Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Sunday, January 15, 2023
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
10 | Knicks | 117 | |||
29 | Pistons | 104 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
30 | Rockets | 26% | 103 | 100 | |
14 | Clippers | 74% | 112 | 121 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
11 | Warriors | 118 | |||
22 | Bulls | 132 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
25 | Thunder | 38% | 109 | 112 | |
5 | Nets | 62% | 113 | 102 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
16 | Kings | 132 | |||
28 | Spurs | 119 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
27 | Magic | 23% | 109 | 116 | |
6 | Nuggets | 77% | 119 | 119 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
21 | Mavericks | 123 | |||
15 | Trail Blazers | 140 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | 76ers | 58% | 114 | 113 | |
20 | Lakers | 42% | 111 | 112 |
Saturday, January 14, 2023
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | Bucks | 46% | 104 | 95 | |
13 | Heat | 54% | 105 | 111 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Celtics | 122 | |||
26 | Hornets | 106 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | Grizzlies | 70% | 117 | 130 | |
21 | Pacers | 30% | 109 | 112 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
20 | Hawks | 114 | |||
11 | Raptors | 103 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
8 | Cavaliers | 61% | 110 | 102 | |
18 | Timberwolves | 39% | 106 | 110 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | 76ers | 118 | |||
17 | Jazz | 117 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
22 | Mavericks | 42% | 111 | 119 | |
15 | Trail Blazers | 58% | 114 | 136 |
Friday, January 13, 2023
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | Pelicans | 116 | |||
29 | Pistons | 110 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
23 | Hawks | 53% | 114 | 113 | |
20 | Pacers | 47% | 113 | 111 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
11 | Knicks | 112 | |||
24 | Wizards | 108 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
9 | Warriors | 70% | 120 | 144 | |
28 | Spurs | 30% | 113 | 113 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
25 | Thunder | 124 | |||
21 | Bulls | 110 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
8 | Suns | 43% | 108 | 116 | |
18 | Timberwolves | 57% | 110 | 121 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
27 | Magic | 108 | |||
16 | Jazz | 112 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 | Nuggets | 43% | 110 | 115 | |
14 | Clippers | 57% | 113 | 103 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
30 | Rockets | 114 | |||
17 | Kings | 139 |
Thursday, January 12, 2023
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
25 | Thunder | 133 | |||
3 | 76ers | 114 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Celtics | 53% | 112 | 109 | |
4 | Nets | 47% | 111 | 98 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | Bucks | 102 | |||
11 | Heat | 108 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
26 | Hornets | 30% | 108 | 114 | |
12 | Raptors | 70% | 115 | 124 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
24 | Mavericks | 119 | |||
19 | Lakers | 115 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
13 | Cavaliers | 47% | 109 | 119 | |
15 | Trail Blazers | 53% | 110 | 113 |
Wednesday, January 11, 2023
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
16 | Timberwolves | 118 | |||
29 | Pistons | 135 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
22 | Bulls | 52% | 111 | 97 | |
24 | Wizards | 48% | 110 | 100 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | Bucks | 114 | |||
20 | Hawks | 105 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
8 | Pelicans | 27% | 108 | 114 | |
1 | Celtics | 73% | 117 | 125 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
21 | Pacers | 113 | |||
9 | Knicks | 119 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
28 | Spurs | 17% | 107 | 129 | |
2 | Grizzlies | 83% | 120 | 135 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 | Suns | 97 | |||
6 | Nuggets | 126 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
30 | Rockets | 32% | 112 | 115 | |
18 | Kings | 68% | 119 | 135 |
Tuesday, January 10, 2023
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
25 | Thunder | 34% | 105 | 111 | |
11 | Heat | 66% | 111 | 112 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
29 | Pistons | 116 | |||
3 | 76ers | 147 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
26 | Hornets | 29% | 106 | 120 | |
13 | Raptors | 71% | 114 | 132 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
12 | Cavaliers | 114 | |||
17 | Jazz | 116 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
9 | Suns | 35% | 108 | 125 | |
7 | Warriors | 65% | 114 | 113 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
27 | Magic | 109 | |||
15 | Trail Blazers | 106 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
19 | Mavericks | 48% | 109 | 101 | |
14 | Clippers | 52% | 110 | 113 |
Monday, January 9, 2023
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
8 | Pelicans | 52% | 112 | 132 | |
24 | Wizards | 48% | 111 | 112 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
23 | Bulls | 99 | |||
1 | Celtics | 107 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | Bucks | 40% | 108 | 111 | |
13 | Knicks | 60% | 112 | 107 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
28 | Spurs | 113 | |||
2 | Grizzlies | 121 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
20 | Lakers | 23% | 110 | 109 | |
6 | Nuggets | 77% | 121 | 122 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
27 | Magic | 111 | |||
19 | Kings | 136 |
Sunday, January 8, 2023
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | 76ers | 123 | |||
29 | Pistons | 111 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
