Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Friday, December 20, 2024
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 26 | Hornets | |||
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| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 13 | Bucks | |||
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| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 2 | Thunder | |||
 | 17 | Heat | |||
Thursday, December 19, 2024
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 26 | Pistons | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Thunder | |||
 | 6 | Magic | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Hornets | |||
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| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 27 | Bulls | |||
 | 1 | Celtics | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 24 | Nets | |||
 | 23 | Raptors | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 22 | Pelicans | |||
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| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 7 | Knicks | |||
 | 12 | Timberwolves | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 3 | Mavericks | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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%20--%3e%3csvg%20version='1.1'%20id='Layer_2'%20xmlns='http://www.w3.org/2000/svg'%20xmlns:xlink='http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink'%20x='0px'%20y='0px'%20viewBox='0%200%20400%20400'%20style='enable-background:new%200%200%20400%20400;'%20xml:space='preserve'%3e%3cstyle%20type='text/css'%3e%20.st0{fill:%23F79E1E;}%20.st1{fill:%23E46025;}%20.st2{fill:%23B65B27;}%20%3c/style%3e%3cg%20id='Layer_2_1_'%3e%3cpolygon%20class='st0'%20points='20.3,339.6%20190,246.7%2074.9,339.6%20214.5,259.4%20212.3,275.5%20235.6,262.6%20288.1,312.3%20316.1,228.2%20351.6,223.2%20336,174.6%20369,145.9%20325.2,127.4%20337.2,76.4%20296.9,94.9%20277.9,49.3%20243.8,83.3%20187.7,53.9%20177.6,109.1%20125.8,120.3%20156.5,138.9%20125.6,154.4%20151.8,156.6%2044,240.5%20152.5,182.8%2036,271.4%20159.9,206.9%2027.7,306.4%20173.5,228.6%20'/%3e%3cpath%20class='st1'%20d='M330.8,175.4c-1.9,46.6-41.3,82.8-87.9,80.9c-46.6-1.9-82.8-41.3-80.9-87.9s41.3-82.8,87.9-80.9%20C296.5,89.4,332.7,128.7,330.8,175.4'/%3e%3cpath%20class='st2'%20d='M256.7,244.7c-46.6-1.9-82.8-41.3-80.9-87.9c0.9-21.6,9.8-40.9,23.8-55.2c-21.7,14.5-36.4,38.8-37.6,66.8%20c-1.9,46.6,34.3,86,80.9,87.9c25,1,48-8.9,64.2-25.7C292.7,240.2,275.3,245.5,256.7,244.7'/%3e%3cpath%20d='M330.9,172.8c0-3-0.1-6-0.4-9c-4.9-3.4-10.6-6-17.6-6.9c-1.3-0.2-2.5-0.3-3.8-0.4c-0.8-5.6-2.1-11-3.7-16.4%20c0.9,0.1,1.7,0.1,2.6,0.2c5.9,0.5,11.8,1.1,17.6,1.9c-0.8-2.2-1.7-4.3-2.6-6.3c-6.5-1-13.1-1.7-19.8-2.3h-0.1%20c-2.2-5.5-4.7-10.6-7.8-15.7c4.3-0.9,8.2-2.6,11.3-5.6c-1.5-1.6-3.3-3.2-5-4.6c-2.7,2.5-6.2,3.8-10.3,4.4c-0.6-0.9-1.3-1.7-1.9-2.5%20c-5.7-7.5-12.4-13.8-19.7-19c-6.4-1.8-13-2.9-19.9-3.3c-0.4,0-0.7,0-1.2,0c12.8,5.1,24.3,13.6,33.5,24.9%20c-8.8-0.8-18.9-3.8-28.9-6.7c-3-0.9-5.9-1.7-8.6-2.5c-17.1-4.7-30.2-5.5-40-4.6c-7.3,4.2-13.9,9.4-19.7,15.5%20c10.6-4.5,32.1-12,58.2-4.8c2.7,0.7,5.6,1.6,8.6,2.5c11.5,3.4,24.4,7.2,35.6,7.3c3.1,4.6,5.7,9.4,7.9,14.5%20c-2.2-0.1-4.4-0.2-6.6-0.2c-54.2-0.9-100.8,15.3-126.6,41.2c0.2,5.2,0.7,10.2,1.7,15.1c7.3-10.5,18-19.9,31.9-27.8%20c26.3-14.7,61.1-22.6,98.1-21.8c1.3,0,2.5,0.1,3.8,0.1c1.9,5.4,3.3,10.9,4.2,16.6c-23.8,1-39.3,15.9-57.1,31.8%20c-15.9,14.3-35.4,28.5-63.8,37c2.6,3.3,5.6,6.4,8.7,9.2c26.9-10.7,44.6-27.6,59.6-41.1c17.1-15.3,31.8-29.9,53.2-30.7%20c0.5,5.9,0.5,12,0,18.1c-2.9,33.1-22,61.2-48.2,75c6.6-0.6,13.2-2,19.3-4.2c2.1-1.7,4.2-3.5,6.1-5.5c17.1-16.8,27.8-39.9,29.9-64.7%20c0.5-6.2,0.5-12.4,0-18.5c1.1,0.1,2.2,0.2,3.3,0.4C320.5,164.6,326.3,168.4,330.9,172.8'/%3e%3c/g%3e%3c/svg%3e) | 13 | Suns | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 20 | Lakers | |||
