Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Friday, March 31, 2023
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 19 | Bulls | 77% | 113 | 121 |
 | 29 | Hornets | 23% | 102 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 20 | Thunder | 61% | 118 | 117 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 9 | Raptors | 40% | 108 | 110 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 22 | Magic | 43% | 108 | 116 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 1 | Celtics | 85% | 118 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 12 | Nets | 61% | 117 | 124 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 11 | Knicks | 40% | 105 | 130 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 28 | Pistons | 40% | 112 | 115 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 10 | Lakers | 42% | 111 | 123 |
 | 6 | Timberwolves | 58% | 114 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Thursday, March 30, 2023
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtics | 53% | 112 | 140 |
 | 2 | Bucks | 47% | 111 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 19 | Pelicans | 44% | 111 | 107 |
| 17 | Nuggets | 56% | 113 | 88 |
Wednesday, March 29, 2023
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Bucks | 76% | 117 | 149 |
| 25 | Pacers | 24% | 106 | 136 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Rockets | 22% | 107 | 114 |
| 11 | Nets | 78% | 118 | 123 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 12 | Heat | 34% | 105 | 92 |
| 6 | Knicks | 66% | 111 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 17 | Mavericks | 37% | 109 | 108 |
| 8 | 76ers | 63% | 114 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Lakers | 49% | 112 | 121 |
| 19 | Bulls | 51% | 113 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Clippers | 38% | 107 | 141 |
| 13 | Grizzlies | 62% | 111 | 132 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Pistons | 31% | 109 | 106 |
| 23 | Thunder | 69% | 116 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Jazz | 59% | 113 | 128 |
| 27 | Spurs | 41% | 110 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Timberwolves | 47% | 111 | 100 |
| 9 | Suns | 53% | 112 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Kings | 79% | 121 | 120 |
| 30 | Trail Blazers | 21% | 109 | 80 |
Tuesday, March 28, 2023
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtics | 71% | 114 | 111 |
| 21 | Wizards | 29% | 106 | 130 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Cavaliers | 60% | 114 | 118 |
| 15 | Hawks | 40% | 110 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Heat | 34% | 103 | 92 |
| 7 | Raptors | 66% | 109 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Magic | 31% | 105 | 108 |
| 8 | Grizzlies | 69% | 112 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Hornets | 28% | 103 | 137 |
| 23 | Thunder | 72% | 111 | 134 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Pelicans | 31% | 110 | 109 |
| 4 | Warriors | 69% | 117 | 120 |
Monday, March 27, 2023
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Bucks | 77% | 115 | 126 |
| 29 | Pistons | 23% | 105 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Mavericks | 63% | 117 | 127 |
| 25 | Pacers | 37% | 112 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Rockets | 17% | 104 | 115 |
| 6 | Knicks | 83% | 118 | 137 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Suns | 54% | 112 | 117 |
| 21 | Jazz | 46% | 110 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | 76ers | 33% | 109 | 111 |
| 3 | Nuggets | 67% | 115 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Pelicans | 79% | 115 | 124 |
| 30 | Trail Blazers | 21% | 103 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Timberwolves | 43% | 115 | 119 |
| 13 | Kings | 57% | 117 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Bulls | 40% | 108 | 112 |
| 14 | Clippers | 60% | 112 | 124 |
Sunday, March 26, 2023
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Mavericks | 75% | 113 | 104 |
| 27 | Hornets | 25% | 103 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Bulls | 39% | 109 | 118 |
| 7 | Lakers | 61% | 113 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Grizzlies | 60% | 117 | 123 |
| 19 | Hawks | 40% | 113 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Spurs | 12% | 102 | 93 |
| 1 | Celtics | 88% | 119 | 137 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Rockets | 16% | 102 | 91 |
| 3 | Cavaliers | 84% | 117 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Nets | 53% | 109 | 106 |
| 22 | Magic | 47% | 108 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Wizards | 33% | 106 | 104 |
| 10 | Raptors | 67% | 112 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Thunder | 76% | 116 | 118 |
| 30 | Trail Blazers | 24% | 106 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Timberwolves | 39% | 112 | 99 |
| 5 | Warriors | 61% | 116 | 96 |
Saturday, March 25, 2023
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Pacers | 29% | 113 | 130 |
| 17 | Hawks | 71% | 121 | 143 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Nets | 40% | 106 | 129 |
| 8 | Heat | 60% | 110 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Bucks | 39% | 112 | 106 |
| 1 | Nuggets | 61% | 116 | 129 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 76ers | 48% | 108 | 105 |
| 16 | Suns | 52% | 109 | 125 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Jazz | 26% | 110 | 113 |
| 21 | Kings | 74% | 120 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Pelicans | 44% | 110 | 131 |
| 15 | Clippers | 56% | 112 | 110 |
Friday, March 24, 2023
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Pacers | 22% | 108 | 95 |
