Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Thursday, December 20, 2007
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Nets | 42% | 93 | 107 | |
 | 16 | Heat | 58% | 96 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 6 | Lakers | 56% | 101 | 90 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Wednesday, December 19, 2007
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 16 | Bulls | 41% | 97 | 95 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 25 | Bobcats | 37% | 96 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Heat | 53% | 94 | 111 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 5 | Pistons | 29% | 88 | 87 |
 | 1 | Celtics | 71% | 96 | 85 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Cavaliers | 63% | 99 | 90 |
 | 28 | Knicks | 37% | 95 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 23 | Bucks | 60% | 100 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 30 | Timberwolves | 30% | 98 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 9 | Magic | 37% | 95 | 97 |
| 6 | Rockets | 63% | 99 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 2 | Mavericks | 63% | 108 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 15 | Raptors | 47% | 94 | 96 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Hornets | 63% | 101 | 107 | |
| 29 | SuperSonics | 37% | 97 | 93 | |
Tuesday, December 18, 2007
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Kings | 40% | 93 | 106 |
| 17 | Nets | 60% | 96 | 101 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Lakers | 48% | 99 | 103 |
| 15 | Bulls | 52% | 100 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Raptors | 56% | 96 | 80 |
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Monday, December 17, 2007
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Jazz | 60% | 97 | 111 |
| 23 | Hawks | 40% | 93 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Bucks | 32% | 94 | 99 |
| 14 | Cavaliers | 68% | 100 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Pacers | 54% | 104 | 119 |
| 28 | Knicks | 46% | 102 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Timberwolves | 24% | 91 | 87 |
| 16 | Heat | 76% | 101 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Warriors | 53% | 107 | 125 |
| 27 | Grizzlies | 47% | 106 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Magic | 32% | 99 | 108 |
| 2 | Mavericks | 68% | 105 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Suns | 42% | 102 | 100 |
| 4 | Spurs | 58% | 105 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Hornets | 56% | 96 | 76 | |
| 19 | Trail Blazers | 44% | 94 | 88 |
Sunday, December 16, 2007
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Warriors | 33% | 99 | 87 |
| 5 | Pistons | 67% | 104 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtics | 60% | 93 | 90 |
| 14 | Raptors | 40% | 90 | 77 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Trail Blazers | 31% | 97 | 116 |
| 11 | Nuggets | 69% | 104 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Clippers | 27% | 97 | 92 |
| 8 | Lakers | 73% | 105 | 113 |
Saturday, December 15, 2007
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Kings | 31% | 99 | 79 |
| 15 | Wizards | 69% | 105 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Bobcats | 39% | 90 | 84 |
| 24 | Hawks | 61% | 94 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Grizzlies | 20% | 97 | 123 |
| 11 | Magic | 80% | 107 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Nets | 56% | 96 | 86 | |
| 29 | Knicks | 44% | 95 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Pacers | 30% | 97 | 106 |
| 16 | Heat | 70% | 104 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | 76ers | 36% | 90 | 92 |
| 17 | Cavaliers | 64% | 95 | 86 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Suns | 62% | 106 | 98 |
| 12 | Hornets | 38% | 102 | 101 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Timberwolves | 31% | 94 | 92 |
| 26 | Bucks | 69% | 101 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Mavericks | 39% | 93 | 96 |
| 6 | Rockets | 61% | 97 | 83 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Nuggets | 37% | 97 | 91 |
| 5 | Spurs | 63% | 101 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | SuperSonics | 18% | 98 | 75 | |
| 7 | Jazz | 82% | 110 | 96 |
Friday, December 14, 2007
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Kings | 41% | 93 | 109 |
| 19 | 76ers | 59% | 96 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Magic | 62% | 101 | 103 |
| 22 | Bobcats | 38% | 97 | 87 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Raptors | 52% | 101 | 104 |
| 20 | Pacers | 48% | 100 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Bucks | 13% | 87 | 82 |
| 1 | Celtics | 87% | 102 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Cavaliers | 42% | 92 | 97 |
| 18 | Nets | 58% | 94 | 105 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Hawks | 20% | 86 | 81 |
| 3 | Pistons | 80% | 97 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Clippers | 49% | 99 | 98 |
| 27 | Grizzlies | 51% | 100 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | SuperSonics | 48% | 100 | 99 | |
| 30 | Timberwolves | 52% | 101 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Knicks | 23% | 90 | 96 |
| 13 | Bulls | 77% | 100 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Hornets | 26% | 93 | 80 | |
| 4 | Mavericks | 74% | 101 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Jazz | 62% | 101 | 91 |
| 23 | Trail Blazers | 38% | 97 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Lakers | 38% | 106 | 106 |
| 11 | Warriors | 62% | 110 | 108 |
Thursday, December 13, 2007