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Monday, December 9, 2024
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Knicks | |||
| 22 | Raptors | |||
Sunday, December 8, 2024
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | 76ers | |||
| 25 | Bulls | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Bucks | |||
| 24 | Nets | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Hornets | |||
| 19 | Pacers | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Nuggets | |||
| 21 | Hawks | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Cavaliers | |||
| 17 | Heat | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Suns | |||
| 6 | Magic | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Grizzlies | |||
| 30 | Wizards | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Pelicans | |||
| 18 | Spurs | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Timberwolves | |||
| 4 | Warriors | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Rockets | |||
| 10 | Clippers | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Jazz | |||
| 16 | Kings | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Trail Blazers | |||
| 20 | Lakers | |||
Saturday, December 7, 2024
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Cavaliers | |||
| 26 | Hornets | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Nuggets | |||
| 30 | Wizards | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Thunder | |||
| 22 | Pelicans | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Pistons | |||
| 7 | Knicks | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Mavericks | |||
| 23 | Raptors | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Grizzlies | |||
| 1 | Celtics | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Suns | |||
| 17 | Heat | |||
Friday, December 6, 2024
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Magic | |||
| 16 | 76ers | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Lakers | |||
| 21 | Hawks | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Bucks | |||
| 1 | Celtics | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Pacers | |||
| 25 | Bulls | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Kings | |||
| 18 | Spurs | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Timberwolves | |||
| 4 | Warriors | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Jazz | |||
| 28 | Trail Blazers | |||
Thursday, December 5, 2024
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Nuggets | |||
| 5 | Cavaliers | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Mavericks | |||
| 30 | Wizards | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Hornets | |||
| 6 | Knicks | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Thunder | |||
| 23 | Raptors | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Kings | |||
| 11 | Grizzlies | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Suns | |||
| 22 | Pelicans | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Rockets | |||
| 4 | Warriors | |||
Wednesday, December 4, 2024
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Pistons | |||
| 1 | Celtics | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Pacers | |||
| 24 | Nets | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Magic | |||
| 15 | 76ers | |||
Monday, December 2, 2024
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Pelicans | 24% | 109 | 112 |
| 21 | Hawks | 76% | 120 | 124 |
Updated: Dec 3, 2024 12:17 AM
game detailSunday, December 1, 2024
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtics | 54% | 116 | 111 |
| 6 | Cavaliers | 46% | 115 | 115 |
Updated: Dec 1, 2024 10:47 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Heat | 60% | 113 | 116 |
| 23 | Raptors | 40% | 110 | 119 |
Updated: Dec 1, 2024 10:47 PM
game detailSaturday, November 30, 2024
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | 76ers | 57% | 112 | 111 |
