Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Thursday, May 19, 2016
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | Raptors | 89 | |||
4 | Cavaliers | 108 |
Wednesday, May 18, 2016
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | Thunder | 91 | |||
1 | Warriors | 118 |
Tuesday, May 17, 2016
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | Raptors | 84 | |||
4 | Cavaliers | 115 |
Monday, May 16, 2016
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | Thunder | 108 | |||
1 | Warriors | 102 |
Sunday, May 15, 2016
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
14 | Heat | 89 | |||
6 | Raptors | 116 |
Friday, May 13, 2016
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | Raptors | 91 | |||
12 | Heat | 103 |
Thursday, May 12, 2016
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | Spurs | 99 | |||
4 | Thunder | 113 |
Wednesday, May 11, 2016
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
12 | Heat | 91 | |||
6 | Raptors | 99 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
11 | Trail Blazers | 121 | |||
1 | Warriors | 125 |
Tuesday, May 10, 2016
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | Thunder | 95 | |||
2 | Spurs | 91 |
Monday, May 9, 2016
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | Raptors | 87 | |||
12 | Heat | 94 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Warriors | 132 | |||
10 | Trail Blazers | 125 |
Sunday, May 8, 2016
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | Cavaliers | 100 | |||
7 | Hawks | 99 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | Spurs | 97 | |||
3 | Thunder | 111 |
Saturday, May 7, 2016
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | Raptors | 95 | |||
8 | Heat | 91 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Warriors | 108 | |||
12 | Trail Blazers | 120 |
Friday, May 6, 2016
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | Cavaliers | 121 | |||
7 | Hawks | 108 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | Spurs | 100 | |||
3 | Thunder | 96 |
Thursday, May 5, 2016
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
8 | Heat | 92 | |||
6 | Raptors | 96 |
Wednesday, May 4, 2016
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | Hawks | 98 | |||
3 | Cavaliers | 123 |
Tuesday, May 3, 2016
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
10 | Heat | 102 | |||
7 | Raptors | 96 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
12 | Trail Blazers | 99 | |||
1 | Warriors | 110 |
Monday, May 2, 2016
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 | Hawks | 93 | |||
4 | Cavaliers | 104 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | Thunder | 98 | |||
2 | Spurs | 97 |
Sunday, May 1, 2016
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
9 | Pacers | 84 | |||
7 | Raptors | 89 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
10 | Hornets | 73 | |||
12 | Heat | 106 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
8 | Trail Blazers | 106 | |||
1 | Warriors | 118 |
Saturday, April 30, 2016
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | Thunder | 92 | |||
2 | Spurs | 124 |
Friday, April 29, 2016
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 | Raptors | 83 | |||
10 | Pacers | 101 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
12 | Heat | 97 | |||
8 | Hornets | 90 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | Clippers | 103 | |||
9 | Trail Blazers | 106 |
Thursday, April 28, 2016
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | Hawks | 104 | |||
14 | Celtics | 92 |
Wednesday, April 27, 2016
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
8 | Hornets | 90 | |||
12 | Heat | 88 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
11 | Rockets | 81 | |||
1 | Warriors | 114 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
9 | Trail Blazers | 108 | |||
5 | Clippers | 98 |
Tuesday, April 26, 2016
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
13 | Pacers | 99 | |||
7 | Raptors | 102 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
9 | Celtics | 83 | |||
6 | Hawks | 110 |
Monday, April 25, 2016
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
10 | Heat | 85 | |||
8 | Hornets | 89 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
16 | Mavericks | 104 | |||
3 | Thunder | 118 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | Clippers | 84 | |||
12 | Trail Blazers | 98 |
Sunday, April 24, 2016
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | Cavaliers | 100 | |||
18 | Pistons | 98 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | Hawks | 95 | |||
10 | Celtics | 104 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Warriors | 121 | |||
9 | Rockets | 94 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | Spurs | 116 | |||
22 | Grizzlies | 95 |
Saturday, April 23, 2016
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 | Raptors | 83 | |||
13 | Pacers | 100 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
11 | Heat | 80 | |||
9 | Hornets | 96 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | Thunder | 119 | |||
15 | Mavericks | 108 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | Clippers | 88 | |||
12 | Trail Blazers | 96 |
Friday, April 22, 2016
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | Cavaliers | 101 | |||
17 | Pistons | 91 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 | Hawks | 103 | |||
11 | Celtics | 111 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | Spurs | 96 | |||
22 | Grizzlies | 87 |
Thursday, April 21, 2016
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 | Raptors | 101 | |||
15 | Pacers | 85 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Warriors | 96 | |||
8 | Rockets | 97 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | Thunder | 131 | |||
14 | Mavericks | 102 |
Wednesday, April 20, 2016
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
18 | Pistons | 90 | |||
4 | Cavaliers | 107 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
9 | Hornets | 103 | |||
10 | Heat | 115 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
15 | Trail Blazers | 81 | |||
5 | Clippers | 102 |
Tuesday, April 19, 2016
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
11 | Celtics | 72 | |||
6 | Hawks | 89 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
22 | Grizzlies | 68 | |||
2 | Spurs | 94 |
Monday, April 18, 2016
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
15 | Pacers | 87 | |||
7 | Raptors | 98 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
8 | Rockets | 106 | |||
1 | Warriors | 115 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
