Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Sunday, September 6, 2020
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | Bucks | 118 | |||
8 | Heat | 115 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | Rockets | 109 | |||
6 | Lakers | 117 |
Saturday, September 5, 2020
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | Raptors | 100 | |||
2 | Celtics | 93 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
12 | Nuggets | 110 | |||
1 | Clippers | 101 |
Friday, September 4, 2020
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | Bucks | 100 | |||
9 | Heat | 115 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | Rockets | 112 | |||
6 | Lakers | 97 |
Thursday, September 3, 2020
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | Raptors | 104 | |||
2 | Celtics | 103 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
10 | Nuggets | 97 | |||
1 | Clippers | 120 |
Wednesday, September 2, 2020
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
13 | Thunder | 102 | |||
4 | Rockets | 104 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
9 | Heat | 116 | |||
3 | Bucks | 114 |
Tuesday, September 1, 2020
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
8 | Jazz | 78 | |||
10 | Nuggets | 80 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | Celtics | 102 | |||
6 | Raptors | 99 |
Monday, August 31, 2020
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 | Rockets | 100 | |||
14 | Thunder | 104 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
12 | Heat | 115 | |||
2 | Bucks | 104 |
Sunday, August 30, 2020
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Clippers | 111 | |||
5 | Mavericks | 97 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
12 | Nuggets | 119 | |||
8 | Jazz | 107 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | Celtics | 112 | |||
7 | Raptors | 94 |
Saturday, August 29, 2020
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
18 | Magic | 104 | |||
2 | Bucks | 118 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
15 | Trail Blazers | 122 | |||
7 | Lakers | 131 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
11 | Thunder | 80 | |||
5 | Rockets | 114 |
Tuesday, August 25, 2020
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | Mavericks | 111 | |||
1 | Clippers | 154 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
8 | Jazz | 107 | |||
13 | Nuggets | 117 |
Monday, August 24, 2020
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | Bucks | 121 | |||
18 | Magic | 106 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
12 | Pacers | 87 | |||
9 | Heat | 99 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | Lakers | 135 | |||
11 | Trail Blazers | 115 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 | Rockets | 114 | |||
13 | Thunder | 117 |
Sunday, August 23, 2020
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | Raptors | 150 | |||
25 | Nets | 122 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | Celtics | 110 | |||
10 | 76ers | 106 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Clippers | 133 | |||
4 | Mavericks | 135 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
15 | Nuggets | 127 | |||
8 | Jazz | 129 |
Saturday, August 22, 2020
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | Bucks | 121 | |||
18 | Magic | 107 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
10 | Pacers | 115 | |||
12 | Heat | 124 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 | Lakers | 116 | |||
11 | Trail Blazers | 108 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | Rockets | 107 | |||
14 | Thunder | 119 |
Friday, August 21, 2020
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | Raptors | 117 | |||
25 | Nets | 92 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | Celtics | 102 | |||
8 | 76ers | 94 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Clippers | 130 | |||
4 | Mavericks | 122 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
14 | Nuggets | 87 | |||
12 | Jazz | 124 |
Thursday, August 20, 2020
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
20 | Magic | 96 | |||
2 | Bucks | 111 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
12 | Heat | 109 | |||
11 | Pacers | 100 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | Trail Blazers | 88 | |||
7 | Lakers | 111 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
15 | Thunder | 98 | |||
8 | Rockets | 111 |
Wednesday, August 19, 2020
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
25 | Nets | 99 | |||
5 | Raptors | 104 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
9 | 76ers | 101 | |||
3 | Celtics | 128 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | Mavericks | 127 | |||
1 | Clippers | 114 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
14 | Jazz | 124 | |||
13 | Nuggets | 105 |
Tuesday, August 18, 2020
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
22 | Magic | 122 | |||
3 | Bucks | 110 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
12 | Heat | 113 | |||
9 | Pacers | 101 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | Trail Blazers | 100 | |||
7 | Lakers | 93 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