| 26 | Pistons | 43% | 109 | 96 |
Updated: Nov 30, 2024 11:42 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Warriors | 47% | 117 | 105 |
| 14 | Suns | 53% | 118 | 113 |
Updated: Dec 1, 2024 01:42 AM
game detailFriday, November 29, 2024
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Cavaliers | 60% | 121 | 101 |
| 21 | Hawks | 40% | 118 | 117 |
Updated: Nov 29, 2024 07:12 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Pistons | 35% | 112 | 130 |
| 19 | Pacers | 65% | 117 | 106 |
Updated: Nov 30, 2024 12:42 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtics | 79% | 125 | 138 |
| 26 | Bulls | 21% | 114 | 129 |
Updated: Nov 30, 2024 12:42 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Kings | 63% | 114 | 106 |
| 28 | Trail Blazers | 37% | 109 | 115 |
Updated: Nov 30, 2024 02:47 AM
game detailWednesday, November 27, 2024
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Hawks | 29% | 115 | 135 |
| 6 | Cavaliers | 71% | 123 | 124 |
Updated: Nov 27, 2024 11:52 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Clippers | 77% | 118 | 121 |
| 30 | Wizards | 23% | 107 | 96 |
Updated: Nov 27, 2024 11:52 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Pistons | 28% | 108 | 111 |
| 14 | Grizzlies | 72% | 117 | 131 |
Updated: Nov 28, 2024 12:42 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Raptors | 53% | 111 | 119 |
| 21 | Pelicans | 47% | 110 | 93 |
Updated: Nov 28, 2024 12:42 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Thunder | 60% | 114 | 105 |
| 5 | Warriors | 40% | 110 | 101 |
Updated: Nov 28, 2024 02:42 AM
game detailTuesday, November 26, 2024
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Bulls | 58% | 123 | 127 |
| 30 | Wizards | 42% | 120 | 108 |
Updated: Nov 26, 2024 11:47 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Rockets | 49% | 109 | 117 |
| 9 | Timberwolves | 51% | 110 | 111 |
Updated: Nov 27, 2024 12:42 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Lakers | 43% | 113 | 100 |
| 13 | Suns | 57% | 116 | 127 |
Updated: Nov 27, 2024 02:42 AM
game detailMonday, November 25, 2024
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Pelicans | 30% | 110 | 110 |
| 19 | Pacers | 70% | 117 | 114 |
Updated: Nov 25, 2024 11:47 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Clippers | 21% | 105 | 94 |
| 1 | Celtics | 79% | 117 | 126 |
Updated: Nov 26, 2024 12:17 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Knicks | 47% | 117 | 145 |
| 6 | Nuggets | 53% | 118 | 118 |
Updated: Nov 26, 2024 01:42 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Thunder | 62% | 115 | 130 |
| 16 | Kings | 38% | 110 | 109 |
Updated: Nov 26, 2024 02:47 AM
game detailSunday, November 24, 2024
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Timberwolves | 26% | 107 | 105 |
| 1 | Celtics | 74% | 117 | 107 |
Updated: Nov 24, 2024 08:20 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Mavericks | 48% | 109 | 118 |
| 17 | Heat | 52% | 110 | 123 |
Updated: Nov 24, 2024 10:42 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Raptors | 28% | 110 | 108 |
| 7 | Cavaliers | 72% | 119 | 122 |
Updated: Nov 25, 2024 12:12 AM
game detailSaturday, November 23, 2024
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Knicks | 106 | ||
| 28 | Jazz | 121 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Pistons | 29% | 99 | 100 |
| 9 | Magic | 71% | 107 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Grizzlies | 142 | ||
| 24 | Bulls | 131 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Trail Blazers | 20% | 104 | 104 |
| 8 | Rockets | 80% | 117 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Hornets | 119 | ||
| 11 | Bucks | 125 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Warriors | 54% | 114 | 94 |
| 20 | Spurs | 46% | 113 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Nuggets | 127 | ||
| 18 | Lakers | 102 | ||