Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Tuesday, November 14, 2006
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 22 | Bucks | 45% | 101 | 103 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 6 | Heat | 66% | 102 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 27 | Bobcats | 34% | 93 | 85 |
| 19 | Hornets | 66% | 98 | 94 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 17 | Timberwolves | 74% | 99 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 9 | Bulls | 34% | 92 | 99 |
 | 3 | Mavericks | 66% | 97 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 26 | Raptors | 34% | 100 | 99 |
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Monday, November 13, 2006
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 16 | Magic | 44% | 98 | 92 |
 | 21 | Celtics | 56% | 100 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | SuperSonics | 44% | 101 | 119 | |
| 13 | Nets | 56% | 103 | 113 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 28 | Knicks | 36% | 97 | 96 |
Sunday, November 12, 2006
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Hornets | 34% | 97 | 76 | |
| 6 | Clippers | 66% | 102 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Nets | 42% | 103 | 105 | |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Nuggets | 51% | 102 | 108 |
| 26 | Bobcats | 49% | 101 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rockets | 49% | 91 | 94 |
| 4 | Heat | 51% | 92 | 72 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Raptors | 28% | 96 | 92 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Mavericks | 72% | 99 | 103 |
| 30 | Trail Blazers | 28% | 92 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 10 | Lakers | 78% | 101 | 91 |
Saturday, November 11, 2006
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | SuperSonics | 48% | 101 | 113 | |
| 26 | Hawks | 52% | 102 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Celtics | 22% | 92 | 93 |
| 8 | Cavaliers | 78% | 102 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Knicks | 11% | 91 | 92 |
| 3 | Spurs | 89% | 106 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Magic | 33% | 92 | 109 |
| 18 | Timberwolves | 67% | 98 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 10 | Bulls | 73% | 99 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Jazz | 47% | 103 | 113 |
| 20 | Bucks | 53% | 104 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Grizzlies | 17% | 96 | 87 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 7 | Pistons | 46% | 96 | 79 |
| 19 | Warriors | 54% | 97 | 111 |
Friday, November 10, 2006
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Hawks | 38% | 96 | 111 |
| 25 | Raptors | 62% | 100 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Nuggets | 42% | 99 | 108 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Bucks | 35% | 103 | 111 |
| 16 | Wizards | 65% | 107 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | SuperSonics | 51% | 101 | 99 | |
| 26 | Bobcats | 49% | 100 | 85 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Magic | 43% | 94 | 83 |
| 23 | Pacers | 57% | 96 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Jazz | 51% | 102 | 107 |
| 22 | Celtics | 49% | 101 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Heat | 45% | 93 | 113 |
| 11 | Nets | 55% | 95 | 106 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Knicks | 14% | 89 | 94 |
| 3 | Rockets | 86% | 103 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Hornets | 57% | 97 | 91 | |
| 30 | Trail Blazers | 43% | 95 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Pistons | 41% | 96 | 97 |
| 8 | Lakers | 59% | 100 | 83 |
Thursday, November 9, 2006
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Bulls | 42% | 92 | 94 |
| 7 | Cavaliers | 58% | 95 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Mavericks | 31% | 101 | 119 |
| 1 | Suns | 69% | 107 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Hornets | 48% | 98 | 116 | |
| 21 | Warriors | 52% | 99 | 121 |
Wednesday, November 8, 2006
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | 76ers | 39% | 96 | 104 |
| 25 | Raptors | 61% | 99 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Pacers | 35% | 97 | 91 |
| 15 | Wizards | 65% | 102 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | SuperSonics | 39% | 100 | 87 | |
| 20 | Magic | 61% | 104 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Bobcats | 40% | 96 | 108 |
| 24 | Celtics | 60% | 99 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Jazz | 38% | 99 | 89 |
| 11 | Nets | 62% | 103 | 96 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rockets | 58% | 98 | 97 |
| 23 | Bucks | 42% | 96 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Suns | 40% | 101 | 106 |
| 2 | Spurs | 60% | 104 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Knicks | 27% | 100 | 109 |
| 18 | Nuggets | 73% | 107 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Lakers | 63% | 102 | 90 |
| 30 | Trail Blazers | 37% | 97 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Mavericks | 46% | 99 | 85 |
| 7 | Clippers | 54% | 100 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Pistons | 45% | 95 | 86 |
| 14 | Kings | 55% | 96 | 99 |
Tuesday, November 7, 2006
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Hawks | 25% | 89 | 104 |
| 5 | Cavaliers | 75% | 98 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | 76ers | 43% | 93 | 86 |
| 21 | Pacers | 57% | 95 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | SuperSonics | 37% | 98 | 87 | |
| 10 | Heat | 63% | 102 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Rockets | 68% | 94 | 86 |
| 28 | Grizzlies | 32% | 88 | 80 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Warriors | 29% | 95 | 93 |
