Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Thursday, November 12, 2015
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 12 | Heat | 92 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 23 | Timberwolves | 21% | 101 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Wednesday, November 11, 2015
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 25 | Knicks | 31% | 103 | 93 |
 | 12 | Hornets | 69% | 110 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 28 | Lakers | 99 | ||
 | 24 | Magic | 101 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 9 | Raptors | 64% | 105 | 119 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 10 | Celtics | 91 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 20 | Pelicans | 26% | 106 | 98 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Clippers | 108 | ||
 | 15 | Mavericks | 118 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 29 | Nets | 19% | 102 | 106 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Warriors | 100 | ||
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 27 | Bucks | 40% | 101 | 102 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 17 | Pistons | 92 | ||
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Tuesday, November 10, 2015
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Jazz | 114 | ||
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 6 | Thunder | 56% | 113 | 125 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Lakers | 88 | ||
| 11 | Heat | 101 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Knicks | 32% | 102 | 111 |
| 9 | Raptors | 68% | 109 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Celtics | 99 | ||
| 26 | Bucks | 83 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Hornets | 58% | 106 | 104 |
| 23 | Timberwolves | 42% | 104 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Mavericks | 105 | ||
| 20 | Pelicans | 120 | ||
Monday, November 9, 2015
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Magic | 39% | 100 | 84 |
| 16 | Pacers | 61% | 104 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 13 | Bulls | 111 | ||
| 30 | 76ers | 88 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Timberwolves | 26% | 100 | 117 |
| 7 | Hawks | 74% | 108 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Trail Blazers | 104 | ||
| 27 | Nuggets | 108 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Spurs | 73% | 112 | 106 |
| 21 | Kings | 27% | 104 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Pistons | 95 | ||
| 1 | Warriors | 109 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Grizzlies | 33% | 104 | 92 |
| 4 | Clippers | 67% | 110 | 94 |
Sunday, November 8, 2015
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Pacers | 97 | ||
| 3 | Cavaliers | 101 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Lakers | 38% | 111 | 95 |
| 25 | Knicks | 62% | 115 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Raptors | 76 | ||
| 11 | Heat | 96 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Suns | 30% | 106 | 103 |
| 6 | Thunder | 70% | 113 | 124 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Pistons | 120 | ||
| 17 | Trail Blazers | 103 | ||
Saturday, November 7, 2015
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Timberwolves | 28% | 100 | 102 |
| 10 | Bulls | 72% | 108 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Wizards | 99 | ||
| 7 | Hawks | 114 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Magic | 57% | 101 | 105 |
| 30 | 76ers | 43% | 99 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Pelicans | 98 | ||
| 8 | Mavericks | 107 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Nets | 35% | 101 | 86 |
| 26 | Bucks | 65% | 106 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Hornets | 94 | ||
| 2 | Spurs | 114 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Grizzlies | 44% | 97 | 79 |
| 16 | Jazz | 56% | 99 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Warriors | 103 | ||
| 22 | Kings | 94 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Rockets | 31% | 110 | 109 |
| 4 | Clippers | 69% | 117 | 105 |
Friday, November 6, 2015
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Raptors | 62% | 110 | 87 |
| 23 | Magic | 38% | 105 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Wizards | 98 | ||
| 14 | Celtics | 118 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Lakers | 53% | 112 | 104 |
| 29 | Nets | 47% | 111 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | 76ers | 102 | ||
| 3 | Cavaliers | 108 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Bucks | 40% | 104 | 99 |
| 24 | Knicks | 60% | 107 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Heat | 87 | ||
| 19 | Pacers | 90 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Hawks | 55% | 111 | 121 |
| 21 | Pelicans | 45% | 109 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Pistons | 100 | ||
| 20 | Suns | 92 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Nuggets | 10% | 98 | 104 |
| 1 | Warriors | 90% | 116 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Rockets | 116 | ||
| 22 | Kings | 110 | ||
Thursday, November 5, 2015
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Thunder | 98 | ||
| 10 | Bulls | 104 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Heat | 58% | 105 | 96 |
| 24 | Timberwolves | 42% | 103 | 84 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Hornets | 108 | ||
| 7 | Mavericks | 94 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Jazz | 54% | 103 | 96 |
| 27 | Nuggets | 46% | 101 | 84 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Grizzlies | 96 | ||
| 21 | Trail Blazers | 115 | ||
Wednesday, November 4, 2015
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Celtics | 98 | ||
| 18 | Pacers | 100 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Spurs | 66% | 109 | 99 |
| 16 | Wizards | 34% | 103 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Nets | 87 | ||
| 8 | Hawks | 101 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Knicks | 19% | 103 | 86 |
| 3 | Cavaliers | 81% | 115 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Magic | 114 | ||
| 6 | Rockets | 119 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | 76ers | 36% | 98 | 87 |
| 28 | Bucks | 64% | 102 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Raptors | 103 | ||
| 5 | Thunder | 98 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Kings | 34% | 108 | 97 |
