Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Friday, May 9, 2008
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 2 | Lakers | 40% | 101 | 99 |
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Thursday, May 8, 2008
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Hornets | 36% | 87 | 99 | |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 1 | Celtics | 79% | 93 | 89 |
Wednesday, May 7, 2008
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Jazz | 32% | 100 | 110 |
| 2 | Lakers | 68% | 107 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 6 | Pistons | 39% | 92 | 86 |
 | 9 | Magic | 61% | 95 | 111 |
Tuesday, May 6, 2008
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Cavaliers | 19% | 84 | 72 |
| 1 | Celtics | 81% | 95 | 76 |
Monday, May 5, 2008
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Spurs | 38% | 88 | 84 |
| 4 | Hornets | 62% | 92 | 102 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Magic | 35% | 91 | 93 |
| 7 | Pistons | 65% | 97 | 100 |
Sunday, May 4, 2008
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Jazz | 31% | 100 | 98 |
| 2 | Lakers | 69% | 106 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 1 | Celtics | 88% | 101 | 99 |
Saturday, May 3, 2008
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Magic | 35% | 92 | 72 |
| 7 | Pistons | 65% | 97 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Spurs | 33% | 87 | 82 |
| 4 | Hornets | 67% | 93 | 101 | |
Friday, May 2, 2008
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 5 | Jazz | 68% | 97 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Cavaliers | 39% | 93 | 105 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtics | 64% | 95 | 100 |
| 17 | Hawks | 36% | 91 | 103 |
Thursday, May 1, 2008
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Pistons | 55% | 89 | 100 |
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Wednesday, April 30, 2008
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Wizards | 40% | 92 | 88 |
| 12 | Cavaliers | 60% | 95 | 87 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Hawks | 13% | 86 | 85 |
| 1 | Celtics | 87% | 101 | 110 |
Tuesday, April 29, 2008
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Jazz | 39% | 92 | 69 |
| 9 | Rockets | 61% | 96 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 6 | Spurs | 71% | 100 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 3 | Mavericks | 41% | 94 | 94 |
| 7 | Hornets | 59% | 97 | 99 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | 76ers | 23% | 85 | 81 |
| 4 | Pistons | 77% | 94 | 98 |
Monday, April 28, 2008
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 14 | Raptors | 31% | 96 | 92 |
| 8 | Magic | 69% | 103 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtics | 67% | 96 | 92 |
| 17 | Hawks | 33% | 91 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Lakers | 46% | 106 | 107 |
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Sunday, April 27, 2008
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Spurs | 40% | 96 | 86 |
| 9 | Suns | 60% | 99 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Hornets | 33% | 93 | 97 | |
| 2 | Mavericks | 67% | 98 | 84 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Cavaliers | 42% | 92 | 100 |
| 15 | Wizards | 58% | 95 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Pistons | 55% | 89 | 93 |
| 16 | 76ers | 45% | 88 | 84 |
Saturday, April 26, 2008
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Rockets | 30% | 91 | 82 |
| 5 | Jazz | 70% | 98 | 86 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Lakers | 44% | 106 | 102 |
| 11 | Nuggets | 56% | 108 | 84 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Magic | 45% | 99 | 106 |
| 12 | Raptors | 55% | 100 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtics | 65% | 94 | 93 |
| 18 | Hawks | 35% | 89 | 102 |
Friday, April 25, 2008
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Pistons | 52% | 89 | 75 |
| 16 | 76ers | 48% | 88 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Hornets | 35% | 92 | 87 | |
| 6 | Mavericks | 65% | 97 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Spurs | 39% | 95 | 115 |
| 7 | Suns | 61% | 98 | 99 |
Thursday, April 24, 2008
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Rockets | 33% | 92 | 94 |
| 4 | Jazz | 67% | 98 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Cavaliers | 41% | 92 | 72 |
| 15 | Wizards | 59% | 94 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Magic | 42% | 97 | 94 |
| 14 | Raptors | 58% | 99 | 108 |
Wednesday, April 23, 2008
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Nuggets | 28% | 104 | 107 |
| 2 | Lakers | 72% | 112 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | 76ers | 23% | 83 | 88 |
| 8 | Pistons | 77% | 93 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Hawks | 17% | 87 | 77 |
| 1 | Celtics | 83% | 99 | 96 |
Tuesday, April 22, 2008
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Suns | 31% | 93 | 96 |
| 4 | Spurs | 69% | 100 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Mavericks | 40% | 93 | 103 |
| 6 | Hornets | 60% | 97 | 127 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Raptors | 32% | 96 | 103 |
| 9 | Magic | 68% | 101 | 104 |
Monday, April 21, 2008
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Jazz | 40% | 93 | 90 |
| 10 | Rockets | 60% | 96 | 84 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Wizards | 34% | 90 | 86 |
| 12 | Cavaliers | 66% | 96 | 116 |
Sunday, April 20, 2008