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Wizards | 38% | 98 | 104 |
| 12 | Heat | 62% | 102 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Spurs | 48% | 100 | 97 |
| 10 | Lakers | 52% | 101 | 102 |
Wednesday, December 12, 2007
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Mavericks | 59% | 99 | 76 |
| 14 | Raptors | 41% | 97 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Timberwolves | 24% | 89 | 94 |
| 17 | 76ers | 76% | 98 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Clippers | 42% | 94 | 103 |
| 26 | Bobcats | 58% | 97 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Bulls | 52% | 99 | 102 |
| 24 | Pacers | 48% | 98 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Kings | 12% | 88 | 78 |
| 1 | Celtics | 88% | 103 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | SuperSonics | 38% | 100 | 117 | |
| 28 | Knicks | 62% | 104 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Magic | 65% | 106 | 86 |
| 25 | Bucks | 35% | 101 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Pistons | 40% | 91 | 77 |
| 6 | Rockets | 60% | 95 | 80 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Hornets | 34% | 98 | 99 | |
| 8 | Nuggets | 66% | 103 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Warriors | 57% | 103 | 95 |
| 23 | Trail Blazers | 43% | 101 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Jazz | 25% | 105 | 98 |
| 2 | Suns | 75% | 114 | 103 |
Tuesday, December 11, 2007
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Timberwolves | 27% | 97 | 88 |
| 16 | Wizards | 73% | 105 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Raptors | 54% | 93 | 100 |
| 21 | Hawks | 46% | 92 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Pacers | 53% | 99 | 105 |
| 27 | Cavaliers | 47% | 98 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Clippers | 40% | 92 | 91 |
| 17 | Nets | 60% | 95 | 82 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Pistons | 64% | 101 | 113 |
| 20 | Grizzlies | 36% | 97 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | SuperSonics | 26% | 93 | 96 | |
| 12 | Bulls | 74% | 102 | 123 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Trail Blazers | 21% | 96 | 97 |
| 8 | Jazz | 79% | 106 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Spurs | 54% | 103 | 84 |
| 11 | Warriors | 46% | 101 | 96 |
Monday, December 10, 2007
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Rockets | 58% | 92 | 88 |
| 21 | 76ers | 42% | 89 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Hawks | 23% | 93 | 98 |
| 7 | Magic | 77% | 103 | 87 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Mavericks | 74% | 104 | 99 |
| 29 | Knicks | 26% | 95 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Heat | 16% | 98 | 117 |
| 2 | Suns | 84% | 110 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Bucks | 32% | 97 | 93 |
| 19 | Kings | 68% | 103 | 96 |
Sunday, December 9, 2007
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Rockets | 58% | 95 | 80 |
| 14 | Raptors | 42% | 92 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Heat | 48% | 94 | 100 |
| 21 | Clippers | 52% | 95 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Bobcats | 15% | 88 | 85 |
| 5 | Pistons | 85% | 101 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Bucks | 42% | 97 | 113 |
| 25 | Trail Blazers | 58% | 99 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Nets | 42% | 97 | 89 | |
| 16 | Wizards | 58% | 99 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | SuperSonics | 23% | 96 | 88 | |
| 12 | Hornets | 77% | 105 | 91 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Warriors | 43% | 107 | 113 |
| 11 | Lakers | 57% | 109 | 123 |
Saturday, December 8, 2007
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Cavaliers | 43% | 94 | 93 |
| 24 | Bobcats | 57% | 97 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Grizzlies | 39% | 97 | 78 |
| 23 | Hawks | 61% | 100 | 86 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | 76ers | 46% | 95 | 105 |
| 28 | Knicks | 54% | 96 | 77 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Suns | 77% | 110 | 93 |
| 30 | Timberwolves | 23% | 100 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtics | 59% | 93 | 92 |
| 13 | Bulls | 41% | 90 | 81 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Jazz | 32% | 100 | 117 |
| 4 | Mavericks | 68% | 106 | 125 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Kings | 23% | 99 | 97 |
| 9 | Nuggets | 77% | 108 | 101 |
Friday, December 7, 2007
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Knicks | 36% | 94 | 90 |
| 20 | 76ers | 64% | 98 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Suns | 63% | 111 | 122 |
| 17 | Wizards | 37% | 107 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Pacers | 24% | 100 | 115 |
| 8 | Magic | 76% | 109 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Bulls | 30% | 89 | 98 |
| 6 | Pistons | 70% | 96 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Raptors | 19% | 88 | 84 |
| 1 | Celtics | 81% | 100 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Rockets | 65% | 94 | 96 |
| 18 | Nets | 35% | 89 | 89 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Grizzlies | 27% | 98 | 116 |
| 11 | Hornets | 73% | 106 | 118 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Jazz | 35% | 97 | 98 |
| 2 | Spurs | 65% | 102 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Clippers | 37% | 96 | 97 |
| 15 | Kings | 63% | 101 | 87 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Heat | 28% | 97 | 113 |
| 10 | Warriors | 72% | 105 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Bucks | 49% | 102 | 98 |
| 29 | SuperSonics | 51% | 103 | 104 | |