Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Sunday, October 29, 2023
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 21 | Thunder | 37% | 112 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 4 | Bucks | 67% | 125 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 8 | Lakers | 51% | 119 | 127 |
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Saturday, October 28, 2023
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 18 | Bulls | 58% | 112 | 102 |
 | 30 | Pistons | 42% | 109 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 6 | Knicks | 44% | 114 | 87 |
 | 10 | Pelicans | 56% | 116 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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%20--%3e%3csvg%20version='1.1'%20id='Layer_1'%20xmlns='http://www.w3.org/2000/svg'%20xmlns:xlink='http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink'%20x='0px'%20y='0px'%20viewBox='0%200%20400%20400'%20style='enable-background:new%200%200%20400%20400;'%20xml:space='preserve'%3e%3cstyle%20type='text/css'%3e%20.st0{fill:%23BC945C;}%20.st1{fill:%23860038;}%20%3c/style%3e%3cg%3e%3cpath%20class='st0'%20d='M356.2,121.3V98.4l-5.6-5.7c-72-68.5-226.2,21.4-278.6,64.8l-25.9,40.1l32.2-8c-49.4,62-31.8,102.7-29.7,106.9%20c5.2,14.6,17.1,26.3,36.3,34c14.6,5.8,31.2,6.6,45.4,5.9c61.4-2.9,134-41.2,180.9-81.9l1.1-0.9l9.3-47.1l-18.2,10.1%20c-63.3,27.8-114.2,43.2-114.2,43.2c-33.3,10.4-48.6,12.1-59.5,9.5l-1.3-0.4c-3-1.2-3.5-3.9-3.5-4.6c-0.5-20.8,35.4-65.6,53.4-85%20c16.8-18.1,43.3-37.9,65.7-47.3c15-6.3,24.7-8.8,29.2-8.4c-1.2,3.9-3.3,8.7-6.2,14.5c0,0-24,47.3-25,49.2L356.2,121.3z'/%3e%3cpath%20class='st1'%20d='M213.9,118c-20.6,10.9-44.3,32.8-51.7,40.7C101.8,223,59.5,309,191.7,267.8c0,0,51.4-15.6,115.2-43.6%20C126.3,376.8-44.2,313,123.6,152.5c-15.3,3.5-30.7,6.8-45.8,11c53.7-44.5,201.1-127.4,266.9-64.8l-70.3,43.1%20C304.6,82.7,250.2,96.6,213.9,118'/%3e%3c/g%3e%3c/svg%3e) | 24 | Cavaliers | 47% | 115 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 76ers | 60% | 113 | 114 |
 | 17 | Raptors | 40% | 109 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 23 | Heat | 27% | 105 | 90 |
 | 5 | Timberwolves | 73% | 114 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Friday, October 27, 2023
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Pistons | 40% | 109 | 111 |
 | 26 | Hornets | 60% | 113 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Nuggets | 55% | 112 | 108 |
| 10 | Grizzlies | 45% | 110 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Knicks | 51% | 116 | 126 |
| 14 | Hawks | 49% | 115 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Heat | 24% | 104 | 111 |
 | 1 | Celtics | 76% | 114 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Thunder | 42% | 110 | 108 |
| 19 | Cavaliers | 58% | 113 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Raptors | 51% | 111 | 103 |
| 21 | Bulls | 49% | 110 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Rockets | 49% | 116 | 122 |
| 29 | Spurs | 51% | 117 | 126 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 22 | Nets | 36% | 114 | 120 |
 | 11 | Mavericks | 64% | 119 | 125 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Clippers | 55% | 120 | 118 |
| 18 | Jazz | 45% | 118 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 24 | Magic | 56% | 108 | 102 |
| 27 | Blazers | 44% | 106 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Warriors | 56% | 120 | 122 |
| 17 | Kings | 44% | 118 | 114 |
Thursday, October 26, 2023
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 76ers | 36% | 114 | 117 |
| 3 | Bucks | 64% | 119 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Suns | 39% | 108 | 95 |
| 9 | Lakers | 61% | 112 | 100 |
Wednesday, October 25, 2023
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Hawks | 60% | 117 | 110 |
| 28 | Hornets | 40% | 113 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Wizards | 41% | 114 | 120 |
| 22 | Pacers | 59% | 118 | 143 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtics | 57% | 116 | 108 |
| 5 | Knicks | 43% | 113 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Rockets | 44% | 110 | 86 |
| 24 | Magic | 56% | 113 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Cavaliers | 46% | 110 | 114 |
| 10 | Nets | 54% | 111 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Pistons | 20% | 106 | 102 |
| 12 | Heat | 80% | 118 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Timberwolves | 52% | 111 | 94 |
| 15 | Raptors | 48% | 110 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Thunder | 45% | 112 | 124 |
| 21 | Bulls | 55% | 114 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Pelicans | 37% | 109 | 111 |
| 6 | Grizzlies | 63% | 114 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Kings | 46% | 118 | 130 |
| 17 | Jazz | 54% | 119 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Mavericks | 67% | 121 | 126 |
| 29 | Spurs | 33% | 114 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Blazers | 28% | 110 | 111 |
| 11 | Clippers | 72% | 118 | 123 |
Tuesday, October 24, 2023
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Lakers | 37% | 112 | 107 |
| 3 | Nuggets | 63% | 117 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Suns | 38% | 112 | 108 |
| 4 | Warriors | 62% | 117 | 104 |
Friday, October 20, 2023
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cavaliers | - | - | 104 | |
| Pacers | - | - | 109 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Flamengo | - | - | 76 | ||
| Magic | - | - | 109 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hawks | - | - | 106 | |
| 76ers | - | - | 120 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wizards | - | - | 98 | |
| Raptors | - | - | 134 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pistons | - | - | 104 | |
| Mavericks | - | - | 114 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heat | - | - | 104 | |
| Rockets | - | - | 110 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grizzlies | - | - | 116 | |
| Bucks | - | - | 124 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spurs | - | - | 122 | |
| Warriors | - | - | 117 | |
Thursday, October 19, 2023
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Celtics | - | - | 127 | |
| Hornets | - | - | 99 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Timberwolves | - | - | 114 | |
| Bulls | - | - | 105 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pistons | - | - | 118 | |
| Thunder | - | - | 116 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Suns | - | - | 123 | |
| Lakers | - | - | 100 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nuggets | - | - | 103 | |
