Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Friday, May 3, 2024
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
15 | Cavaliers | 96 | |||
17 | Magic | 103 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
19 | Clippers | 101 | |||
7 | Mavericks | 114 |
Thursday, May 2, 2024
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | Knicks | 118 | |||
5 | 76ers | 115 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
8 | Bucks | 98 | |||
16 | Pacers | 120 |
Wednesday, May 1, 2024
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
19 | Heat | 84 | |||
1 | Celtics | 118 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
8 | Mavericks | 123 | |||
18 | Clippers | 93 |
Tuesday, April 30, 2024
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | 76ers | 112 | |||
5 | Knicks | 106 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
14 | Pacers | 92 | |||
8 | Bucks | 115 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
17 | Magic | 103 | |||
15 | Cavaliers | 104 |
Monday, April 29, 2024
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Celtics | 102 | |||
18 | Heat | 88 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | Thunder | 97 | |||
9 | Pelicans | 89 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
11 | Lakers | 106 | |||
2 | Nuggets | 108 |
Sunday, April 28, 2024
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | Knicks | 97 | |||
5 | 76ers | 92 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 | Bucks | 113 | |||
14 | Pacers | 126 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | Timberwolves | 122 | |||
10 | Suns | 116 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
19 | Clippers | 116 | |||
8 | Mavericks | 111 |
Saturday, April 27, 2024
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Celtics | 104 | |||
17 | Heat | 84 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
15 | Cavaliers | 89 | |||
18 | Magic | 112 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | Thunder | 106 | |||
9 | Pelicans | 85 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | Nuggets | 108 | |||
11 | Lakers | 119 |
Friday, April 26, 2024
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 | Bucks | 118 | |||
15 | Pacers | 121 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | Timberwolves | 126 | |||
9 | Suns | 109 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
19 | Clippers | 90 | |||
10 | Mavericks | 101 |
Thursday, April 25, 2024
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | Knicks | 114 | |||
5 | 76ers | 125 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
13 | Cavaliers | 83 | |||
18 | Magic | 121 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | Nuggets | 112 | |||
11 | Lakers | 105 |
Wednesday, April 24, 2024
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
17 | Heat | 111 | |||
1 | Celtics | 101 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | Pelicans | 92 | |||
8 | Thunder | 124 |
Tuesday, April 23, 2024
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
16 | Pacers | 125 | |||
8 | Bucks | 108 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 | Suns | 93 | |||
3 | Timberwolves | 105 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
10 | Mavericks | 96 | |||
19 | Clippers | 93 |
Monday, April 22, 2024
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | 76ers | 101 | |||
4 | Knicks | 104 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
18 | Magic | 86 | |||
13 | Cavaliers | 96 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
12 | Lakers | 99 | |||
2 | Nuggets | 101 |
Sunday, April 21, 2024
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
16 | Heat | 94 | |||
1 | Celtics | 114 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
17 | Pacers | 94 | |||
8 | Bucks | 109 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 | Pelicans | 92 | |||
11 | Thunder | 94 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
12 | Mavericks | 97 | |||
20 | Clippers | 109 |
Saturday, April 20, 2024
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | 76ers | 104 | |||
3 | Knicks | 111 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
18 | Magic | 83 | |||
12 | Cavaliers | 97 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
10 | Lakers | 103 | |||
4 | Nuggets | 114 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | Suns | 95 | |||
2 | Timberwolves | 120 |
Friday, April 19, 2024
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
19 | Bulls | 91 | |||
16 | Heat | 112 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
14 | Kings | 98 | |||
7 | Pelicans | 105 |
Wednesday, April 17, 2024
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
16 | Heat | 104 | |||
6 | 76ers | 105 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
21 | Hawks | 116 | |||
19 | Bulls | 131 |
Tuesday, April 16, 2024
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
13 | Lakers | 110 | |||
6 | Pelicans | 106 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
9 | Warriors | 94 | |||
14 | Kings | 118 |
Sunday, April 14, 2024
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
30 | Wizards | 122 | |||
1 | Celtics | 132 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
27 | Hornets | 16% | 99 | 120 | |
11 | Cavaliers | 84% | 114 | 110 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
21 | Hawks | 115 | |||
17 | Pacers | 157 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
26 | Raptors | 15% | 101 | 103 | |
16 | Heat | 85% | 116 | 118 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
20 | Bulls | 119 | |||
3 | Knicks | 120 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
12 | Bucks | 42% | 108 | 88 | |
18 | Magic | 58% | 111 | 113 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
23 | Nets | 86 | |||
6 | 76ers | 107 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | Nuggets | 80% | 114 | 126 | |
22 | Grizzlies | 20% | 101 | 111 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
9 | Suns | 125 | |||
2 | Timberwolves | 106 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
15 | Lakers | 38% | 112 | 124 | |
5 | Pelicans | 62% | 116 | 108 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
10 | Mavericks | 86 | |||
8 | Thunder | 135 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
29 | Pistons | 39% | 110 | 95 | |
24 | Spurs | 61% | 114 | 123 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
25 | Jazz | 116 | |||
7 | Warriors | 123 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
14 | Rockets | 59% | 113 | 116 | |
19 | Clippers | 41% | 109 | 105 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
