Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Wednesday, November 12, 2014
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 26 | Pistons | 37% | 94 | 103 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 9 | Thunder | 41% | 97 | 109 |
 | 23 | Celtics | 59% | 100 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 10 | Heat | 75 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 25 | Magic | 35% | 96 | 97 |
 | 20 | Knicks | 65% | 102 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 28 | Lakers | 102 | ||
 | 13 | Pelicans | 109 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 16 | Nets | 104 | ||
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 21 | Timberwolves | 36% | 98 | 101 |
Tuesday, November 11, 2014
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Magic | 25% | 96 | 100 |
 | 12 | Raptors | 75% | 105 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Lakers | 102 | ||
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Thunder | 55% | 97 | 78 |
 | 29 | Bucks | 45% | 95 | 85 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 6 | Mavericks | 106 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 24 | Hornets | 33% | 97 | 100 |
| 10 | Trail Blazers | 67% | 103 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Monday, November 10, 2014
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Pelicans | 111 | ||
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Jazz | 41% | 96 | 86 |
| 17 | Pacers | 59% | 99 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Hawks | 91 | ||
| 21 | Knicks | 85 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Pistons | 23% | 93 | 91 |
 | 7 | Bulls | 77% | 103 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spurs | 89 | ||
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Sunday, November 9, 2014
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Magic | 96 | ||
| 16 | Nets | 104 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Jazz | 41% | 98 | 97 |
| 25 | Pistons | 59% | 101 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Kings | 93 | ||
| 9 | Thunder | 101 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 12 | Raptors | 82% | 107 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Heat | 105 | ||
| 5 | Mavericks | 96 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Warriors | 56% | 104 | 95 |
| 14 | Suns | 44% | 102 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Nuggets | 100 | ||
| 10 | Trail Blazers | 116 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Hornets | 59% | 103 | 92 |
| 28 | Lakers | 41% | 100 | 107 |
Saturday, November 8, 2014
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Trail Blazers | 102 | ||
| 4 | Clippers | 106 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Wizards | 56% | 94 | 97 |
| 16 | Pacers | 44% | 92 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Knicks | 96 | ||
| 13 | Hawks | 103 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Timberwolves | 25% | 96 | 92 |
| 10 | Heat | 75% | 105 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Celtics | 106 | ||
| 7 | Bulls | 101 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Warriors | 48% | 100 | 98 |
| 2 | Rockets | 52% | 101 | 87 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Grizzlies | 92 | ||
| 29 | Bucks | 93 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Pelicans | 33% | 97 | 100 |
| 1 | Spurs | 67% | 104 | 99 |
Friday, November 7, 2014
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Hawks | 55% | 98 | 119 |
| 25 | Hornets | 45% | 97 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Timberwolves | 103 | ||
| 27 | Magic | 112 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Bulls | 77% | 99 | 118 |
| 30 | 76ers | 23% | 89 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Pacers | 98 | ||
| 24 | Celtics | 101 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Knicks | 35% | 96 | 99 |
| 15 | Nets | 65% | 102 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Bucks | 95 | ||
| 26 | Pistons | 98 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Wizards | 39% | 94 | 84 |
| 12 | Raptors | 61% | 98 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Grizzlies | 91 | ||
| 8 | Thunder | 89 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Kings | 35% | 102 | 114 |
| 14 | Suns | 65% | 107 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Mavericks | 105 | ||
| 23 | Jazz | 82 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Cavaliers | 65% | 109 | 110 |
| 22 | Nuggets | 35% | 104 | 101 |
Thursday, November 6, 2014
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spurs | 42% | 95 | 81 |
| 2 | Rockets | 58% | 98 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Mavericks | 87 | ||
| 10 | Trail Blazers | 108 | ||
Wednesday, November 5, 2014
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Heat | 53% | 97 | 89 |
| 23 | Hornets | 47% | 96 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Magic | 91 | ||
| 30 | 76ers | 89 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Raptors | 49% | 105 | 110 |
| 24 | Celtics | 51% | 106 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Timberwolves | 98 | ||
| 14 | Nets | 91 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Knicks | 43% | 94 | 95 |
| 25 | Pistons | 57% | 97 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Bulls | 95 | ||
| 29 | Bucks | 86 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Pacers | 28% | 88 | 94 |
| 15 | Wizards | 72% | 96 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Hawks | 92 | ||
| 1 | Spurs | 94 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Grizzlies | 51% | 101 | 102 |
| 13 | Suns | 49% | 100 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Cavaliers | 100 | ||
| 26 | Jazz | 102 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Nuggets | 49% | 106 | 109 |
