Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Wednesday, December 17, 2025
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 22 | Bulls | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 10 | Timberwolves | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 1 | Thunder | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Wednesday, December 10, 2025
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 1 | Thunder | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Spurs | |||
 | 5 | Lakers | |||
Tuesday, December 9, 2025
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 12 | Heat | |||
 | 7 | Magic | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 5 | Knicks | |||
 | 16 | Raptors | |||
Monday, December 8, 2025
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Suns | |||
| 9 | Timberwolves | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Spurs | |||
 | 26 | Pelicans | |||
Sunday, December 7, 2025
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Magic | |||
| 5 | Knicks | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 9 | Celtics | |||
| 17 | Raptors | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 24 | Hornets | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 15 | Grizzlies | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 21 | Bulls | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Lakers | |||
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| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Thunder | |||
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Saturday, December 6, 2025
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Pelicans | |||
 | 29 | Nets | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 30 | Wizards | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Warriors | |||
| 2 | Cavaliers | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 20 | Bucks | |||
 | 13 | Pistons | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Kings | |||
| 12 | Heat | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Clippers | |||
| 9 | Timberwolves | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 23 | Mavericks | |||
Friday, December 5, 2025
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Lakers | |||
| 8 | Celtics | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Heat | |||
| 7 | Magic | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Nuggets | |||
| 11 | Hawks | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Spurs | |||
| 2 | Cavaliers | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Blazers | |||
| 13 | Pistons | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Jazz | |||
| 5 | Knicks | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Hornets | |||
| 17 | Raptors | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Pacers | |||
| 21 | Bulls | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Suns | |||
| 3 | Rockets | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Clippers | |||
| 16 | Grizzlies | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | 76ers | |||
| 20 | Bucks | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Mavericks | |||
| 1 | Thunder | |||
Thursday, December 4, 2025
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Warriors | |||
| 19 | 76ers | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Celtics | |||
| 30 | Wizards | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Jazz | |||
| 29 | Nets | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Lakers | |||
| 18 | Raptors | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Timberwolves | |||
| 26 | Pelicans | |||
Wednesday, December 3, 2025
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Blazers | |||
| 2 | Cavaliers | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Nuggets | |||
| 25 | Pacers | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Spurs | |||
| 6 | Magic | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Clippers | |||
| 10 | Hawks | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Hornets | |||
| 4 | Knicks | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Nets | |||
| 21 | Bulls | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Kings | |||
| 3 | Rockets | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Pistons | |||
| 20 | Bucks | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Heat | |||
| 22 | Mavericks | |||
Tuesday, December 2, 2025
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Wizards | |||
| 19 | 76ers | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Blazers | |||