19 | Thunder | 108 | |||
10 | Rockets | 123 |
Monday, August 17, 2020
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
25 | Nets | 110 | |||
5 | Raptors | 134 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
10 | 76ers | 101 | |||
2 | Celtics | 109 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | Mavericks | 110 | |||
1 | Clippers | 118 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
14 | Jazz | 125 | |||
13 | Nuggets | 135 |
Saturday, August 15, 2020
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
15 | Grizzlies | 122 | |||
6 | Trail Blazers | 126 |
Friday, August 14, 2020
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
13 | 76ers | 38% | 114 | 134 | |
6 | Rockets | 62% | 118 | 96 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 | Heat | 92 | |||
10 | Pacers | 109 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
14 | Thunder | 20% | 106 | 103 | |
1 | Clippers | 80% | 118 | 107 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
12 | Nuggets | 109 | |||
5 | Raptors | 117 |
Thursday, August 13, 2020
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
30 | Wizards | 96 | |||
2 | Celtics | 90 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
10 | Trail Blazers | 59% | 119 | 134 | |
25 | Nets | 41% | 115 | 133 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
21 | Kings | 136 | |||
6 | Lakers | 122 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | Bucks | 64% | 117 | 106 | |
16 | Grizzlies | 36% | 112 | 119 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
17 | Pelicans | 127 | |||
18 | Magic | 133 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | Mavericks | 47% | 117 | 102 | |
11 | Suns | 53% | 118 | 128 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
22 | Spurs | 112 | |||
14 | Jazz | 118 |
Wednesday, August 12, 2020
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
9 | Pacers | 108 | |||
8 | Rockets | 104 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | Raptors | 65% | 113 | 125 | |
11 | 76ers | 35% | 107 | 121 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 | Heat | 115 | |||
14 | Thunder | 116 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Clippers | 58% | 117 | 124 | |
12 | Nuggets | 42% | 114 | 111 |
Tuesday, August 11, 2020
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
26 | Nets | 43% | 109 | 108 | |
16 | Magic | 57% | 112 | 96 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 | Rockets | 105 | |||
22 | Spurs | 123 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
13 | Suns | 43% | 112 | 130 | |
9 | 76ers | 57% | 115 | 117 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
11 | Trail Blazers | 134 | |||
3 | Mavericks | 131 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | Celtics | 65% | 114 | 122 | |
18 | Grizzlies | 35% | 109 | 107 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
17 | Pelicans | 106 | |||
21 | Kings | 112 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Bucks | 76% | 119 | 126 | |
29 | Wizards | 24% | 109 | 113 |
Monday, August 10, 2020
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
14 | Thunder | 101 | |||
15 | Suns | 128 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | Mavericks | 57% | 115 | 122 | |
13 | Jazz | 43% | 113 | 114 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | Raptors | 114 | |||
1 | Bucks | 106 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
10 | Pacers | 37% | 108 | 92 | |
8 | Heat | 63% | 113 | 114 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
12 | Nuggets | 121 | |||
7 | Lakers | 124 |
Sunday, August 9, 2020
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
28 | Wizards | 23% | 105 | 103 | |
12 | Thunder | 77% | 115 | 121 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
18 | Grizzlies | 99 | |||
5 | Raptors | 108 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
24 | Spurs | 35% | 113 | 122 | |
16 | Pelicans | 65% | 119 | 113 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
17 | Magic | 119 | |||
4 | Celtics | 122 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | 76ers | 51% | 118 | 121 | |
11 | Trail Blazers | 49% | 117 | 124 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
9 | Rockets | 129 | |||
19 | Kings | 112 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
26 | Nets | 26% | 109 | 129 | |
1 | Clippers | 74% | 118 | 120 |
Saturday, August 8, 2020
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Clippers | 122 | |||
12 | Trail Blazers | 117 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
14 | Jazz | 38% | 110 | 132 | |
11 | Nuggets | 62% | 114 | 134 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
8 | Lakers | 111 | |||
10 | Pacers | 116 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
15 | Suns | 41% | 110 | 119 | |
7 | Heat | 59% | 114 | 112 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | Bucks | 132 | |||
4 | Mavericks | 136 |
Friday, August 7, 2020
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
11 | Jazz | 111 | |||
24 | Spurs | 119 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
10 | Thunder | 52% | 110 | 92 | |
18 | Grizzlies | 48% | 109 | 121 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