| 16 | Hornets | 71% | 102 | 97 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Timberwolves | 29% | 97 | 88 |
| 8 | Lakers | 71% | 104 | 95 |
Monday, November 6, 2006
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Wizards | 48% | 100 | 103 |
| 21 | Magic | 52% | 101 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Spurs | 67% | 99 | 105 |
| 29 | Knicks | 33% | 93 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Bucks | 32% | 96 | 85 |
| 11 | Bulls | 68% | 102 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Warriors | 21% | 92 | 107 |
| 3 | Mavericks | 79% | 102 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Pistons | 43% | 97 | 101 |
| 13 | Jazz | 57% | 99 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Timberwolves | 39% | 95 | 81 |
| 16 | Kings | 61% | 99 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Trail Blazers | 19% | 94 | 89 |
| 7 | Clippers | 81% | 106 | 102 |
Sunday, November 5, 2006
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spurs | 65% | 99 | 103 |
| 24 | Raptors | 35% | 94 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Heat | 46% | 92 | 98 |
| 14 | 76ers | 54% | 93 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Magic | 52% | 98 | 82 |
| 27 | Hawks | 48% | 97 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Rockets | 51% | 95 | 90 |
| 19 | Hornets | 49% | 94 | 96 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Lakers | 46% | 107 | 101 |
| 12 | SuperSonics | 54% | 108 | 117 | |
Saturday, November 4, 2006
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Celtics | 31% | 96 | 117 |
| 20 | Wizards | 69% | 103 | 124 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Cavaliers | 55% | 95 | 88 |
| 26 | Bobcats | 45% | 93 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Pacers | 51% | 98 | 109 |
| 29 | Knicks | 49% | 97 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Grizzlies | 26% | 90 | 86 |
| 7 | Pistons | 74% | 98 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Kings | 54% | 104 | 91 |
| 23 | Bucks | 46% | 103 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Mavericks | 47% | 95 | 76 |
| 4 | Rockets | 53% | 96 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Warriors | 32% | 99 | 82 |
| 14 | Jazz | 68% | 105 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Timberwolves | 61% | 100 | 86 |
| 30 | Trail Blazers | 39% | 96 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Suns | 49% | 107 | 108 |
| 12 | Clippers | 51% | 108 | 114 |
Friday, November 3, 2006
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Bucks | 49% | 106 | 92 |
| 27 | Raptors | 51% | 107 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | 76ers | 41% | 94 | 105 |
| 15 | Magic | 59% | 96 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Hornets | 41% | 98 | 100 | |
| 19 | Pacers | 59% | 101 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Pistons | 52% | 103 | 101 |
| 22 | Celtics | 48% | 102 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Knicks | 40% | 94 | 92 |
| 26 | Hawks | 60% | 98 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Nets | 42% | 96 | 85 | |
| 8 | Heat | 58% | 99 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Bobcats | 44% | 94 | 83 |
| 28 | Grizzlies | 56% | 96 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Cavaliers | 33% | 91 | 88 |
| 3 | Spurs | 67% | 96 | 81 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Kings | 43% | 93 | 89 |
| 9 | Bulls | 57% | 95 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Timberwolves | 45% | 99 | 112 |
| 18 | Nuggets | 55% | 100 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Jazz | 22% | 100 | 108 |
| 2 | Suns | 78% | 110 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | SuperSonics | 37% | 103 | 112 | |
| 12 | Lakers | 63% | 108 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Trail Blazers | 26% | 95 | 89 |
| 24 | Warriors | 74% | 103 | 102 |
Thursday, November 2, 2006
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Spurs | 36% | 93 | 97 |
| 1 | Mavericks | 64% | 98 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Nuggets | 40% | 93 | 95 |
| 12 | Clippers | 60% | 96 | 96 |
Wednesday, November 1, 2006
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Hawks | 34% | 94 | 75 |
| 18 | 76ers | 66% | 99 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Pacers | 46% | 88 | 106 |
| 24 | Bobcats | 54% | 89 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Bulls | 45% | 92 | 94 |
| 16 | Magic | 55% | 94 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Hornets | 42% | 94 | 91 | |
| 19 | Celtics | 58% | 96 | 87 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Raptors | 25% | 88 | 92 |
| 9 | Nets | 75% | 97 | 102 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Bucks | 30% | 94 | 105 |
| 8 | Pistons | 70% | 101 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Wizards | 35% | 95 | 94 |
| 6 | Cavaliers | 65% | 100 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Knicks | 36% | 93 | 118 |
| 26 | Grizzlies | 64% | 98 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Kings | 48% | 95 | 83 |
| 17 | Timberwolves | 52% | 96 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Rockets | 51% | 95 | 97 |
| 13 | Jazz | 49% | 94 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Trail Blazers | 24% | 95 | 110 |
| 14 | SuperSonics | 76% | 104 | 106 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Clippers | 30% | 97 | 104 |
| 2 | Suns | 70% | 104 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Lakers | 43% | 98 | 110 |
| 23 | Warriors | 57% | 101 | 98 |
Tuesday, October 31, 2006
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Bulls | 39% | 89 | 108 |
| 6 | Heat | 61% | 92 | 66 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Suns | 55% | 101 | 106 |
| 10 | Lakers | 45% | 100 | 114 |