| 18 | Raptors | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Knicks | |||
| 9 | Celtics | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Timberwolves | |||
| 26 | Pelicans | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Grizzlies | |||
| 7 | Spurs | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Thunder | |||
| 15 | Warriors | |||
Monday, December 1, 2025
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Hawks | |||
| 12 | Pistons | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Cavaliers | |||
| 25 | Pacers | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Bucks | |||
| 30 | Wizards | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Hornets | |||
| 29 | Nets | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Clippers | |||
| 11 | Heat | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Bulls | |||
| 6 | Magic | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Mavericks | |||
| 13 | Nuggets | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Rockets | |||
| 27 | Jazz | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Suns | |||
| 4 | Lakers | |||
Sunday, November 30, 2025
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Celtics | |||
| 2 | Cavaliers | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Raptors | |||
| 6 | Knicks | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Pelicans | |||
| 4 | Lakers | |||
Friday, November 28, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Cavaliers | 62% | 119 | 123 |
| 16 | Hawks | 38% | 115 | 130 |
Updated: Nov 29, 2025 12:21 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Bulls | 51% | 125 | 116 |
| 23 | Hornets | 49% | 124 | 123 |
Updated: Nov 29, 2025 12:21 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Magic | 47% | 113 | 112 |
| 12 | Pistons | 53% | 114 | 109 |
Updated: Nov 29, 2025 12:21 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Wizards | 44% | 116 | 86 |
| 28 | Pacers | 56% | 118 | 119 |
Updated: Nov 29, 2025 12:21 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Bucks | 30% | 115 | 109 |
| 6 | Knicks | 70% | 121 | 118 |
Updated: Nov 29, 2025 12:21 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Suns | 13% | 103 | 119 |
| 1 | Thunder | 87% | 118 | 123 |
Updated: Nov 29, 2025 02:34 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Spurs | 34% | 117 | 139 |
| 8 | Nuggets | 66% | 122 | 136 |
Updated: Nov 29, 2025 02:34 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Mavericks | 24% | 111 | 119 |
| 4 | Lakers | 76% | 121 | 129 |
Updated: Nov 29, 2025 03:01 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Grizzlies | 39% | 111 | 112 |
| 13 | Clippers | 61% | 115 | 107 |
Updated: Nov 29, 2025 03:01 AM
game detailWednesday, November 26, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Pistons | 41% | 113 | 114 |
| 7 | Celtics | 59% | 115 | 117 |
Updated: Nov 26, 2025 10:01 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Knicks | 64% | 124 | 129 |
| 20 | Hornets | 36% | 119 | 101 |
Updated: Nov 27, 2025 12:01 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Pacers | 27% | 112 | 95 |
| 14 | Raptors | 73% | 120 | 97 |
Updated: Nov 27, 2025 12:31 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Timberwolves | 25% | 106 | 105 |
| 1 | Thunder | 75% | 115 | 113 |
Updated: Nov 27, 2025 12:31 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Grizzlies | 62% | 119 | 133 |
| 26 | Pelicans | 38% | 115 | 128 |
Updated: Nov 27, 2025 01:02 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Rockets | 46% | 111 | 104 |
| 3 | Warriors | 54% | 113 | 100 |
Updated: Nov 27, 2025 03:01 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Spurs | 51% | 119 | 115 |
| 21 | Blazers | 49% | 118 | 102 |
Updated: Nov 27, 2025 03:01 AM
game detailTuesday, November 25, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Hawks | 81% | 124 | 113 |
| 30 | Wizards | 19% | 112 | 132 |
Updated: Nov 25, 2025 11:56 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Magic | 58% | 116 | 144 |
| 20 | 76ers | 42% | 113 | 103 |
Updated: Nov 26, 2025 12:56 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Clippers | 34% | 112 | 118 |
| 3 | Lakers | 66% | 117 | 135 |
Updated: Nov 26, 2025 03:41 AM
game detailMonday, November 24, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Pistons | 69% | 119 | 122 |
| 24 | Pacers | 31% | 113 | 117 |
Updated: Nov 25, 2025 12:01 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Cavaliers | 48% | 115 | 99 |
| 15 | Raptors | 52% | 116 | 110 |
Updated: Nov 25, 2025 12:01 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Knicks | 76% | 123 | 113 |