| 22 | Kings | 51% | 107 | 131 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Clippers | 104 | ||
| 3 | Warriors | 121 | ||
Tuesday, November 4, 2014
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Bucks | 42% | 98 | 87 |
| 17 | Pacers | 58% | 101 | 81 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Rockets | 108 | ||
| 8 | Heat | 91 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Wizards | 49% | 94 | 98 |
| 19 | Knicks | 51% | 95 | 83 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Thunder | 88 | ||
| 12 | Raptors | 100 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Magic | 24% | 94 | 90 |
| 9 | Bulls | 76% | 103 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Hornets | 91 | ||
| 18 | Pelicans | 100 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Cavaliers | 52% | 104 | 82 |
| 11 | Trail Blazers | 48% | 103 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Suns | 112 | ||
| 27 | Lakers | 106 | ||
Monday, November 3, 2014
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Rockets | 79% | 105 | 104 |
| 30 | 76ers | 21% | 93 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Thunder | 85 | ||
| 18 | Nets | 116 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Pelicans | 36% | 98 | 81 |
| 10 | Grizzlies | 64% | 103 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Celtics | 113 | ||
| 6 | Mavericks | 118 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Kings | 33% | 100 | 110 |
| 19 | Nuggets | 67% | 106 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Jazz | 101 | ||
| 3 | Clippers | 107 | ||
Sunday, November 2, 2014
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Kings | 17% | 101 | 98 |
| 3 | Clippers | 83% | 114 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Raptors | 102 | ||
| 10 | Heat | 107 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Hornets | 39% | 92 | 93 |
| 20 | Knicks | 61% | 96 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Warriors | 95 | ||
| 11 | Trail Blazers | 90 | ||
Saturday, November 1, 2014
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Mavericks | 51% | 105 | 109 |
| 17 | Pelicans | 49% | 104 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Grizzlies | 71 | ||
| 22 | Hornets | 69 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Raptors | 65% | 103 | 108 |
| 27 | Magic | 35% | 98 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Heat | 114 | ||
| 30 | 76ers | 96 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Bucks | 24% | 92 | 97 |
| 14 | Wizards | 76% | 102 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Pacers | 92 | ||
| 15 | Hawks | 102 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Nets | 49% | 103 | 102 |
| 23 | Pistons | 51% | 104 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Celtics | 90 | ||
| 5 | Rockets | 104 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Bulls | 51% | 98 | 106 |
| 21 | Timberwolves | 49% | 97 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Nuggets | 91 | ||
| 6 | Thunder | 102 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Suns | 58% | 103 | 91 |
| 28 | Jazz | 42% | 100 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Lakers | 104 | ||
| 2 | Warriors | 127 | ||
Friday, October 31, 2014
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Grizzlies | 66% | 99 | 97 |
| 16 | Pacers | 34% | 93 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Cavaliers | 114 | ||
| 10 | Bulls | 108 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | 76ers | 39% | 95 | 81 |
| 29 | Bucks | 61% | 99 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spurs | 89 | ||
| 13 | Suns | 94 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Trail Blazers | 62% | 105 | 94 |
| 25 | Kings | 38% | 101 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Clippers | 118 | ||
| 28 | Lakers | 111 | ||
Thursday, October 30, 2014
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Wizards | 105 | ||
| 26 | Magic | 98 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Pistons | 37% | 101 | 91 |
| 20 | Timberwolves | 63% | 105 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Knicks | 95 | ||
| 3 | Cavaliers | 90 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Jazz | 17% | 94 | 102 |
| 7 | Mavericks | 83% | 107 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Thunder | 90 | ||
| 4 | Clippers | 93 | ||
Wednesday, October 29, 2014
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Bucks | 106 | ||
| 22 | Hornets | 108 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | 76ers | 33% | 93 | 91 |
| 13 | Pacers | 67% | 99 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Nets | 105 | ||
| 27 | Celtics | 121 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Wizards | 41% | 95 | 95 |
| 12 | Heat | 59% | 98 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Hawks | 102 | ||
| 11 | Raptors | 109 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Timberwolves | 29% | 96 | 101 |
| 8 | Grizzlies | 71% | 104 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Bulls | 104 | ||
| 20 | Knicks | 80 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Pistons | 37% | 105 | 79 |
| 18 | Nuggets | 63% | 110 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Rockets | 104 | ||
| 28 | Jazz | 93 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Lakers | 19% | 95 | 99 |
| 10 | Suns | 81% | 107 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Warriors | 95 | ||
| 24 | Kings | 77 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Thunder | 40% | 102 | 89 |
| 9 | Trail Blazers | 60% | 105 | 106 |
Tuesday, October 28, 2014
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Magic | 29% | 99 | 84 |
| 18 | Pelicans | 71% | 107 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Mavericks | 100 | ||
| 1 | Spurs | 101 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Rockets | 71% | 106 | 108 |
| 26 | Lakers | 29% | 99 | 90 |