberwolves | 40% | 110 | 98 | |
2 | Rockets | 60% | 114 | 116 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
21 | Pacers | 86 | |||
18 | Trail Blazers | 100 |
Wednesday, January 17, 2018
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 | Wizards | 51% | 108 | 109 | |
16 | Hornets | 49% | 107 | 133 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
13 | Pelicans | 93 | |||
27 | Hawks | 94 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | Spurs | 59% | 106 | 100 | |
24 | Nets | 41% | 103 | 95 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
23 | Pistons | 91 | |||
3 | Raptors | 96 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Warriors | 78% | 119 | 119 | |
25 | Bulls | 22% | 108 | 112 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
22 | Knicks | 99 | |||
19 | Grizzlies | 105 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
17 | Heat | 45% | 104 | 106 | |
14 | Bucks | 55% | 105 | 101 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
26 | Lakers | 90 | |||
9 | Thunder | 114 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
15 | Jazz | 68% | 105 | 120 | |
30 | Kings | 32% | 98 | 105 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
8 | Nuggets | 104 | |||
11 | Clippers | 109 |
Tuesday, January 16, 2018
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | Timberwolves | 72% | 115 | 102 | |
28 | Magic | 28% | 107 | 108 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
14 | Pelicans | 116 | |||
5 | Celtics | 113 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
20 | Mavericks | 37% | 106 | 102 | |
8 | Nuggets | 63% | 111 | 105 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
29 | Suns | 111 | |||
18 | Trail Blazers | 118 |
Monday, January 15, 2018
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
18 | Hornets | 118 | |||
20 | Pistons | 107 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | Raptors | 53% | 110 | 111 | |
12 | 76ers | 47% | 109 | 117 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
16 | Bucks | 104 | |||
7 | Wizards | 95 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | Spurs | 67% | 107 | 99 | |
27 | Hawks | 33% | 101 | 102 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
22 | Knicks | 119 | |||
24 | Nets | 104 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
30 | Kings | 18% | 98 | 88 | |
8 | Thunder | 82% | 111 | 95 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
15 | Heat | 111 | |||
26 | Bulls | 119 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
25 | Lakers | 42% | 102 | 114 | |
19 | Grizzlies | 58% | 105 | 123 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Warriors | 118 | |||
10 | Cavaliers | 108 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
23 | Pacers | 33% | 101 | 109 | |
13 | Jazz | 67% | 107 | 94 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | Rockets | 102 | |||
11 | Clippers | 113 |