Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Sunday, October 30, 2016
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 22 | Heat | 38% | 96 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 26 | Bucks | 30% | 102 | 83 |
 | 21 | Pistons | 70% | 109 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 29 | Lakers | 24% | 104 | 96 |
 | 6 | Thunder | 76% | 114 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 12 | Mavericks | 41% | 110 | 92 |
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Saturday, October 29, 2016
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 9 | Celtics | 47% | 106 | 104 |
 | 10 | Hornets | 53% | 107 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Grizzlies | 46% | 105 | 104 |
 | 23 | Knicks | 54% | 106 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 24 | Magic | 15% | 102 | 99 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 14 | Bulls | 60% | 110 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 28 | Nets | 35% | 107 | 108 |
| 26 | Bucks | 65% | 113 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 25 | Pelicans | 13% | 100 | 79 |
| 3 | Spurs | 87% | 116 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 17 | Timberwolves | 46% | 103 | 103 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Friday, October 28, 2016
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Cavaliers | 58% | 113 | 94 |
 | 6 | Raptors | 42% | 110 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Pacers | 66% | 114 | 94 |
| 28 | Nets | 34% | 108 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Magic | 45% | 105 | 82 |
| 24 | Pistons | 55% | 106 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Suns | 27% | 104 | 110 |
| 5 | Thunder | 73% | 113 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Hornets | 51% | 102 | 97 |
| 22 | Heat | 49% | 101 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Rockets | 52% | 114 | 106 |
| 17 | Mavericks | 48% | 113 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Lakers | 23% | 99 | 89 |
| 7 | Jazz | 77% | 110 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Warriors | 83% | 120 | 122 |
| 25 | Pelicans | 17% | 107 | 114 |
Thursday, October 27, 2016
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Wizards | 43% | 100 | 99 |
| 14 | Hawks | 57% | 103 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Celtics | 43% | 107 | 99 |
| 16 | Bulls | 57% | 109 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Spurs | 74% | 109 | 102 |
| 23 | Kings | 26% | 100 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Clippers | 55% | 108 | 114 |
| 10 | Trail Blazers | 45% | 106 | 106 |
Wednesday, October 26, 2016
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Heat | 42% | 102 | 108 |
| 16 | Magic | 58% | 105 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Mavericks | 39% | 102 | 121 |
| 11 | Pacers | 61% | 106 | 130 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Nets | 22% | 100 | 117 |
| 7 | Celtics | 78% | 111 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Pistons | 36% | 104 | 91 |
| 9 | Raptors | 64% | 109 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Hornets | 59% | 108 | 107 |
| 27 | Bucks | 41% | 105 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Timberwolves | 45% | 106 | 98 |
| 22 | Grizzlies | 55% | 108 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Nuggets | 47% | 106 | 107 |
| 25 | Pelicans | 53% | 107 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Thunder | 67% | 109 | 103 |
| 30 | 76ers | 33% | 103 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Kings | 51% | 107 | 113 |
| 26 | Suns | 49% | 106 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Rockets | 66% | 110 | 114 |
| 29 | Lakers | 34% | 104 | 120 |
Tuesday, October 25, 2016
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Knicks | 17% | 103 | 88 |
| 2 | Cavaliers | 83% | 116 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Jazz | 45% | 105 | 104 |
| 11 | Trail Blazers | 55% | 107 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Spurs | 21% | 99 | 129 |
| 1 | Warriors | 79% | 111 | 100 |
Saturday, October 22, 2016
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Celtics | - | - | ||
| Bulls | - | - | ||
Friday, October 21, 2016
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raptors | - | - | 82 | |
| Wizards | - | - | 119 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 76ers | - | - | 113 | |
| Heat | - | - | 110 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hornets | - | - | 74 | |
| Timberwolves | - | - | 109 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rockets | - | - | 99 | |
| Spurs | - | - | 114 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mavericks | - | - | 75 | |
| Nuggets | - | - | 101 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Suns | - | - | 98 | |
| Lakers | - | - | 94 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trail Blazers | - | - | 96 | |
| Warriors | - | - | 107 | |
Thursday, October 20, 2016
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heat | - | - | 88 | |
| Hornets | - | - | 96 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pelicans | - | - | 111 | |
| Magic | - | - | 114 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Knicks | - | - | 116 | |
| Nets | - | - | 111 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hawks | - | - | 97 | |
| Bulls | - | - | 81 | |
Wednesday, October 19, 2016
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Knicks | - | - | 121 | |
| Celtics | - | - | 96 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raptors | - | - | 103 | |
| Pistons | - | - | 92 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pacers | - | - | 103 | |
| Bucks | - | - | 111 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grizzlies | - | - | 94 | |
| Timberwolves | - | - | 101 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rockets | - | - | 106 | |
| Mavericks | - | - | 91 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trail Blazers | - | - | 88 | |
| Jazz | - | - | 84 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Warriors | - | - | 123 | |
| Lakers | - | - | 112 | |
Tuesday, October 18, 2016
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wizards | - | - | 96 | |
| Cavaliers | - | - | 91 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pelicans | - | - | 89 | |
| Hawks | - | - | 96 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Magic | - | - | 77 | |
| Heat | - | - | 107 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nuggets | - | - | 87 | |
| Thunder | - | - | 97 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clippers | - | - | 92 | |
| Kings | - | - | 89 | |
Monday, October 17, 2016
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nets | - | - | 99 | |
| Celtics | - | - | 120 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bucks | - | - | 78 | |
| Pistons | - | - | 102 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hornets | - | - | 108 | |
| Bulls | - | - | 104 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clippers | - | - | 78 | |
| Jazz | - | - | 104 | |
Sunday, October 16, 2016
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hawks | - | - | 105 | |
| Magic | - | - | 98 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Timberwolves | - | - | 94 | |
| Thunder | - | - | 112 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nuggets | - | - | 106 | |
