Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Saturday, November 12, 2016
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
28 | Lakers | 39% | 107 | 126 | |
23 | Pelicans | 61% | 111 | 99 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
8 | Celtics | 105 | |||
19 | Pacers | 99 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
25 | Knicks | 26% | 100 | 107 | |
7 | Raptors | 74% | 109 | 118 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
30 | 76ers | 96 | |||
9 | Hawks | 117 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
16 | Wizards | 30% | 101 | 95 | |
13 | Bulls | 70% | 109 | 106 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | Spurs | 106 | |||
5 | Rockets | 100 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | Clippers | 61% | 109 | 119 | |
15 | Timberwolves | 39% | 105 | 105 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | Jazz | 102 | |||
21 | Heat | 91 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
17 | Grizzlies | 51% | 106 | 96 | |
22 | Bucks | 49% | 105 | 106 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
18 | Pistons | 106 | |||
20 | Nuggets | 95 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
29 | Nets | 41% | 110 | 122 | |
27 | Suns | 59% | 113 | 104 |
Friday, November 11, 2016
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
23 | Pacers | 60% | 108 | 105 | |
30 | 76ers | 40% | 104 | 109 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | Cavaliers | 105 | |||
15 | Wizards | 94 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 | Raptors | 49% | 104 | 113 | |
11 | Hornets | 51% | 105 | 111 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | Jazz | 87 | |||
26 | Magic | 74 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
24 | Knicks | 42% | 107 | 87 | |
9 | Celtics | 58% | 110 | 115 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | Clippers | 110 | |||
10 | Thunder | 108 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
18 | Pistons | 22% | 95 | 86 | |
3 | Spurs | 78% | 106 | 96 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
25 | Kings | 120 | |||
12 | Trail Blazers | 122 |
Thursday, November 10, 2016
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
24 | Pelicans | 45% | 106 | 112 | |
22 | Bucks | 55% | 107 | 106 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
16 | Bulls | 98 | |||
20 | Heat | 95 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Warriors | 70% | 116 | 125 | |
17 | Nuggets | 30% | 109 | 101 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
28 | Lakers | 101 | |||
23 | Kings | 91 |
Wednesday, November 9, 2016
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
29 | Nets | 96 | |||
25 | Knicks | 110 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
8 | Celtics | 45% | 106 | 93 | |
14 | Wizards | 55% | 107 | 118 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | Jazz | 98 | |||
12 | Hornets | 104 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
21 | Timberwolves | 39% | 104 | 123 | |
26 | Magic | 61% | 107 | 107 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
30 | 76ers | 115 | |||
18 | Pacers | 122 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
16 | Bulls | 41% | 103 | 107 | |
7 | Hawks | 59% | 106 | 115 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
9 | Raptors | 112 | |||
10 | Thunder | 102 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
19 | Pistons | 58% | 108 | 100 | |
27 | Suns | 42% | 105 | 107 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | Rockets | 101 | |||
3 | Spurs | 99 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
11 | Trail Blazers | 23% | 104 | 80 | |
4 | Clippers | 77% | 114 | 111 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
13 | Mavericks | 95 | |||
1 | Warriors | 116 |
Tuesday, November 8, 2016
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
9 | Hawks | 110 | |||
2 | Cavaliers | 106 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
18 | Timberwolves | 54% | 109 | 110 | |
29 | Nets | 46% | 108 | 119 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
20 | Nuggets | 107 | |||
16 | Grizzlies | 108 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
27 | Suns | 31% | 108 | 121 | |
10 | Trail Blazers | 69% | 115 | 124 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
14 | Mavericks | 109 | |||
28 | Lakers | 97 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
23 | Pelicans | 38% | 102 | 94 | |
24 | Kings | 62% | 106 | 102 |
Monday, November 7, 2016
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | Jazz | 64% | 104 | 109 | |
30 | 76ers | 36% | 99 | 84 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | Rockets | 114 | |||
16 | Wizards | 106 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
13 | Pacers | 42% | 104 | 100 | |
12 | Hornets | 58% | 107 | 122 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
26 | Magic | 80 | |||
18 | Bulls | 112 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
22 | Heat | 39% | 101 | 85 | |
11 | Thunder | 61% | 105 | 97 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
14 | Pistons | 82 | |||