17 | Trail Blazers | 40% | 110 | 105 | |
12 | Raptors | 60% | 114 | 117 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
26 | Hornets | 111 | |||
22 | Pacers | 116 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | Nets | 51% | 109 | 102 | |
10 | Heat | 49% | 108 | 101 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
15 | Jazz | 118 | |||
2 | Grizzlies | 123 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
16 | Timberwolves | 62% | 114 | 104 | |
30 | Rockets | 38% | 110 | 96 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
18 | Mavericks | 109 | |||
25 | Thunder | 120 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
11 | Cavaliers | 55% | 107 | 112 | |
5 | Suns | 45% | 105 | 98 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
21 | Hawks | 112 | |||
14 | Clippers | 108 |
Saturday, January 7, 2023
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Celtics | 87% | 121 | 121 | |
28 | Spurs | 13% | 105 | 116 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
15 | Jazz | 118 | |||
23 | Bulls | 126 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
9 | Pelicans | 40% | 109 | 117 | |
16 | Mavericks | 60% | 113 | 127 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
27 | Magic | 115 | |||
5 | Warriors | 101 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
20 | Lakers | 33% | 114 | 136 | |
18 | Kings | 67% | 121 | 134 |
Friday, January 6, 2023
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
20 | Trail Blazers | 99 | |||
23 | Pacers | 108 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
24 | Bulls | 36% | 109 | 126 | |
3 | 76ers | 64% | 114 | 112 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
13 | Knicks | 112 | |||
12 | Raptors | 108 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
27 | Hornets | 26% | 106 | 138 | |
4 | Bucks | 74% | 115 | 109 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
22 | Wizards | 110 | |||
25 | Thunder | 127 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
28 | Pistons | 49% | 115 | 109 | |
29 | Spurs | 51% | 116 | 121 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | Nets | 108 | |||
8 | Pelicans | 102 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
15 | Clippers | 33% | 106 | 115 | |
19 | Timberwolves | 67% | 113 | 128 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
9 | Cavaliers | 108 | |||
11 | Nuggets | 121 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
10 | Heat | 51% | 108 | 104 | |
5 | Suns | 49% | 107 | 96 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
18 | Hawks | 114 | |||
21 | Lakers | 130 |
Thursday, January 5, 2023
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | Grizzlies | 123 | |||
26 | Magic | 115 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Celtics | 59% | 115 | 124 | |
16 | Mavericks | 41% | 112 | 95 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
15 | Jazz | 131 | |||
30 | Rockets | 114 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
12 | Clippers | 43% | 113 | 91 | |
8 | Nuggets | 57% | 116 | 122 |
Wednesday, January 4, 2023
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | Grizzlies | 131 | |||
26 | Hornets | 107 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 | Suns | 42% | 106 | 88 | |
9 | Cavaliers | 58% | 109 | 90 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
25 | Thunder | 115 | |||
27 | Magic | 126 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
24 | Pacers | 42% | 111 | 126 | |
3 | 76ers | 58% | 114 | 129 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
29 | Spurs | 114 | |||
11 | Knicks | 117 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | Bucks | 38% | 108 | 104 | |
14 | Raptors | 62% | 112 | 101 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | Nets | 112 | |||
23 | Bulls | 121 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
17 | Trail Blazers | 49% | 113 | 106 | |
20 | Timberwolves | 51% | 114 | 113 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
30 | Rockets | 108 | |||
12 | Pelicans | 119 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
28 | Pistons | 32% | 109 | 122 | |
5 | Warriors | 68% | 116 | 119 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
10 | Heat | 109 | |||
22 | Lakers | 112 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
18 | Hawks | 47% | 118 | 120 | |
19 | Kings | 53% | 119 | 117 |
Tuesday, January 3, 2023
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
20 | Wizards | 37% | 109 | 113 | |
4 | Bucks | 63% | 114 | 123 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Celtics | 117 | |||
27 | Thunder | 150 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
22 | Kings | 38% | 117 | 117 | |
15 | Jazz | 62% | 122 | 115 |
Monday, January 2, 2023
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | Suns | 83 | |||
13 | Knicks | 102 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
22 | Lakers | 49% | 114 | 121 | |
25 | Hornets | 51% | 115 | 115 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
24 | Bulls | 134 | |||
12 | Cavaliers | 145 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
14 | Raptors | 49% | 113 | 114 | |
23 | Pacers | 51% | 114 | 122 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
11 | Pelicans | 111 | |||
4 | 76ers | 120 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
28 | Spurs | 19% | 108 | 103 | |
5 | Nets | 81% | 121 | 139 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
17 | Mavericks | 111 | |||
30 | Rockets | 106 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
8 | Nuggets | 53% | 114 | 111 | |
19 | Timberwolves | 47% | 113 | 124 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
18 | Hawks | 141 | |||
7 | Warriors | 143 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
29 | Pistons | 30% | 110 | 106 | |
15 | Trail Blazers | 70% | 118 | 135 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
10 | Heat | 110 | |||
9 | Clippers | 100 |