| 20 | Suns | 66% | 114 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Trail Blazers | 108 | ||
| 14 | Jazz | 92 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Clippers | 37% | 110 | 108 |
| 1 | Warriors | 63% | 115 | 112 |
Tuesday, November 3, 2015
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Bulls | 53% | 105 | 105 |
| 20 | Hornets | 47% | 104 | 130 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Pacers | 94 | ||
| 12 | Pistons | 82 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Hawks | 45% | 103 | 98 |
| 11 | Heat | 55% | 104 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Magic | 103 | ||
| 17 | Pelicans | 94 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Raptors | 41% | 111 | 102 |
| 7 | Mavericks | 59% | 114 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Grizzlies | 103 | ||
| 18 | Kings | 89 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Nuggets | 38% | 109 | 120 |
| 23 | Lakers | 62% | 113 | 109 |
Monday, November 2, 2015
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Cavaliers | 107 | ||
| 30 | 76ers | 100 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Bucks | 45% | 103 | 103 |
| 29 | Nets | 55% | 105 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Spurs | 94 | ||
| 27 | Knicks | 84 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Thunder | 44% | 110 | 105 |
| 6 | Rockets | 56% | 112 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Trail Blazers | 106 | ||
| 24 | Timberwolves | 101 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Grizzlies | 29% | 102 | 69 |
| 1 | Warriors | 71% | 110 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Suns | 96 | ||
| 4 | Clippers | 102 | ||
Sunday, November 1, 2015
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Hawks | 54% | 105 | 94 |
| 19 | Hornets | 46% | 103 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Spurs | 95 | ||
| 14 | Celtics | 87 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Rockets | 51% | 108 | 89 |
| 11 | Heat | 49% | 107 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Bucks | 87 | ||
| 13 | Raptors | 106 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Magic | 30% | 105 | 87 |
| 7 | Bulls | 70% | 112 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Nuggets | 93 | ||
| 5 | Thunder | 117 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Mavericks | 57% | 119 | 103 |
| 24 | Lakers | 43% | 116 | 93 |
Saturday, October 31, 2015
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Jazz | 37% | 101 | 97 |
| 17 | Pacers | 63% | 105 | 76 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Knicks | 117 | ||
| 14 | Wizards | 110 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Warriors | 62% | 112 | 134 |
| 18 | Pelicans | 38% | 107 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Nets | 91 | ||
| 8 | Grizzlies | 101 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Suns | 40% | 107 | 101 |
| 21 | Trail Blazers | 60% | 111 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Kings | 109 | ||
| 4 | Clippers | 114 | ||
Friday, October 30, 2015
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Heat | 27% | 105 | 92 |
| 1 | Cavaliers | 73% | 113 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Thunder | 139 | ||
| 25 | Magic | 136 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Jazz | 66% | 103 | 99 |
| 30 | 76ers | 34% | 97 | 71 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Raptors | 113 | ||
| 12 | Celtics | 103 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Bulls | 48% | 108 | 94 |
| 11 | Pistons | 52% | 109 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Hornets | 94 | ||
| 10 | Hawks | 97 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Wizards | 60% | 104 | 118 |
| 27 | Bucks | 40% | 101 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Nets | 75 | ||
| 3 | Spurs | 102 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Timberwolves | 41% | 106 | 95 |
| 23 | Nuggets | 59% | 109 | 78 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Warriors | 112 | ||
| 5 | Rockets | 92 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Lakers | 36% | 109 | 114 |
| 19 | Kings | 64% | 115 | 132 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Trail Blazers | 92 | ||
| 22 | Suns | 110 | ||
Thursday, October 29, 2015
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Grizzlies | 112 | ||
| 17 | Pacers | 103 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Hawks | 62% | 110 | 112 |
| 28 | Knicks | 38% | 105 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Mavericks | 88 | ||
| 4 | Clippers | 104 | ||
Wednesday, October 28, 2015
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Wizards | 88 | ||
| 25 | Magic | 87 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | 76ers | 25% | 98 | 95 |
| 15 | Celtics | 75% | 107 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Bulls | 115 | ||
| 28 | Nets | 100 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Jazz | 47% | 106 | 87 |
| 11 | Pistons | 53% | 108 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Hornets | 94 | ||
| 12 | Heat | 104 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Pacers | 41% | 104 | 99 |
| 14 | Raptors | 59% | 107 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Nuggets | 105 | ||
| 5 | Rockets | 85 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cavaliers | 46% | 106 | 106 |
| 7 | Grizzlies | 54% | 107 | 76 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Knicks | 122 | ||
| 24 | Bucks | 97 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Spurs | 52% | 108 | 106 |
| 6 | Thunder | 48% | 107 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Mavericks | 111 | ||
| 20 | Suns | 95 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Pelicans | 43% | 104 | 94 |
| 22 | Trail Blazers | 57% | 107 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Clippers | 111 | ||
| 18 | Kings | 104 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Timberwolves | 38% | 106 | 112 |
| 23 | Lakers | 62% | 110 | 111 |
Tuesday, October 27, 2015
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Pistons | 32% | 102 | 106 |
| 10 | Hawks | 68% | 109 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Cavaliers | 95 | ||
| 8 | Bulls | 97 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Pelicans | 23% | 99 | 95 |
| 1 | Warriors | 77% | 109 | 111 |