Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Sunday, June 8, 2014
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 5 | Heat | 33% | 96 | 98 |
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Thursday, June 5, 2014
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Heat | 31% | 94 | 95 |
| 2 | Spurs | 69% | 101 | 110 |
Saturday, May 31, 2014
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Spurs | 40% | 98 | 112 |
 | 6 | Thunder | 60% | 101 | 107 |
Friday, May 30, 2014
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 5 | Heat | 67% | 95 | 117 |
Thursday, May 29, 2014
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Thunder | 37% | 97 | 89 |
| 5 | Spurs | 63% | 102 | 117 |
Wednesday, May 28, 2014
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Heat | 43% | 91 | 90 |
| 10 | Pacers | 57% | 94 | 93 |
Tuesday, May 27, 2014
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Spurs | 46% | 99 | 92 |
| 5 | Thunder | 54% | 101 | 105 |
Monday, May 26, 2014
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Pacers | 34% | 91 | 90 |
| 5 | Heat | 66% | 96 | 102 |
Sunday, May 25, 2014
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Spurs | 44% | 98 | 97 |
| 6 | Thunder | 56% | 100 | 106 |
Saturday, May 24, 2014
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Pacers | 32% | 90 | 87 |
| 3 | Heat | 68% | 96 | 99 |
Wednesday, May 21, 2014
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Thunder | 33% | 97 | 77 |
| 2 | Spurs | 67% | 103 | 112 |
Tuesday, May 20, 2014
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Heat | 52% | 94 | 87 |
| 10 | Pacers | 48% | 93 | 83 |
Monday, May 19, 2014
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Thunder | 34% | 97 | 105 |
| 2 | Spurs | 66% | 102 | 122 |
Sunday, May 18, 2014
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Heat | 49% | 93 | 96 |
| 9 | Pacers | 51% | 94 | 107 |
Thursday, May 15, 2014
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Thunder | 31% | 102 | 104 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Pacers | 45% | 91 | 93 |
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Wednesday, May 14, 2014
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
%20--%3e%3csvg%20version='1.1'%20id='Layer_1'%20xmlns='http://www.w3.org/2000/svg'%20xmlns:xlink='http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink'%20x='0px'%20y='0px'%20viewBox='0%200%20400%20400'%20style='enable-background:new%200%200%20400%20400;'%20xml:space='preserve'%3e%3cstyle%20type='text/css'%3e%20.st0{fill:%23FFFFFF;}%20.st1{fill:%23CF0A2C;}%20%3c/style%3e%3cg%3e%3cpath%20d='M300.9,131.4c-4.4-6.5-9.4-12.6-15-18.2c-2.4-2.4-4.9-4.7-7.5-6.9L333,51.7H174l-61.4,61.4h0c0,0-0.1,0.1-0.1,0.1%20c-5.5,5.6-10.6,11.7-15,18.2c-4.4,6.6-8.2,13.6-11.3,20.8c-6.4,15.1-9.6,31.2-9.6,47.7c0,16.6,3.2,32.6,9.6,47.7%20c3.1,7.3,6.9,14.3,11.3,20.8c4.4,6.5,9.4,12.6,15,18.2c2.4,2.4,4.9,4.7,7.5,6.9l-54.6,54.6h159l61.6-61.6h0%20c5.5-5.5,10.5-11.6,14.9-18c4.4-6.6,8.2-13.6,11.3-20.8c6.4-15.1,9.6-31.2,9.6-47.7c0-16.6-3.2-32.6-9.6-47.7%20C309.1,145,305.3,137.9,300.9,131.4'/%3e%3cpath%20class='st0'%20d='M278.8,120.3c-2.4-2.4-4.9-4.7-7.4-6.8l-66.7,66.7c3.3,0.9,6.4,2.7,9,5.3l0,0c8.1,8.1,8.1,21.1,0,29.2%20L89.9,338.3h14.5l116.4-116.4c12-12,12.1-31.5,0.1-43.6l7.2-7.2c16,16.1,15.9,42-0.1,58L118.9,338.3h14.5l101.9-101.9%20c20-20,20.1-52.5,0.1-72.5l7.2-7.2c24,24.1,23.9,63-0.1,87l-94.7,94.7h14.5l87.4-87.4c28-28,28.1-73.4,0.1-101.5l7.2-7.2%20c31.9,32.1,31.9,84-0.1,116l-80.2,80.2h14.5l72.9-72.9c36-36,36.1-94.4,0.1-130.5l7.3-7.3c40,40.1,39.9,105-0.1,145l-65.6,65.6%20h14.5l58.4-58.4l0,0C322.8,235.8,322.8,164.4,278.8,120.3'/%3e%3cpath%20class='st1'%20d='M119.7,279.7c2.4,2.4,4.9,4.7,7.4,6.8l66.7-66.7c-3.3-0.9-6.4-2.7-9-5.3l0,0c-8.1-8.1-8.1-21.1,0-29.2%20L308.7,61.6h-14.5L177.7,178.1c-12,12-12.1,31.5-0.1,43.6l-7.2,7.2c-15.9-16.1-15.9-42,0.1-58L279.8,61.6h-14.5L163.2,163.6%20c-20,20-20.1,52.5-0.1,72.5l-7.2,7.2c-24-24.1-23.9-63,0.1-87l94.8-94.8h-14.5l-87.6,87.6c-28,28-28.1,73.4-0.1,101.5l-7.2,7.2%20c-31.9-32.1-31.9-84,0.1-116l80.3-80.3h-14.5l-73.1,73.1c-36,36-36.1,94.4-0.1,130.5l-7.3,7.3c-40-40.1-39.9-105,0.1-145l65.8-65.8%20h-14.5l-58.6,58.6l0,0C75.7,164.2,75.7,235.7,119.7,279.7'/%3e%3c/g%3e%3c/svg%3e) | 12 | Trail Blazers | 26% | 98 | 82 |
| 4 | Spurs | 74% | 107 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 15 | Nets | 26% | 93 | 94 |
| 2 | Heat | 74% | 102 | 96 |
