Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Friday, January 8, 2021
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
9 | Suns | 68% | 115 | 105 | |
27 | Pistons | 32% | 108 | 110 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
20 | Wizards | 107 | |||
8 | Celtics | 116 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
29 | Thunder | 40% | 104 | 101 | |
25 | Knicks | 60% | 108 | 89 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
28 | Hornets | 118 | |||
19 | Pelicans | 110 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
23 | Magic | 32% | 107 | 90 | |
10 | Rockets | 68% | 113 | 132 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | Nets | 110 | |||
21 | Grizzlies | 115 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 | Jazz | 33% | 111 | 131 | |
3 | Bucks | 67% | 117 | 118 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Clippers | 105 | |||
16 | Warriors | 115 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
26 | Bulls | 28% | 107 | 115 | |
2 | Lakers | 72% | 116 | 117 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
14 | Raptors | 144 | |||
22 | Kings | 123 |
Thursday, January 7, 2021
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | 76ers | 109 | |||
4 | Nets | 122 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
30 | Cavaliers | 32% | 102 | 94 | |
21 | Grizzlies | 68% | 109 | 90 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | Mavericks | 124 | |||
13 | Nuggets | 117 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
17 | Spurs | 24% | 105 | 118 | |
2 | Lakers | 76% | 115 | 109 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
24 | Timberwolves | 117 | |||
15 | Trail Blazers | 135 |
Wednesday, January 6, 2021
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
9 | Rockets | 42% | 109 | 107 | |
11 | Pacers | 58% | 112 | 114 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
30 | Cavaliers | 94 | |||
23 | Magic | 105 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
20 | Wizards | 29% | 114 | 136 | |
6 | 76ers | 71% | 121 | 141 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
28 | Hornets | 102 | |||
17 | Hawks | 94 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
10 | Celtics | 44% | 109 | 107 | |
13 | Heat | 56% | 111 | 105 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 | Jazz | 100 | |||
26 | Knicks | 112 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
27 | Pistons | 14% | 107 | 115 | |
3 | Bucks | 86% | 122 | 130 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
29 | Thunder | 111 | |||
19 | Pelicans | 110 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
14 | Raptors | 39% | 108 | 115 | |
8 | Suns | 61% | 112 | 123 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Clippers | 108 | |||
16 | Warriors | 101 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
25 | Bulls | 36% | 114 | 124 | |
22 | Kings | 64% | 119 | 128 |
Tuesday, January 5, 2021
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | Jazz | 96 | |||
6 | Nets | 130 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Lakers | 73% | 112 | 94 | |
22 | Grizzlies | 27% | 103 | 92 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
24 | Timberwolves | 116 | |||
12 | Nuggets | 123 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
18 | Spurs | 21% | 106 | 116 | |
2 | Clippers | 79% | 117 | 113 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
26 | Bulls | 111 | |||
16 | Trail Blazers | 108 |
Monday, January 4, 2021
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
30 | Cavaliers | 42% | 109 | 83 | |
24 | Magic | 58% | 111 | 103 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
29 | Hornets | 101 | |||
9 | 76ers | 118 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
27 | Knicks | 34% | 111 | 113 | |
17 | Hawks | 66% | 117 | 108 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
28 | Thunder | 90 | |||
14 | Heat | 118 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
10 | Celtics | 34% | 105 | 126 | |
12 | Raptors | 66% | 111 | 114 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 | Mavericks | 113 | |||
5 | Rockets | 100 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
26 | Pistons | 9% | 104 | 115 | |
3 | Bucks | 91% | 123 | 125 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
13 | Pacers | 118 | |||
19 | Pelicans | 116 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
20 | Kings | 49% | 118 | 106 | |
16 | Warriors | 51% | 119 | 137 |
Sunday, January 3, 2021
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
10 | Celtics | 66% | 111 | 122 | |
26 | Pistons | 34% | 105 | 120 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
23 | Wizards | 123 | |||
6 | Nets | 122 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Lakers | 74% | 113 | 108 | |
22 | Grizzlies | 26% | 104 | 94 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