| 1 | Celtics | 78% | 120 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Spurs | 27% | 108 | 124 |
| 24 | Wizards | 73% | 117 | 136 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Pistons | 16% | 102 | 97 |
| 8 | Raptors | 84% | 117 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Rockets | 19% | 107 | 114 |
| 5 | Grizzlies | 81% | 120 | 151 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Hornets | 14% | 102 | 117 |
| 10 | Mavericks | 86% | 118 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Bucks | 76% | 114 | 144 |
| 25 | Jazz | 24% | 104 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 76ers | 39% | 110 | 112 |
| 6 | Warriors | 61% | 114 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Bulls | 72% | 110 | 124 |
| 30 | Trail Blazers | 28% | 101 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Suns | 45% | 115 | 127 |
| 17 | Kings | 55% | 117 | 135 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Thunder | 37% | 112 | 111 |
| 16 | Lakers | 63% | 116 | 116 |
Thursday, March 23, 2023
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Knicks | 56% | 111 | 106 |
| 22 | Magic | 44% | 109 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Cavaliers | 54% | 109 | 116 |
| 10 | Nets | 46% | 107 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Hornets | 29% | 106 | 96 |
| 20 | Pelicans | 71% | 114 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Thunder | 43% | 111 | 105 |
| 13 | Clippers | 57% | 114 | 127 |
Wednesday, March 22, 2023
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Nuggets | 68% | 117 | 118 |
| 23 | Wizards | 32% | 110 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Knicks | 49% | 108 | 120 |
| 9 | Heat | 51% | 109 | 127 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Pacers | 27% | 107 | 118 |
| 8 | Raptors | 73% | 116 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Warriors | 57% | 115 | 127 |
| 21 | Mavericks | 43% | 112 | 125 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 76ers | 47% | 108 | 116 |
| 13 | Bulls | 53% | 109 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Rockets | 18% | 106 | 125 |
| 5 | Grizzlies | 82% | 119 | 130 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Spurs | 9% | 104 | 94 |
| 2 | Bucks | 91% | 124 | 130 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Hawks | 34% | 112 | 124 |
| 10 | Timberwolves | 66% | 118 | 125 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Trail Blazers | 45% | 112 | 127 |
| 24 | Jazz | 55% | 114 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Suns | 51% | 113 | 111 |
| 18 | Lakers | 49% | 112 | 122 |
Tuesday, March 21, 2023
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Wizards | 51% | 111 | 112 |
| 23 | Magic | 49% | 110 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Pistons | 22% | 110 | 107 |
| 17 | Hawks | 78% | 121 | 129 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Cavaliers | 51% | 108 | 115 |
| 12 | Nets | 49% | 107 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Spurs | 22% | 109 | 84 |
| 19 | Pelicans | 78% | 120 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Celtics | 65% | 118 | 132 |
| 18 | Kings | 35% | 112 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Thunder | 36% | 111 | 101 |
| 5 | Clippers | 64% | 116 | 100 |
Monday, March 20, 2023
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Pacers | 57% | 112 | 109 |
| 28 | Hornets | 43% | 109 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Bulls | 35% | 109 | 109 |
| 4 | 76ers | 65% | 114 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Timberwolves | 33% | 105 | 140 |
| 6 | Knicks | 67% | 112 | 134 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Warriors | 76% | 121 | 121 |
| 27 | Rockets | 24% | 110 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Mavericks | 32% | 106 | 108 |
| 9 | Grizzlies | 68% | 113 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Kings | 62% | 116 | 120 |
| 26 | Jazz | 38% | 112 | 128 |
Sunday, March 19, 2023
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Nuggets | 46% | 113 | 108 |
| 11 | Nets | 54% | 115 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Suns | 49% | 113 | 120 |
| 16 | Thunder | 51% | 114 | 124 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Hawks | 72% | 121 | 118 |
| 29 | Spurs | 28% | 113 | 126 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Heat | 72% | 112 | 112 |
| 30 | Pistons | 28% | 104 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Pelicans | 63% | 116 | 117 |
| 27 | Rockets | 37% | 111 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Raptors | 32% | 108 | 111 |
| 2 | Bucks | 68% | 114 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Clippers | 53% | 114 | 117 |
| 24 | Trail Blazers | 47% | 113 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Magic | 32% | 108 | 105 |
| 17 | Lakers | 68% | 114 | 111 |
Saturday, March 18, 2023
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Nuggets | 45% | 112 | 110 |
| 5 | Knicks | 55% | 114 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Magic | 36% | 107 | 113 |
| 14 | Clippers | 64% | 112 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 76ers | 59% | 113 | 141 |
| 26 | Pacers | 41% | 110 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Timberwolves | 30% | 105 | 107 |
| 4 | Raptors | 70% | 113 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Kings | 56% | 117 | 132 |
| 22 | Wizards | 44% | 114 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Heat | 51% | 108 | 99 |
| 13 | Bulls | 49% | 107 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Warriors | 44% | 112 | 119 |
| 8 | Grizzlies | 56% | 114 | 133 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtics | 67% | 115 | 117 |
| 25 | Jazz | 33% | 108 | 118 |