13 | Mavericks | 85 | |||
3 | Thunder | 84 |
Sunday, April 17, 2016
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
18 | Pistons | 101 | |||
4 | Cavaliers | 106 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
9 | Hornets | 91 | |||
11 | Heat | 123 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
20 | Grizzlies | 74 | |||
2 | Spurs | 106 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
14 | Trail Blazers | 95 | |||
5 | Clippers | 115 |
Saturday, April 16, 2016
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
16 | Pacers | 100 | |||
7 | Raptors | 90 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
10 | Celtics | 101 | |||
6 | Hawks | 102 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
8 | Rockets | 78 | |||
1 | Warriors | 104 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
11 | Mavericks | 70 | |||
3 | Thunder | 108 |
Wednesday, April 13, 2016
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
13 | Heat | 36% | 101 | 88 | |
10 | Celtics | 64% | 106 | 98 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | Raptors | 103 | |||
28 | Nets | 96 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
23 | Magic | 32% | 100 | 103 | |
8 | Hornets | 68% | 107 | 117 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
18 | Pistons | 112 | |||
3 | Cavaliers | 110 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 | Hawks | 60% | 105 | 98 | |
15 | Wizards | 40% | 102 | 109 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
29 | 76ers | 105 | |||
17 | Bulls | 115 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | Spurs | 59% | 103 | 96 | |
11 | Mavericks | 41% | 100 | 91 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
20 | Kings | 81 | |||
9 | Rockets | 116 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
16 | Pacers | 54% | 103 | 97 | |
26 | Bucks | 46% | 101 | 92 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
22 | Pelicans | 109 | |||
24 | Timberwolves | 144 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
19 | Grizzlies | 8% | 96 | 104 | |
1 | Warriors | 92% | 115 | 125 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
14 | Jazz | 96 | |||
30 | Lakers | 101 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | Clippers | 68% | 107 | 105 | |
27 | Suns | 32% | 101 | 114 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
21 | Nuggets | 99 | |||
12 | Trail Blazers | 107 |
Tuesday, April 12, 2016
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
25 | Knicks | 90 | |||
15 | Pacers | 102 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
10 | Heat | 47% | 104 | 99 | |
17 | Pistons | 53% | 105 | 93 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
29 | 76ers | 98 | |||
6 | Raptors | 122 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | Thunder | 26% | 100 | 98 | |
2 | Spurs | 74% | 109 | 102 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
19 | Grizzlies | 84 | |||
5 | Clippers | 110 |
Monday, April 11, 2016
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 | Hawks | 33% | 102 | 94 | |
3 | Cavaliers | 67% | 108 | 109 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
26 | Bucks | 98 | |||
22 | Magic | 107 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
9 | Hornets | 37% | 104 | 114 | |
10 | Celtics | 63% | 108 | 100 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
15 | Wizards | 120 | |||
28 | Nets | 111 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
8 | Rockets | 52% | 109 | 129 | |
23 | Timberwolves | 48% | 108 | 105 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
17 | Bulls | 121 | |||
21 | Pelicans | 116 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
30 | Lakers | 11% | 99 | 79 | |
4 | Thunder | 89% | 116 | 112 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
13 | Mavericks | 101 | |||
11 | Jazz | 92 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
20 | Kings | 52% | 111 | 105 | |
27 | Suns | 48% | 110 | 101 |
Sunday, April 10, 2016
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
8 | Hornets | 98 | |||
13 | Wizards | 113 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
30 | Lakers | 19% | 101 | 110 | |
9 | Rockets | 81% | 113 | 130 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
11 | Mavericks | 91 | |||
5 | Clippers | 98 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
26 | Bucks | 49% | 103 | 109 | |
29 | 76ers | 51% | 104 | 108 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
14 | Jazz | 100 | |||
20 | Nuggets | 84 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
28 | Nets | 21% | 97 | 105 | |
16 | Pacers | 79% | 108 | 129 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
22 | Magic | 96 | |||
15 | Heat | 118 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Warriors | 47% | 105 | 92 | |
2 | Spurs | 53% | 106 | 86 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | Raptors | 93 | |||
25 | Knicks | 89 |
Saturday, April 9, 2016
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
10 | Celtics | 107 | |||
7 | Hawks | 118 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
27 | Suns | 45% | 105 | 121 | |
20 | Pelicans | 55% | 106 | 100 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Warriors | 100 | |||
19 | Grizzlies | 99 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | Cavaliers | 63% | 108 | 102 | |
17 | Bulls | 37% | 103 | 105 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
24 | Timberwolves | 106 | |||
11 | Trail Blazers | 105 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | Thunder | 62% | 112 | 112 | |
23 | Kings | 38% | 108 | 114 |
Friday, April 8, 2016
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
28 | Nets | 99 | |||
7 | Hornets | 113 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
14 | Heat | 47% | 103 | 109 | |
20 | Magic | 53% | 104 | 112 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
25 | Knicks | 109 | |||
29 | 76ers | 102 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
26 | Bucks | 25% | 100 | 109 | |
10 | Celtics | 75% | 109 | 124 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
13 | Wizards | 99 | |||
18 | Pistons | 112 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
16 | Pacers | 42% | 99 | 98 | |
6 | Raptors | 58% | 102 | 111 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
30 | Lakers | 102 | |||
21 | Pelicans | 110 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
19 | Grizzlies | 35% | 100 | 93 | |
12 | Mavericks | 65% | 105 | 103 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | Spurs | 98 | |||
23 | Nuggets | 102 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | Clippers | 51% | 101 | 102 | |
15 | Jazz | 49% | 100 | 99 |