11 | Nuggets | 124 | |||
21 | Timberwolves | 109 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | Jazz | 65% | 114 | 130 | |
17 | Spurs | 35% | 109 | 109 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
9 | Mavericks | 108 | |||
25 | Bulls | 118 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | Clippers | 45% | 108 | 112 | |
8 | Suns | 55% | 110 | 107 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
15 | Trail Blazers | 122 | |||
19 | Warriors | 137 |
Saturday, January 2, 2021
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
19 | Kings | 32% | 112 | 94 | |
6 | Rockets | 68% | 119 | 102 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
30 | Knicks | 106 | |||
11 | Pacers | 102 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
28 | Thunder | 39% | 107 | 108 | |
24 | Magic | 61% | 111 | 99 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
27 | Hornets | 112 | |||
10 | 76ers | 127 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
29 | Cavaliers | 33% | 114 | 96 | |
16 | Hawks | 67% | 120 | 91 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
13 | Raptors | 116 | |||
20 | Pelicans | 120 |
Friday, January 1, 2021
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
22 | Grizzlies | 47% | 112 | 108 | |
26 | Hornets | 53% | 113 | 93 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
9 | Celtics | 93 | |||
27 | Pistons | 96 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
14 | Heat | 45% | 113 | 83 | |
7 | Mavericks | 55% | 115 | 93 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
20 | Hawks | 114 | |||
5 | Nets | 96 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
25 | Bulls | 13% | 110 | 96 | |
2 | Bucks | 87% | 126 | 126 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
23 | Wizards | 130 | |||
18 | Timberwolves | 109 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Lakers | 68% | 117 | 109 | |
17 | Spurs | 32% | 110 | 103 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
8 | Suns | 106 | |||
11 | Nuggets | 103 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | Clippers | 46% | 111 | 100 | |
4 | Jazz | 54% | 112 | 106 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
15 | Trail Blazers | 123 | |||
16 | Warriors | 98 |
Thursday, December 31, 2020
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
30 | Cavaliers | 99 | |||
12 | Pacers | 119 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
26 | Bulls | 40% | 119 | 133 | |
24 | Wizards | 60% | 123 | 130 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
11 | 76ers | 116 | |||
21 | Magic | 92 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
19 | Kings | 34% | 110 | 119 | |
6 | Rockets | 66% | 116 | 122 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
29 | Knicks | 83 | |||
13 | Raptors | 100 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
22 | Pelicans | 52% | 109 | 113 | |
25 | Thunder | 48% | 108 | 80 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
10 | Suns | 106 | |||
4 | Jazz | 95 |
Wednesday, December 30, 2020
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
22 | Grizzlies | 107 | |||
8 | Celtics | 126 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
20 | Hawks | 29% | 116 | 141 | |
6 | Nets | 71% | 124 | 145 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | Bucks | 108 | |||
15 | Heat | 119 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
27 | Hornets | 25% | 110 | 118 | |
5 | Mavericks | 75% | 119 | 99 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Lakers | 121 | |||
19 | Spurs | 107 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
12 | Trail Blazers | 45% | 112 | 105 | |
3 | Clippers | 55% | 114 | 128 |
Tuesday, December 29, 2020
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
30 | Knicks | 95 | |||
29 | Cavaliers | 86 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
17 | Warriors | 55% | 121 | 116 | |
26 | Pistons | 45% | 119 | 106 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
10 | Celtics | 116 | |||
15 | Pacers | 111 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
14 | Raptors | 47% | 111 | 93 | |
13 | 76ers | 53% | 113 | 100 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
27 | Bulls | 115 | |||
24 | Wizards | 107 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 | Bucks | 54% | 114 | 144 | |
8 | Heat | 46% | 112 | 97 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
21 | Magic | 118 | |||
25 | Thunder | 107 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
20 | Pelicans | 36% | 110 | 86 | |
11 | Suns | 64% | 115 | 111 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
16 | Timberwolves | 101 | |||
2 | Clippers | 124 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
9 | Nuggets | 51% | 115 | 115 | |
22 | Kings | 49% | 114 | 125 |
Monday, December 28, 2020
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