| Trail Blazers | - | - | 97 | |
Saturday, October 15, 2016
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pistons | - | - | 97 | |
| 76ers | - | - | 76 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wizards | - | - | 119 | |
| Kings | - | - | 124 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Celtics | - | - | 119 | |
| Knicks | - | - | 107 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Timberwolves | - | - | 101 | |
| Heat | - | - | 96 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grizzlies | - | - | 134 | |
| Rockets | - | - | 125 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bulls | - | - | 107 | |
| Bucks | - | - | 86 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Warriors | - | - | 112 | |
| Lakers | - | - | 107 | |
Friday, October 14, 2016
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Lorenzo | - | - | 105 | ||
| Raptors | - | - | 122 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pacers | - | - | 106 | |
| Magic | - | - | 114 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cavaliers | - | - | 108 | |
| Bulls | - | - | 118 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heat | - | - | 108 | |
| Spurs | - | - | 100 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Warriors | - | - | 129 | |
| Nuggets | - | - | 128 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mavericks | - | - | 107 | |
| Suns | - | - | 112 | |
Thursday, October 13, 2016
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 76ers | - | - | 79 | |
| Wizards | - | - | 100 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Celtics | - | - | 100 | |
| Nets | - | - | 97 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pistons | - | - | 99 | |
| Hawks | - | - | 94 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grizzlies | - | - | 110 | |
| Thunder | - | - | 94 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raptors | - | - | 119 | |
| Cavaliers | - | - | 94 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trail Blazers | - | - | 108 | |
| Clippers | - | - | 109 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kings | - | - | 116 | |
| Lakers | - | - | 104 | |
Wednesday, October 12, 2016
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spurs | - | - | 95 | |
| Magic | - | - | 89 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bucks | - | - | 83 | |
| Pacers | - | - | 101 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rockets | - | - | 116 | |
| Pelicans | - | - | 104 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nuggets | - | - | 88 | |
| Timberwolves | - | - | 105 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Suns | - | - | 111 | |
| Jazz | - | - | 110 | |
Tuesday, October 11, 2016
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nets | - | - | 100 | |
| Heat | - | - | 121 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 76ers | - | - | 91 | |
| Grizzlies | - | - | 121 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thunder | - | - | 109 | |
| Mavericks | - | - | 114 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trail Blazers | - | - | 109 | |
| Lakers | - | - | 106 | |
Monday, October 10, 2016
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Timberwolves | - | - | 86 | |
| Hornets | - | - | 98 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wizards | - | - | 88 | |
| Knicks | - | - | 90 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cavaliers | - | - | 93 | |
| Hawks | - | - | 99 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spurs | - | - | 86 | |
| Pistons | - | - | 81 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jazz | - | - | 96 | |
| Clippers | - | - | 94 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maccabi Haifa | - | - | 96 | ||
| Kings | - | - | 135 | |
Sunday, October 9, 2016
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pelicans | - | - | 117 | |
| Rockets | - | - | 123 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nuggets | - | - | 115 | |
| Lakers | - | - | 124 | |
Saturday, October 8, 2016
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hornets | - | - | 86 | |
| Celtics | - | - | 104 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nets | - | - | 98 | |
| Knicks | - | - | 116 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 76ers | - | - | 105 | |
| Cavaliers | - | - | 108 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pacers | - | - | 105 | |
| Bulls | - | - | 121 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Timberwolves | - | - | 109 | |
| Heat | - | - | 100 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mavericks | - | - | 74 | |
| Bucks | - | - | 88 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hawks | - | - | 91 | |
| Spurs | - | - | 102 | |
Friday, October 7, 2016
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Suns | - | - | 110 | |
| Trail Blazers | - | - | 115 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nuggets | - | - | 101 | |
| Lakers | - | - | 97 | |
Thursday, October 6, 2016
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wizards | - | - | 125 | |
| 76ers | - | - | 119 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bulls | - | - | 108 | |
| Pacers | - | - | 115 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pistons | - | - | 94 | |
| Nets | - | - | 101 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Celtics | - | - | 107 | |
| Hornets | - | - | 92 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hawks | - | - | 104 | |
| Grizzlies | - | - | 83 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kings | - | - | 96 | |
| Warriors | - | - | 105 | |
Wednesday, October 5, 2016
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thunder | - | - | 92 | |
| FC Barcelona Lassa | - | - | 89 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Magic | - | - | 102 | |
| Cavaliers | - | - | 117 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jazz | - | - | 104 | |
| Suns | - | - | 99 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raptors | - | - | 98 | |
| Clippers | - | - | 104 | |
Tuesday, October 4, 2016
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Celtics | - | - | 89 | |
| 76ers | - | - | 92 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heat | - | - | 106 | |
| Wizards | - | - | 95 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pacers | - | - | 113 | |
| Pelicans | - | - | 96 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Knicks | - | - | 103 | |
| Rockets | - | - | 130 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kings | - | - | 84 | |
| Lakers | - | - | 103 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clippers | - | - | 75 | |
| Warriors | - | - | 120 | |
Monday, October 3, 2016
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thunder | - | - | 137 | |
| Real Madrid | - | - | 142 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bucks | - | - | 93 | |
| Bulls | - | - | 91 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Magic | - | - | 97 | |
| Grizzlies | - | - | 102 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hornets | - | - | 88 | |
| Mavericks | - | - | 95 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nuggets | - | - | 108 | |
| Raptors | - | - | 106 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spurs | - | - | 86 | |
| Suns | - | - | 91 | |