Tuesday, May 13, 2014
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Clippers | 41% | 104 | 104 |
| 5 | Thunder | 59% | 106 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Wizards | 36% | 89 | 102 |
| 7 | Pacers | 64% | 94 | 79 |
Monday, May 12, 2014
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Spurs | 47% | 102 | 92 |
| 7 | Trail Blazers | 53% | 103 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Heat | 55% | 98 | 102 |
| 15 | Nets | 45% | 97 | 96 |
Sunday, May 11, 2014
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Thunder | 30% | 102 | 99 |
| 1 | Clippers | 70% | 109 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Pacers | 41% | 89 | 95 |
| 14 | Wizards | 59% | 92 | 92 |
Saturday, May 10, 2014
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Spurs | 47% | 102 | 118 |
| 7 | Trail Blazers | 53% | 103 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Heat | 51% | 98 | 90 |
| 16 | Nets | 49% | 97 | 104 |
Friday, May 9, 2014
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Pacers | 40% | 90 | 85 |
| 11 | Wizards | 60% | 93 | 63 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Thunder | 30% | 101 | 118 |
| 1 | Clippers | 70% | 108 | 112 |
Thursday, May 8, 2014
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Trail Blazers | 30% | 100 | 97 |
| 2 | Spurs | 70% | 107 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Nets | 28% | 94 | 82 |
| 4 | Heat | 72% | 102 | 94 |
Wednesday, May 7, 2014
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Clippers | 43% | 104 | 101 |
| 5 | Thunder | 57% | 106 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Wizards | 36% | 89 | 82 |
| 9 | Pacers | 64% | 94 | 86 |
Tuesday, May 6, 2014
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Trail Blazers | 29% | 100 | 92 |
| 2 | Spurs | 71% | 107 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Nets | 29% | 93 | 86 |
| 6 | Heat | 71% | 101 | 107 |
Monday, May 5, 2014
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Clippers | 43% | 104 | 122 |
| 4 | Thunder | 57% | 107 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Wizards | 34% | 89 | 102 |
| 8 | Pacers | 66% | 95 | 96 |
Sunday, May 4, 2014
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 9 | Mavericks | 25% | 96 | 96 |
| 2 | Spurs | 75% | 105 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Nets | 35% | 95 | 104 |
 | 15 | Raptors | 65% | 100 | 103 |
Saturday, May 3, 2014
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 1 | Clippers | 70% | 109 | 126 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 3 | Thunder | 71% | 100 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 8 | Pacers | 64% | 98 | 92 |
Friday, May 2, 2014
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 7 | Trail Blazers | 62% | 110 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Raptors | 41% | 96 | 83 |
| 16 | Nets | 59% | 99 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Spurs | 48% | 101 | 111 |
| 8 | Mavericks | 52% | 102 | 113 |
Thursday, May 1, 2014
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Clippers | 39% | 103 | 99 |
| 4 | Warriors | 61% | 107 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Thunder | 51% | 97 | 104 |
| 9 | Grizzlies | 49% | 96 | 84 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Pacers | 47% | 95 | 95 |
| 17 | Hawks | 53% | 96 | 88 |
Wednesday, April 30, 2014
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Trail Blazers | 32% | 105 | 98 |
| 5 | Rockets | 68% | 111 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Mavericks | 29% | 98 | 103 |
| 2 | Spurs | 71% | 105 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Nets | 38% | 96 | 113 |
| 12 | Raptors | 62% | 100 | 115 |
Tuesday, April 29, 2014
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Warriors | 33% | 101 | 103 |
| 2 | Clippers | 67% | 107 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Grizzlies | 31% | 93 | 100 |
| 3 | Thunder | 69% | 99 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Wizards | 37% | 89 | 75 |
 | 14 | Bulls | 63% | 94 | 69 |
Monday, April 28, 2014
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Hawks | 37% | 92 | 107 |
| 12 | Pacers | 63% | 97 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spurs | 51% | 103 | 93 |
| 8 | Mavericks | 49% | 102 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Heat | 58% | 97 | 109 |
 | 18 | Bobcats | 42% | 95 | 98 |