29 | Pistons | 30% | 112 | 120 | |
18 | Hawks | 70% | 120 | 128 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
23 | Grizzlies | 116 | |||
4 | Nets | 111 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | Jazz | 72% | 116 | 110 | |
25 | Thunder | 28% | 108 | 109 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | Rockets | 111 | |||
11 | Nuggets | 124 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
15 | Trail Blazers | 35% | 112 | 115 | |
1 | Lakers | 65% | 118 | 107 |
Sunday, December 27, 2020
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
8 | Mavericks | 27% | 111 | 124 | |
1 | Clippers | 73% | 120 | 73 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | Nets | 104 | |||
28 | Hornets | 106 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
23 | Magic | 46% | 118 | 120 | |
24 | Wizards | 54% | 120 | 113 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
17 | Spurs | 95 | |||
19 | Pelicans | 98 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
10 | 76ers | 68% | 117 | 94 | |
29 | Cavaliers | 32% | 110 | 118 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | Bucks | 110 | |||
30 | Knicks | 130 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 | Celtics | 49% | 110 | 107 | |
14 | Pacers | 51% | 111 | 108 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
20 | Warriors | 129 | |||
26 | Bulls | 128 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
13 | Suns | 51% | 116 | 116 | |
21 | Kings | 49% | 115 | 100 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
16 | Timberwolves | 91 | |||
2 | Lakers | 127 |
Saturday, December 26, 2020
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
21 | Hawks | 43% | 119 | 122 | |
20 | Grizzlies | 57% | 121 | 112 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
26 | Thunder | 109 | |||
28 | Hornets | 107 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
29 | Cavaliers | 46% | 112 | 128 | |
27 | Pistons | 54% | 113 | 119 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
23 | Magic | 130 | |||
24 | Wizards | 120 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
11 | 76ers | 71% | 120 | 109 | |
30 | Knicks | 29% | 112 | 89 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
14 | Pacers | 125 | |||
25 | Bulls | 106 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
12 | Raptors | 59% | 116 | 114 | |
18 | Spurs | 41% | 113 | 119 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
16 | Timberwolves | 116 | |||
4 | Jazz | 111 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | Rockets | 53% | 114 | 126 | |
15 | Trail Blazers | 47% | 113 | 128 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
13 | Suns | 103 | |||
22 | Kings | 106 |
Friday, December 25, 2020
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
20 | Pelicans | 34% | 111 | 98 | |
9 | Heat | 66% | 117 | 111 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
19 | Warriors | 99 | |||
3 | Bucks | 138 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 | Nets | 47% | 113 | 123 | |
6 | Celtics | 53% | 114 | 95 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
8 | Mavericks | 115 | |||
2 | Lakers | 138 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Clippers | 57% | 114 | 121 | |
12 | Nuggets | 43% | 112 | 108 |
Wednesday, December 23, 2020
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | Bucks | 55% | 106 | 121 | |
7 | Celtics | 45% | 105 | 122 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
8 | Mavericks | 102 | |||
13 | Suns | 106 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
27 | Hornets | 114 | |||
29 | Cavaliers | 121 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
30 | Knicks | 26% | 102 | 107 | |
14 | Pacers | 74% | 111 | 121 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
9 | Heat | 107 | |||
22 | Magic | 113 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
25 | Wizards | 31% | 108 | 107 | |
10 | 76ers | 69% | 115 | 113 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
20 | Pelicans | 113 | |||
11 | Raptors | 99 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
21 | Hawks | 48% | 114 | 124 | |
24 | Bulls | 52% | 115 | 104 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
19 | Spurs | 41% | 106 | 131 | |
17 | Grizzlies | 59% | 109 | 119 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
28 | Pistons | 101 | |||
16 | Timberwolves | 111 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
23 | Kings | 36% | 110 | 124 | |
12 | Nuggets | 64% | 115 | 122 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | Jazz | 120 | |||
15 | Trail Blazers | 100 |
Tuesday, December 22, 2020
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
17 | Warriors | 27% | 110 | 99 | |
8 | Nets | 73% | 118 | 125 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | Clippers | 116 | |||
1 | Lakers | 109 |