4 | Clippers | 114 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
25 | Pelicans | 11% | 104 | 106 | |
1 | Warriors | 89% | 120 | 116 |
Sunday, November 6, 2016
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 | Jazz | 56% | 102 | 114 | |
24 | Knicks | 44% | 100 | 109 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
10 | Trail Blazers | 100 | |||
16 | Grizzlies | 94 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
26 | Kings | 25% | 98 | 96 | |
8 | Raptors | 75% | 108 | 91 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
19 | Bucks | 75 | |||
13 | Mavericks | 86 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
22 | Nuggets | 32% | 107 | 123 | |
5 | Celtics | 68% | 113 | 107 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
27 | Suns | 108 | |||
28 | Lakers | 119 |
Saturday, November 5, 2016
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
19 | Timberwolves | 40% | 105 | 92 | |
12 | Thunder | 60% | 109 | 112 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | Cavaliers | 102 | |||
30 | 76ers | 101 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
18 | Wizards | 36% | 102 | 86 | |
22 | Magic | 64% | 107 | 88 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
23 | Nuggets | 86 | |||
15 | Pistons | 103 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
14 | Bulls | 40% | 106 | 94 | |
17 | Pacers | 60% | 110 | 111 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | Rockets | 97 | |||
9 | Hawks | 112 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
26 | Kings | 44% | 104 | 91 | |
20 | Bucks | 56% | 106 | 117 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | Clippers | 116 | |||
2 | Spurs | 92 |
Friday, November 4, 2016
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
9 | Hawks | 92 | |||
18 | Wizards | 95 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
24 | Heat | 35% | 100 | 87 | |
8 | Raptors | 65% | 105 | 96 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
12 | Hornets | 99 | |||
28 | Nets | 95 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
26 | Knicks | 31% | 105 | 117 | |
10 | Bulls | 69% | 111 | 104 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | Clippers | 99 | |||
19 | Grizzlies | 88 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
27 | Suns | 42% | 108 | 112 | |
21 | Pelicans | 58% | 111 | 111 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
11 | Trail Blazers | 105 | |||
13 | Mavericks | 95 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | Spurs | 59% | 97 | 100 | |
6 | Jazz | 41% | 94 | 86 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Warriors | 97 | |||
29 | Lakers | 117 |
Thursday, November 3, 2016
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
24 | Kings | 42% | 102 | 94 | |
25 | Magic | 58% | 105 | 102 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
18 | Pacers | 107 | |||
23 | Bucks | 125 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
20 | Nuggets | 48% | 108 | 102 | |
16 | Timberwolves | 52% | 109 | 99 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 | Celtics | 122 | |||
2 | Cavaliers | 128 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
10 | Thunder | 11% | 105 | 96 | |
1 | Warriors | 89% | 122 | 122 |
Wednesday, November 2, 2016
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
8 | Raptors | 53% | 105 | 113 | |
19 | Wizards | 47% | 104 | 103 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
30 | 76ers | 93 | |||
14 | Hornets | 109 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
15 | Pistons | 58% | 108 | 101 | |
28 | Nets | 42% | 105 | 109 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | Rockets | 118 | |||
22 | Knicks | 99 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
29 | Lakers | 19% | 99 | 123 | |
9 | Hawks | 81% | 111 | 116 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
20 | Pelicans | 83 | |||
17 | Grizzlies | 89 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
13 | Bulls | 44% | 106 | 100 | |
7 | Celtics | 56% | 108 | 107 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
11 | Mavericks | 81 | |||
5 | Jazz | 97 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
12 | Trail Blazers | 52% | 113 | 115 | |
27 | Suns | 48% | 112 | 118 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
10 | Thunder | 85 | |||
4 | Clippers | 83 |
Tuesday, November 1, 2016
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
25 | Magic | 103 | |||
30 | 76ers | 101 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 | Rockets | 21% | 104 | 120 | |
3 | Cavaliers | 79% | 115 | 128 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
29 | Lakers | 108 | |||
17 | Pacers | 115 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
23 | Kings | 38% | 99 | 96 | |
22 | Heat | 62% | 103 | 108 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
24 | Knicks | 89 | |||
16 | Pistons | 102 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
26 | Bucks | 40% | 107 | 117 | |
21 | Pelicans | 60% | 110 | 113 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
15 | Grizzlies | 80 | |||
20 | Timberwolves | 116 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