19 | Kings | 106 | |||
26 | Nets | 119 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
17 | Magic | 32% | 108 | 101 | |
9 | 76ers | 68% | 114 | 108 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
28 | Wizards | 107 | |||
16 | Pelicans | 118 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | Celtics | 35% | 107 | 122 | |
3 | Raptors | 65% | 112 | 100 |
Thursday, August 6, 2020
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
16 | Pelicans | 125 | |||
19 | Kings | 140 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
8 | Heat | 30% | 108 | 116 | |
1 | Bucks | 70% | 115 | 130 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
11 | Pacers | 99 | |||
15 | Suns | 114 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | Clippers | 46% | 117 | 126 | |
4 | Mavericks | 54% | 118 | 111 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
14 | Trail Blazers | 125 | |||
10 | Nuggets | 115 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | Lakers | 35% | 112 | 97 | |
7 | Rockets | 65% | 117 | 113 |
Wednesday, August 5, 2020
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
18 | Grizzlies | 115 | |||
13 | Jazz | 124 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 | 76ers | 76% | 117 | 107 | |
28 | Wizards | 24% | 107 | 98 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
10 | Nuggets | 132 | |||
24 | Spurs | 126 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
12 | Thunder | 29% | 104 | 105 | |
4 | Lakers | 71% | 112 | 86 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | Raptors | 109 | |||
17 | Magic | 99 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
26 | Nets | 20% | 103 | 115 | |
5 | Celtics | 80% | 115 | 149 |
Tuesday, August 4, 2020
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
26 | Nets | 119 | |||
1 | Bucks | 116 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | Mavericks | 65% | 117 | 114 | |
21 | Kings | 35% | 111 | 110 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
16 | Suns | 117 | |||
2 | Clippers | 115 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
17 | Magic | 44% | 108 | 109 | |
11 | Pacers | 56% | 110 | 120 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | Celtics | 106 | |||
9 | Heat | 112 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 | Rockets | 47% | 120 | 102 | |
14 | Trail Blazers | 53% | 121 | 110 |
Monday, August 3, 2020
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | Raptors | 107 | |||
9 | Heat | 103 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
10 | Nuggets | 38% | 105 | 121 | |
11 | Thunder | 62% | 109 | 113 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
13 | Pacers | 111 | |||
28 | Wizards | 100 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
18 | Grizzlies | 36% | 112 | 99 | |
17 | Pelicans | 64% | 118 | 109 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
24 | Spurs | 130 | |||
7 | 76ers | 132 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | Lakers | 57% | 111 | 116 | |
14 | Jazz | 43% | 109 | 108 |
Sunday, August 2, 2020
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
29 | Wizards | 110 | |||
26 | Nets | 118 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
14 | Trail Blazers | 33% | 112 | 124 | |
6 | Celtics | 67% | 118 | 128 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
24 | Spurs | 108 | |||
18 | Grizzlies | 106 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
19 | Kings | 44% | 109 | 116 | |
16 | Magic | 56% | 111 | 132 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Bucks | 116 | |||
7 | Rockets | 120 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | Mavericks | 60% | 119 | 115 | |
15 | Suns | 40% | 115 | 117 |
Saturday, August 1, 2020
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
10 | Heat | 46% | 109 | 125 | |
11 | Nuggets | 54% | 110 | 105 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
9 | Jazz | 94 | |||
12 | Thunder | 110 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
15 | Pelicans | 31% | 113 | 103 | |
2 | Clippers | 69% | 120 | 126 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
8 | 76ers | 121 | |||
13 | Pacers | 127 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | Lakers | 44% | 109 | 92 | |
3 | Raptors | 56% | 111 | 107 |
Friday, July 31, 2020
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
17 | Magic | 51% | 110 | 128 | |
26 | Nets | 49% | 109 | 118 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
18 | Grizzlies | 135 | |||
12 | Trail Blazers | 140 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
16 | Suns | 61% | 116 | 125 | |
27 | Wizards | 39% | 112 | 112 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | Celtics | 112 | |||
1 | Bucks | 119 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
19 | Kings | 53% | 112 | 120 | |
24 | Spurs | 47% | 111 | 129 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 | Rockets | 153 | |||
3 | Mavericks | 149 |
Thursday, July 30, 2020
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
11 | Jazz | 48% | 113 | 106 | |
14 | Pelicans | 52% | 114 | 104 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | Clippers | 101 | |||
5 | Lakers | 103 |