Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Sunday, May 3, 2026
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 11 | Magic | |||
 | 4 | Pistons | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 14 | Raptors | |||
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| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 10 | Lakers | |||
Thursday, April 30, 2026
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 19 | Timberwolves | 52% | 113 | 110 |
Updated: May 1, 2026 12:47 AM
game detailWednesday, April 29, 2026
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Magic | 20% | 100 | 109 |
| 4 | Pistons | 80% | 111 | 116 |
Updated: Apr 29, 2026 10:02 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Raptors | 25% | 106 | 120 |
| 6 | Cavaliers | 75% | 115 | 125 |
Updated: Apr 29, 2026 10:02 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Rockets | 48% | 106 | 99 |
| 20 | Lakers | 52% | 107 | 93 |
Updated: Apr 30, 2026 02:01 AM
game detailTuesday, April 28, 2026
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Updated: Apr 29, 2026 12:02 AM
game detailMonday, April 27, 2026
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 1 | Thunder | 72% | 112 | 131 |
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Updated: Apr 28, 2026 12:32 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Timberwolves | 28% | 108 | 113 |
| 9 | Nuggets | 72% | 115 | 125 |
Updated: Apr 28, 2026 01:47 AM
game detailSunday, April 26, 2026
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Cavaliers | 58% | 115 | 89 |
| 18 | Raptors | 42% | 112 | 93 |
Updated: Apr 26, 2026 03:16 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Spurs | 56% | 113 | 114 |
| 14 | Blazers | 44% | 111 | 93 |
Updated: Apr 26, 2026 03:16 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 2 | Celtics | 56% | 111 | 128 |
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Updated: Apr 26, 2026 10:31 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Lakers | 23% | 99 | 96 |
| 16 | Rockets | 77% | 109 | 115 |
Updated: Apr 27, 2026 12:17 AM
game detailSaturday, April 25, 2026
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Pistons | 48% | 107 | 105 |
| 11 | Magic | 52% | 108 | 113 |
Updated: Apr 25, 2026 02:17 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Thunder | 73% | 110 | 121 |
| 19 | Suns | 27% | 103 | 109 |
Updated: Apr 25, 2026 06:32 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Nuggets | 48% | 114 | 96 |
| 10 | Timberwolves | 52% | 115 | 112 |
Updated: Apr 26, 2026 12:01 AM
game detailFriday, April 24, 2026
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Celtics | 77% | 116 | 108 |
| 19 | 76ers | 23% | 106 | 100 |
Updated: Apr 24, 2026 10:51 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Lakers | 23% | 99 | 112 |
| 16 | Rockets | 77% | 108 | 108 |
Updated: Apr 24, 2026 10:47 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Spurs | 55% | 114 | 120 |
| 13 | Blazers | 45% | 112 | 108 |
Updated: Apr 25, 2026 02:01 AM
game detailThursday, April 23, 2026
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Cavaliers | 52% | 113 | 104 |
| 17 | Raptors | 48% | 112 | 126 |
Updated: Apr 23, 2026 10:47 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Nuggets | 49% | 115 | 96 |
| 11 | Timberwolves | 51% | 116 | 113 |
Updated: Apr 24, 2026 12:47 AM
game detailTuesday, April 21, 2026
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | 76ers | 13% | 100 | 111 |
| 2 | Celtics | 87% | 115 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Blazers | 20% | 107 | 106 |
| 3 | Spurs | 80% | 118 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Rockets | 73% | 113 | 94 |
| 20 | Lakers | 27% | 105 | 101 |
Monday, April 20, 2026
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Raptors | 28% | 108 | 105 |
| 5 | Cavaliers | 72% | 116 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 6 | Knicks | 66% | 113 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Timberwolves | 36% | 113 | 119 |
| 7 | Nuggets | 64% | 117 | 114 |
Sunday, April 19, 2026
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | 76ers | 16% | 102 | 91 |
| 2 | Celtics | 84% | 115 | 123 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Suns | 16% | 100 | 84 |
| 1 | Thunder | 84% | 113 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Magic | 26% | 103 | 112 |
| 4 | Pistons | 74% | 111 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Blazers | 17% | 106 | 98 |
| 3 | Spurs | 83% | 118 | 111 |
Saturday, April 18, 2026
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Raptors | 27% | 108 | 113 |
| 4 | Cavaliers | 73% | 116 | 126 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Timberwolves | 33% | 112 | 105 |
| 7 | Nuggets | 67% | 118 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Hawks | 30% | 108 | 102 |
| 6 | Knicks | 70% | 115 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Rockets | 59% | 106 | 98 |
| 20 | Lakers | 41% | 103 | 107 |
Friday, April 17, 2026
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 8 | Hornets | 51% | 115 | 90 |
| 11 | Magic | 49% | 114 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 17 | Suns | 56% | 115 | 111 |
Wednesday, April 15, 2026
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Magic | 59% | 115 | 97 |
| 19 | 76ers | 41% | 111 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Warriors | 41% | 112 | 126 |
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Tuesday, April 14, 2026
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 12 | Heat | 39% | 117 | 126 |
| 8 | Hornets | 61% | 121 | 127 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Blazers | 45% | 112 | 114 |
| 18 | Suns | 55% | 113 | 110 |
Sunday, April 12, 2026