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Raptors | 35% | 94 | 100 |
| 13 | Magic | 65% | 99 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Nuggets | 27% | 102 | 114 |
| 1 | Lakers | 73% | 110 | 128 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | 76ers | 28% | 84 | 90 |
| 9 | Pistons | 72% | 91 | 86 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Hawks | 19% | 85 | 81 |
| 6 | Celtics | 81% | 97 | 104 |
Saturday, April 19, 2008
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Jazz | 40% | 92 | 93 |
| 7 | Rockets | 60% | 96 | 82 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Suns | 27% | 90 | 115 |
| 6 | Spurs | 73% | 98 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mavericks | 37% | 93 | 92 |
| 3 | Hornets | 63% | 97 | 104 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Wizards | 23% | 87 | 86 |
| 11 | Cavaliers | 77% | 96 | 93 |
Wednesday, April 16, 2008
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 13 | Rockets | 82% | 99 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 76ers | 56% | 96 | 109 |
 | 22 | Bobcats | 44% | 94 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Wizards | 35% | 97 | 83 |
| 10 | Magic | 65% | 102 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Pistons | 58% | 90 | 84 |
| 19 | Cavaliers | 42% | 87 | 74 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 27 | Knicks | 34% | 99 | 123 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Nets | 18% | 88 | 94 | |
| 7 | Celtics | 82% | 100 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Hawks | 62% | 97 | 99 |
 | 29 | Heat | 38% | 93 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Jazz | 48% | 95 | 80 |
| 9 | Spurs | 52% | 96 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 24 | Bucks | 48% | 100 | 101 |
 | 26 | Timberwolves | 52% | 101 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Raptors | 55% | 97 | 97 |
 | 17 | Bulls | 45% | 95 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Hornets | 35% | 94 | 98 | |
| 5 | Mavericks | 65% | 99 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 6 | Nuggets | 89% | 114 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 3 | Suns | 80% | 109 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | SuperSonics | 15% | 99 | 126 | |
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Tuesday, April 15, 2008
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Timberwolves | 15% | 86 | 103 |
| 6 | Pistons | 85% | 99 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Magic | 51% | 102 | 121 |
| 14 | Hawks | 49% | 101 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Bobcats | 42% | 97 | 108 |
| 19 | Nets | 58% | 99 | 112 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Clippers | 15% | 90 | 92 |
| 3 | Hornets | 85% | 103 | 114 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Grizzlies | 23% | 94 | 91 |
| 17 | Trail Blazers | 77% | 103 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 1 | Lakers | 89% | 111 | 124 |
Monday, April 14, 2008
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Cavaliers | 39% | 91 | 91 |
| 16 | 76ers | 61% | 94 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Heat | 12% | 87 | 75 |
| 11 | Raptors | 88% | 102 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Pacers | 34% | 100 | 110 |
| 15 | Wizards | 66% | 105 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Celtics | 75% | 98 | 99 |
| 26 | Knicks | 25% | 89 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Bulls | 51% | 97 | 151 |
| 25 | Bucks | 49% | 96 | 135 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Rockets | 26% | 93 | 96 |
| 2 | Jazz | 74% | 101 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Warriors | 36% | 108 | 116 |
| 5 | Suns | 64% | 113 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Spurs | 57% | 94 | 101 |
| 23 | Kings | 43% | 92 | 98 |
Sunday, April 13, 2008
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Mavericks | 79% | 102 | 95 |
| 30 | SuperSonics | 21% | 92 | 99 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Rockets | 44% | 100 | 94 |
| 8 | Nuggets | 56% | 102 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Magic | 57% | 99 | 104 |
| 18 | Bulls | 43% | 97 | 84 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Raptors | 36% | 90 | 84 |
| 6 | Pistons | 64% | 95 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Spurs | 32% | 95 | 85 |
| 1 | Lakers | 68% | 101 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Heat | 15% | 85 | 76 |
| 14 | Cavaliers | 85% | 99 | 84 |
Saturday, April 12, 2008
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Celtics | 58% | 96 | 99 |
| 16 | Hawks | 42% | 93 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Bobcats | 40% | 99 | 107 |
| 19 | Pacers | 60% | 103 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Timberwolves | 48% | 99 | 114 |
| 28 | Grizzlies | 52% | 100 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Nets | 48% | 98 | 111 | |
| 24 | Bucks | 52% | 99 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Nuggets | 35% | 105 | 97 |
| 3 | Jazz | 65% | 110 | 124 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Hornets | 66% | 101 | 91 | |
| 23 | Kings | 34% | 96 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Mavericks | 62% | 95 | 105 |
| 20 | Trail Blazers | 38% | 91 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Clippers | 19% | 98 | 116 |
| 9 | Warriors | 81% | 109 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | 76ers | 37% | 94 | 93 |
| 15 | Wizards | 63% | 98 | 109 |