28 | Trail Blazers | 82 | |||
13 | Kings | 121 |
Friday, April 12, 2024
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
19 | Magic | 37% | 107 | 113 | |
10 | 76ers | 63% | 112 | 125 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
20 | Bulls | 129 | |||
29 | Wizards | 127 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
26 | Hornets | 14% | 102 | 98 | |
1 | Celtics | 86% | 118 | 131 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
18 | Pacers | 120 | |||
12 | Cavaliers | 129 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
23 | Nets | 27% | 107 | 107 | |
3 | Knicks | 73% | 116 | 111 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
27 | Raptors | 103 | |||
16 | Heat | 125 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
17 | Lakers | 72% | 114 | 123 | |
22 | Grizzlies | 28% | 106 | 120 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
21 | Hawks | 106 | |||
2 | Timberwolves | 109 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
11 | Bucks | 30% | 108 | 107 | |
7 | Thunder | 70% | 116 | 125 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | Nuggets | 120 | |||
24 | Spurs | 121 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
30 | Pistons | 21% | 105 | 107 | |
4 | Mavericks | 79% | 117 | 89 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | Pelicans | 114 | |||
8 | Warriors | 109 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
13 | Rockets | 66% | 111 | 116 | |
28 | Trail Blazers | 34% | 105 | 107 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
25 | Jazz | 110 | |||
15 | Clippers | 109 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
9 | Suns | 55% | 115 | 108 | |
14 | Kings | 45% | 113 | 107 |
Thursday, April 11, 2024
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
20 | Bulls | 127 | |||
30 | Pistons | 105 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | Knicks | 28% | 107 | 118 | |
1 | Celtics | 72% | 116 | 109 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
14 | Rockets | 121 | |||
27 | Jazz | 124 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | Warriors | 80% | 119 | 100 | |
28 | Trail Blazers | 20% | 106 | 92 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
8 | Pelicans | 135 | |||
13 | Kings | 123 |
Wednesday, April 10, 2024
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
22 | Grizzlies | 98 | |||
12 | Cavaliers | 110 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
25 | Hornets | 24% | 109 | 115 | |
20 | Hawks | 76% | 119 | 114 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
26 | Raptors | 102 | |||
23 | Nets | 106 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | Mavericks | 43% | 110 | 111 | |
14 | Heat | 57% | 112 | 92 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
19 | Magic | 99 | |||
11 | Bucks | 117 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
24 | Spurs | 16% | 107 | 89 | |
6 | Thunder | 84% | 122 | 127 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | Timberwolves | 107 | |||
4 | Nuggets | 116 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
9 | Suns | 66% | 116 | 124 | |
13 | Clippers | 34% | 110 | 108 |
Tuesday, April 9, 2024
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | Mavericks | 130 | |||
26 | Hornets | 104 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
30 | Pistons | 15% | 104 | 102 | |
9 | 76ers | 85% | 119 | 120 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
17 | Pacers | 140 | |||
25 | Raptors | 123 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
14 | Heat | 59% | 113 | 117 | |
20 | Hawks | 41% | 109 | 111 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Celtics | 91 | |||
12 | Bucks | 104 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | Knicks | 60% | 110 | 128 | |
21 | Bulls | 40% | 106 | 117 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
19 | Magic | 106 | |||
16 | Rockets | 118 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
24 | Spurs | 57% | 109 | 102 | |
22 | Grizzlies | 43% | 107 | 87 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
29 | Wizards | 121 | |||
2 | Timberwolves | 130 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
18 | Kings | 35% | 111 | 105 | |
7 | Thunder | 65% | 117 | 112 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | Nuggets | 111 | |||
27 | Jazz | 95 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
10 | Warriors | 51% | 116 | 134 | |
15 | Lakers | 49% | 115 | 120 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
13 | Clippers | 105 | |||
5 | Suns | 92 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
8 | Pelicans | 81% | 115 | 110 | |
28 | Trail Blazers | 19% | 102 | 100 |
Sunday, April 7, 2024
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
15 | Rockets | 33% | 111 | 136 | |
5 | Mavericks | 67% | 117 | 147 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
12 | Cavaliers | 118 | |||
14 | Clippers | 120 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
16 | Heat | 45% | 114 | 115 | |
18 | Pacers | 55% | 116 | 117 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
28 | Trail Blazers | 107 | |||
1 | Celtics | 124 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
8 | Thunder | 76% | 116 | 121 | |
26 | Hornets | 24% | 105 | 118 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
21 | Bulls | 98 | |||
19 | Magic | 113 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
29 | Wizards | 47% | 114 | 122 | |
25 | Raptors | 53% | 115 | 130 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
9 | Pelicans | 113 | |||
6 | Suns | 105 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | Knicks | 46% | 113 | 122 | |
10 | Bucks | 54% | 115 | 109 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
11 | 76ers | 133 | |||
24 | Spurs | 126 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
17 | Kings | 61% | 114 | 107 | |
23 | Nets | 39% | 111 | 77 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
27 | Jazz | 110 | |||
7 | Warriors | 118 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | Timberwolves | 57% | 110 | 127 | |
13 | Lakers | 43% | 108 | 117 |
Saturday, April 6, 2024
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
12 | Cavaliers | 49% | 113 | 97 | |
13 | Lakers | 51% | 114 | 116 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
30 | Pistons | 103 | |||
23 | Nets | 113 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | 76ers | 78% | 114 | 116 | |
22 | Grizzlies | 22% | 103 | 96 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
20 | Hawks | 110 | |||
2 | Nuggets | 142 |