| 27 | Nets | 24% | 114 | 100 |
Updated: Nov 25, 2025 12:31 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Mavericks | 31% | 113 | 102 |
| 13 | Heat | 69% | 119 | 106 |
Updated: Nov 25, 2025 12:31 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Nuggets | 57% | 119 | 125 |
| 16 | Grizzlies | 43% | 117 | 115 |
Updated: Nov 25, 2025 12:58 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Blazers | 46% | 115 | 115 |
| 25 | Bucks | 54% | 116 | 103 |
Updated: Nov 25, 2025 12:58 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Bulls | 57% | 121 | 130 |
| 26 | Pelicans | 43% | 119 | 143 |
Updated: Nov 25, 2025 12:58 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Jazz | 13% | 112 | 117 |
| 4 | Warriors | 87% | 127 | 134 |
Updated: Nov 25, 2025 03:03 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Timberwolves | 75% | 122 | 112 |
| 28 | Kings | 25% | 113 | 117 |
Updated: Nov 25, 2025 03:03 AM
game detailSunday, November 23, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Hornets | 19% | 109 | 110 |
| 13 | Hawks | 81% | 120 | 113 |
Updated: Nov 23, 2025 10:56 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Magic | 30% | 108 | 129 |
| 5 | Celtics | 70% | 115 | 138 |
Updated: Nov 23, 2025 10:56 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Clippers | 29% | 113 | 105 |
| 7 | Cavaliers | 71% | 120 | 120 |
Updated: Nov 23, 2025 10:56 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Nets | 25% | 111 | 109 |
| 16 | Raptors | 75% | 120 | 119 |
Updated: Nov 23, 2025 10:56 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Blazers | 12% | 105 | 95 |
| 1 | Thunder | 88% | 121 | 122 |
Updated: Nov 23, 2025 11:57 PM
game detailSaturday, November 22, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Clippers | 53% | 115 | 131 |
| 21 | Hornets | 47% | 114 | 116 |
Updated: Nov 22, 2025 05:31 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Knicks | 47% | 115 | 121 |
| 10 | Magic | 53% | 116 | 133 |
Updated: Nov 22, 2025 09:56 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Hawks | 79% | 119 | 115 |
| 29 | Pelicans | 21% | 109 | 98 |
Updated: Nov 22, 2025 11:56 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Wizards | 19% | 117 | 120 |
| 16 | Bulls | 81% | 129 | 121 |
Updated: Nov 23, 2025 01:01 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Pistons | 65% | 116 | 129 |
| 23 | Bucks | 35% | 110 | 116 |
Updated: Nov 23, 2025 01:01 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Grizzlies | 63% | 116 | 102 |
| 26 | Mavericks | 37% | 111 | 96 |
Updated: Nov 23, 2025 01:31 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Kings | 19% | 113 | 128 |
| 8 | Nuggets | 81% | 125 | 123 |
Updated: Nov 23, 2025 02:57 AM
game detailFriday, November 21, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Pacers | 17% | 113 | 109 |
| 7 | Cavaliers | 83% | 125 | 120 |
Updated: Nov 22, 2025 12:01 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Nets | 15% | 107 | 113 |
| 3 | Celtics | 85% | 120 | 105 |
Updated: Nov 22, 2025 12:31 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Wizards | 14% | 111 | 110 |
| 14 | Raptors | 86% | 125 | 140 |
Updated: Nov 22, 2025 12:31 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Pelicans | 45% | 111 | 115 |
| 24 | Mavericks | 55% | 113 | 118 |
Updated: Nov 22, 2025 01:32 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Timberwolves | 60% | 117 | 113 |
| 18 | Suns | 40% | 114 | 114 |
Updated: Nov 22, 2025 02:03 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Nuggets | 38% | 115 | 112 |
| 2 | Rockets | 62% | 119 | 109 |
Updated: Nov 22, 2025 02:34 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Thunder | 88% | 122 | 144 |
| 27 | Jazz | 12% | 107 | 112 |
Updated: Nov 22, 2025 03:03 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Blazers | 22% | 111 | 127 |
| 4 | Warriors | 78% | 121 | 123 |
Updated: Nov 22, 2025 03:03 AM
game detailThursday, November 20, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Clippers | 39% | 107 | 101 |
| 10 | Magic | 61% | 111 | 129 |
Updated: Nov 20, 2025 11:56 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Kings | 31% | 114 | 96 |
| 21 | Grizzlies | 69% | 120 | 137 |
Updated: Nov 21, 2025 12:56 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | 76ers | 51% | 115 | 123 |
| 23 | Bucks | 49% | 114 | 114 |
Updated: Nov 21, 2025 12:56 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Hawks | 54% | 117 | 126 |
| 19 | Spurs | 46% | 115 | 135 |
Updated: Nov 21, 2025 12:56 AM
game detail