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Magic | 57% | 110 | 108 |
| 11 | Celtics | 43% | 108 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 16 | Cavaliers | 79% | 120 | 130 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Pistons | 84% | 117 | 133 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Hawks | 18% | 110 | 117 |
| 7 | Heat | 82% | 122 | 143 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hornets | 71% | 113 | 110 |
| 13 | Knicks | 29% | 106 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 26 | Bucks | 19% | 107 | 106 |
| 9 | 76ers | 81% | 118 | 126 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 29 | Nets | 7% | 99 | 101 |
| 3 | Raptors | 93% | 117 | 136 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 23 | Bulls | 40% | 113 | 128 |
 | 17 | Mavericks | 60% | 116 | 149 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 12 | Rockets | 84% | 112 | 132 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 27 | Pelicans | 31% | 108 | 126 |
| 19 | Timberwolves | 69% | 114 | 132 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Suns | 35% | 102 | 135 |
| 18 | Thunder | 65% | 107 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Nuggets | 23% | 110 | 128 |
| 4 | Spurs | 77% | 119 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 15 | Lakers | 69% | 118 | 131 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Warriors | 49% | 112 | 110 |
| 10 | Clippers | 51% | 113 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 6 | Blazers | 84% | 119 | 122 |
Friday, April 10, 2026
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Pistons | 43% | 112 | 118 |
| 3 | Hornets | 57% | 114 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Heat | 79% | 122 | 140 |
| 27 | Wizards | 21% | 112 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Cavaliers | 32% | 112 | 102 |
| 6 | Hawks | 68% | 118 | 124 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Pelicans | 6% | 100 | 118 |
| 1 | Celtics | 94% | 120 | 144 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 76ers | 67% | 116 | 105 |
| 21 | Pacers | 33% | 111 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Raptors | 29% | 106 | 95 |
| 7 | Knicks | 71% | 113 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Magic | 78% | 119 | 127 |
| 20 | Bulls | 22% | 109 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Nets | 31% | 105 | 108 |
| 25 | Bucks | 69% | 111 | 125 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Mavericks | 9% | 105 | 120 |
| 2 | Spurs | 91% | 123 | 139 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Thunder | 61% | 112 | 107 |
| 24 | Nuggets | 39% | 108 | 127 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Timberwolves | 29% | 105 | 136 |
| 5 | Rockets | 71% | 113 | 132 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Grizzlies | 45% | 113 | 101 |
| 26 | Jazz | 55% | 115 | 147 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Clippers | 47% | 111 | 97 |
| 10 | Blazers | 53% | 112 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Warriors | 68% | 116 | 118 |
| 23 | Kings | 32% | 110 | 124 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Suns | 63% | 111 | 73 |
| 18 | Lakers | 37% | 106 | 101 |
Thursday, April 9, 2026
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Heat | 47% | 115 | 114 |
| 8 | Raptors | 53% | 116 | 128 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Bulls | 60% | 119 | 119 |
| 27 | Wizards | 40% | 115 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Pacers | 62% | 110 | 123 |
| 29 | Nets | 38% | 106 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtics | 46% | 110 | 106 |
| 4 | Knicks | 54% | 111 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 76ers | 31% | 108 | 102 |
| 6 | Rockets | 69% | 114 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Lakers | 35% | 108 | 119 |
| 17 | Warriors | 65% | 113 | 103 |
Wednesday, April 8, 2026
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Hawks | 39% | 116 | 116 |
| 7 | Cavaliers | 61% | 119 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Timberwolves | 24% | 104 | 120 |
| 12 | Magic | 76% | 114 | 132 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Bucks | 7% | 100 | 111 |
| 6 | Pistons | 93% | 119 | 137 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Grizzlies | 5% | 107 | 119 |
| 3 | Nuggets | 95% | 128 | 136 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Blazers | 41% | 112 | 101 |
| 15 | Spurs | 59% | 115 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Thunder | 72% | 111 | 128 |
| 16 | Clippers | 28% | 104 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Mavericks | 17% | 105 | 107 |
| 13 | Suns | 83% | 118 | 112 |
Tuesday, April 7, 2026
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Bulls | 57% | 118 | 129 |
| 26 | Wizards | 43% | 116 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Timberwolves | 75% | 116 | 124 |
| 23 | Pacers | 25% | 108 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Bucks | 53% | 107 | 90 |
| 29 | Nets | 47% | 106 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Heat | 46% | 115 | 95 |
| 13 | Raptors | 54% | 116 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Hornets | 30% | 108 | 102 |
| 2 | Celtics | 70% | 115 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Jazz | 39% | 115 | 137 |
| 21 | Pelicans | 61% | 119 | 156 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Kings | 18% | 107 | 105 |
| 17 | Warriors | 82% | 119 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Thunder | 93% | 118 | 123 |
| 27 | Lakers | 7% | 99 | 87 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Mavericks | 21% | 108 | 103 |
| 12 | Clippers | 79% | 118 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Rockets | 46% | 110 | 119 |
| 10 | Suns | 54% | 111 | 105 |