| Clippers | - | - | 90 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jazz | - | - | 113 | |
| Kings | - | - | 116 | |
Wednesday, October 18, 2023
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nets | - | - | 107 | |
| Heat | - | - | 104 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wizards | - | - | 131 | |
| Knicks | - | - | 106 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rockets | - | - | 103 | |
| Spurs | - | - | 117 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kings | - | - | 115 | |
| Warriors | - | - | 116 | |
Tuesday, October 17, 2023
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pelicans | - | - | 104 | |
| Magic | - | - | 92 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Knicks | - | - | 110 | |
| Celtics | - | - | 123 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raptors | - | - | 106 | |
| Bulls | - | - | 102 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bucks | - | - | 101 | |
| Thunder | - | - | 124 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ra'anana | - | - | 111 | ||
| Timberwolves | - | - | 138 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nuggets | - | - | 103 | |
| Clippers | - | - | 116 | |
Monday, October 16, 2023
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hawks | - | - | 112 | |
| Pacers | - | - | 116 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ra'anana | - | - | 89 | ||
| Cavaliers | - | - | 120 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 76ers | - | - | 127 | |
| Nets | - | - | 119 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rockets | - | - | 99 | |
| Spurs | - | - | 89 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Breakers | - | - | 94 | ||
| Jazz | - | - | 114 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blazers | - | - | 106 | |
| Suns | - | - | 117 | |
Sunday, October 15, 2023
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thunder | - | - | 115 | |
| Hornets | - | - | 117 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grizzlies | - | - | 124 | |
| Heat | - | - | 132 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taipans | - | - | 93 | ||
| Raptors | - | - | 134 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bucks | - | - | 108 | |
| Lakers | - | - | 97 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bulls | - | - | 102 | |
| Nuggets | - | - | 116 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Warriors | - | - | 121 | |
| Kings | - | - | 115 | |
Saturday, October 14, 2023
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pelicans | - | - | 105 | |
| Hawks | - | - | 110 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Timberwolves | - | - | 121 | |
| Knicks | - | - | 112 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blazers | - | - | 133 | |
| Jazz | - | - | 138 | |
Friday, October 13, 2023
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heat | - | - | 104 | |
| Spurs | - | - | 120 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Warriors | - | - | 129 | |
| Lakers | - | - | 125 | |
Thursday, October 12, 2023
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hornets | - | - | 92 | |
| Wizards | - | - | 98 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Magic | - | - | 108 | |
| Cavaliers | - | - | 105 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pistons | - | - | 128 | |
| Thunder | - | - | 125 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grizzlies | - | - | 102 | |
| Hawks | - | - | 103 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ra'anana | - | - | 103 | ||
| Nets | - | - | 135 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nuggets | - | - | 124 | |
| Bulls | - | - | 133 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rockets | - | - | 120 | |
| Pelicans | - | - | 87 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Suns | - | - | 122 | |
| Blazers | - | - | 111 | |
Wednesday, October 11, 2023
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Celtics | - | - | 112 | |
| 76ers | - | - | 101 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kings | - | - | 101 | |
| Lakers | - | - | 109 | |
Tuesday, October 10, 2023
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mavericks | - | - | 123 | |
| Baloncesto | - | - | 127 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taipans | - | - | 82 | ||
| Wizards | - | - | 145 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cavaliers | - | - | 107 | |
| Hawks | - | - | 108 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hornets | - | - | 109 | |
| Heat | - | - | 113 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pacers | - | - | 103 | |
| Rockets | - | - | 122 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bucks | - | - | 102 | |
| Grizzlies | - | - | 108 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Magic | - | - | 122 | |
| Pelicans | - | - | 105 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jazz | - | - | 98 | |
| Clippers | - | - | 103 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nuggets | - | - | 115 | |
| Suns | - | - | 107 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Breakers | - | - | 66 | ||
| Blazers | - | - | 106 | |
Monday, October 9, 2023
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Celtics | - | - | 107 | |
| Knicks | - | - | 114 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spurs | - | - | 121 | |
| Thunder | - | - | 122 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nets | - | - | 126 | |
| Lakers | - | - | 129 | |
Sunday, October 8, 2023
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bulls | - | - | 102 | |
| Bucks | - | - | 105 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Suns | - | - | 130 | |
| Pistons | - | - | 126 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 76ers | - | - | 106 | |
| Celtics | - | - | 114 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pacers | - | - | 122 | |
| Grizzlies | - | - | 127 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kings | - | - | 99 | |
| Raptors | - | - | 112 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jazz | - | - | 101 | |
| Clippers | - | - | 96 | |
Saturday, October 7, 2023
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Timberwolves | - | - | 104 | |
| Mavericks | - | - | 96 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lakers | - | - | 108 | |
| Warriors | - | - | 125 | |
Thursday, October 5, 2023
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mavericks | - | - | 99 | |
| Timberwolves | - | - | 111 | |