8 | Jazz | 23% | 93 | 106 | |
2 | Spurs | 77% | 103 | 91 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Warriors | 127 | |||
11 | Trail Blazers | 104 |
Monday, October 31, 2016
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
21 | Nuggets | 102 | |||
6 | Raptors | 105 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
17 | Bulls | 61% | 112 | 118 | |
28 | Nets | 39% | 108 | 88 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
23 | Kings | 95 | |||
12 | Hawks | 106 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
27 | Suns | 20% | 100 | 98 | |
4 | Clippers | 80% | 112 | 116 |
Sunday, October 30, 2016
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | Jazz | 33% | 103 | 75 | |
4 | Clippers | 67% | 109 | 88 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Warriors | 106 | |||
27 | Suns | 100 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | Spurs | 62% | 101 | 106 | |
22 | Heat | 38% | 96 | 99 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
24 | Bucks | 83 | |||
16 | Pistons | 98 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
18 | Wizards | 51% | 107 | 103 | |
14 | Grizzlies | 49% | 106 | 112 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
29 | Lakers | 96 | |||
9 | Thunder | 113 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
13 | Mavericks | 38% | 108 | 92 | |
6 | Rockets | 62% | 113 | 93 |
Saturday, October 29, 2016
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
14 | Hawks | 104 | |||
30 | 76ers | 72 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
8 | Celtics | 47% | 106 | 104 | |
12 | Hornets | 53% | 107 | 98 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
15 | Grizzlies | 104 | |||
25 | Knicks | 111 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
26 | Magic | 15% | 102 | 99 | |
3 | Cavaliers | 85% | 116 | 105 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
11 | Pacers | 101 | |||
19 | Bulls | 118 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
28 | Nets | 35% | 107 | 108 | |
24 | Bucks | 65% | 112 | 110 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
22 | Pelicans | 79 | |||
2 | Spurs | 98 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
10 | Trail Blazers | 49% | 114 | 115 | |
18 | Nuggets | 51% | 115 | 113 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
20 | Timberwolves | 103 | |||
21 | Kings | 106 |
Friday, October 28, 2016
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | Cavaliers | 94 | |||
6 | Raptors | 91 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
11 | Pacers | 66% | 113 | 94 | |
28 | Nets | 34% | 108 | 103 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
24 | Magic | 82 | |||
17 | Pistons | 108 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
27 | Suns | 27% | 104 | 110 | |
8 | Thunder | 73% | 112 | 113 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
15 | Hornets | 97 | |||
19 | Heat | 91 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 | Rockets | 52% | 113 | 106 | |
12 | Mavericks | 48% | 112 | 98 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
29 | Lakers | 89 | |||
5 | Jazz | 96 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Warriors | 83% | 119 | 122 | |
21 | Pelicans | 17% | 106 | 114 |
Thursday, October 27, 2016
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
19 | Wizards | 99 | |||
15 | Hawks | 114 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
9 | Celtics | 43% | 107 | 99 | |
23 | Bulls | 57% | 109 | 105 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | Spurs | 102 | |||
24 | Kings | 94 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | Clippers | 55% | 108 | 114 | |
10 | Trail Blazers | 45% | 106 | 106 |
Wednesday, October 26, 2016
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
20 | Heat | 108 | |||
18 | Magic | 96 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
15 | Mavericks | 39% | 102 | 121 | |
11 | Pacers | 61% | 106 | 130 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
28 | Nets | 117 | |||
6 | Celtics | 122 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
16 | Pistons | 36% | 103 | 91 | |
8 | Raptors | 64% | 108 | 109 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
14 | Hornets | 107 | |||
25 | Bucks | 96 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
21 | Timberwolves | 45% | 106 | 98 | |
13 | Grizzlies | 55% | 108 | 102 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
19 | Nuggets | 107 | |||
23 | Pelicans | 102 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
9 | Thunder | 67% | 109 | 103 | |
30 | 76ers | 33% | 103 | 97 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
26 | Kings | 113 | |||
27 | Suns | 94 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 | Rockets | 66% | 110 | 114 | |
29 | Lakers | 34% | 104 | 120 |
Tuesday, October 25, 2016
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
24 | Knicks | 17% | 102 | 88 | |
2 | Cavaliers | 83% | 116 | 117 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 | Jazz | 104 | |||
10 | Trail Blazers | 113 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | Spurs | 21% | 99 | 129 | |
1 | Warriors | 79% | 111 | 100 |