Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Sunday, February 22, 2026
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Cavaliers | ||||
| 1 | Thunder | ||||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Nets | ||||
| 19 | Hawks | ||||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Raptors | ||||
| 24 | Bucks | ||||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Nuggets | ||||
| 10 | Warriors | ||||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Mavericks | ||||
| 25 | Pacers | ||||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Hornets | ||||
| 29 | Wizards | ||||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Celtics | ||||
| 17 | Lakers | ||||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | 76ers | ||||
| 9 | Timberwolves | ||||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Knicks | ||||
| 20 | Bulls | ||||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Blazers | ||||
| 11 | Suns | ||||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Magic | ||||
| 16 | Clippers | ||||
Saturday, February 21, 2026
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Magic | ||||
| 11 | Suns | ||||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 76ers | ||||
| 26 | Pelicans | ||||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Grizzlies | ||||
| 12 | Heat | ||||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Pistons | ||||
| 21 | Bulls | ||||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Kings | ||||
| 5 | Spurs | ||||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Rockets | ||||
| 6 | Knicks | ||||
Friday, February 20, 2026
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Cavaliers | ||||
| 20 | Hornets | ||||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Pacers | ||||
| 27 | Wizards | ||||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Jazz | ||||
| 12 | Grizzlies | ||||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Heat | ||||
| 19 | Hawks | ||||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Mavericks | ||||
| 9 | Timberwolves | ||||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Bucks | ||||
| 26 | Pelicans | ||||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Nets | ||||
| 1 | Thunder | ||||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Clippers | ||||
| 16 | Lakers | ||||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Nuggets | ||||
| 22 | Blazers | ||||
Thursday, February 19, 2026
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Rockets | ||||
| 21 | Hornets | ||||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Nets | ||||
| 2 | Cavaliers | ||||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Hawks | ||||
| 12 | 76ers | ||||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Pacers | ||||
| 29 | Wizards | ||||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Pistons | ||||
| 5 | Knicks | ||||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Raptors | ||||
| 20 | Bulls | ||||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Suns | ||||
| 6 | Spurs | ||||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Celtics | ||||
| 10 | Warriors | ||||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Magic | ||||
| 28 | Kings | ||||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Nuggets | ||||
| 16 | Clippers | ||||
Thursday, February 12, 2026
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Bucks | ||||
| 1 | Thunder | ||||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Blazers | ||||
| 30 | Jazz | ||||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Mavericks | ||||
| 16 | Lakers | ||||
Wednesday, February 11, 2026
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Hawks | ||||
| 21 | Hornets | ||||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Wizards | ||||
| 2 | Cavaliers | ||||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Bucks | ||||
| 12 | Magic | ||||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Bulls | ||||
| 3 | Celtics | ||||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Pacers | ||||
| 26 | Nets | ||||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Knicks | ||||
| 11 | 76ers | ||||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Pistons | ||||
| 17 | Raptors | ||||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Clippers | ||||
| 4 | Rockets | ||||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Blazers | ||||
| 9 | Timberwolves | ||||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Heat | ||||
| 25 | Pelicans | ||||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Thunder | ||||
| 13 | Suns | ||||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Kings | ||||
| 29 | Jazz | ||||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Grizzlies | ||||
| 8 | Nuggets | ||||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Spurs | ||||
| 10 | Warriors | ||||
Tuesday, February 10, 2026
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Pacers | ||||
| 5 | Knicks | ||||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Clippers | ||||
| 4 | Rockets | ||||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Mavericks | ||||
| 11 | Suns | ||||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Spurs | ||||
| 15 | Lakers | ||||
Monday, February 9, 2026
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Pistons | ||||
| 21 | Hornets | ||||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Bulls | ||||
| 26 | Nets | ||||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Jazz | ||||
| 13 | Heat | ||||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Bucks | ||||
| 12 | Magic | ||||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Hawks | ||||
| 9 | Timberwolves | ||||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Kings | ||||
| 24 | Pelicans | ||||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Cavaliers | ||||
| 7 | Nuggets | ||||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Grizzlies | ||||
| 10 | Warriors | ||||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Thunder | ||||
| 15 | Lakers | ||||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 76ers | ||||
| 22 | Blazers | ||||
Sunday, February 8, 2026
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Knicks | ||||
| 2 | Celtics | ||||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Heat | ||||
| 30 | Wizards | ||||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Pacers | ||||
| 17 | Raptors | ||||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Clippers | ||||
| 9 | Timberwolves | ||||
Saturday, February 7, 2026
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Wizards | ||||
| 26 | Nets | ||||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Rockets | ||||
| 1 | Thunder | ||||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Mavericks | ||||
| 5 | Spurs | ||||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Jazz | ||||
| 12 | Magic | ||||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Hornets | ||||
| 18 | Hawks | ||||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Nuggets | ||||
| 20 | Bulls | ||||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Warriors | ||||
| 15 | Lakers | ||||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 76ers | ||||
| 11 | Suns | ||||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Grizzlies | ||||
| 21 | Blazers | ||||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Cavaliers | ||||
| 27 | Kings | ||||
Friday, February 6, 2026
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Heat | ||||
| 2 | Celtics | ||||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Knicks | ||||
| 7 | Pistons | ||||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Pacers | ||||
| 28 | Bucks | ||||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Pelicans | ||||
| 8 | Timberwolves | ||||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Grizzlies | ||||
| 22 | Blazers | ||||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Clippers | ||||
| 27 | Kings | ||||
Thursday, February 5, 2026
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Wizards | ||||
| 6 | Pistons | ||||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Nets | ||||
| 13 | Magic | ||||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Jazz | ||||
| 18 | Hawks | ||||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Bulls | ||||
| 17 | Raptors | ||||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Hornets | ||||
| 3 | Rockets | ||||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Spurs | ||||
| 25 | Mavericks | ||||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Warriors | ||||
| 12 | Suns | ||||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 76ers | ||||
| 14 | Lakers | ||||
Wednesday, February 4, 2026
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Nuggets | ||||
| 4 | Knicks | ||||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Timberwolves | ||||
| 17 | Raptors | ||||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Celtics | ||||
| 2 | Rockets | ||||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Pelicans | ||||
| 28 | Bucks | ||||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Thunder | ||||
| 5 | Spurs | ||||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Grizzlies | ||||
| 26 | Kings | ||||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Cavaliers | ||||
| 16 | Clippers | ||||
Tuesday, February 3, 2026
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Nuggets | ||||
| 8 | Pistons | ||||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Jazz | ||||
| 23 | Pacers | ||||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Knicks | ||||
| 30 | Wizards | ||||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Lakers | ||||
| 26 | Nets | ||||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Hawks | ||||
| 14 | Heat | ||||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Celtics | ||||
| 25 | Mavericks | ||||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Bulls | ||||
| 28 | Bucks | ||||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Magic | ||||
| 1 | Thunder | ||||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 76ers | ||||
| 10 | Warriors | ||||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Suns | ||||
| 22 | Blazers | ||||
Monday, February 2, 2026
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Pelicans | ||||
| 21 | Hornets | ||||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Rockets | ||||
| 23 | Pacers | ||||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Timberwolves | ||||
| 19 | Grizzlies | ||||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 76ers | ||||
| 16 | Clippers | ||||
Sunday, February 1, 2026
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Bucks | ||||
| 2 | Celtics | ||||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Magic | ||||
| 5 | Spurs | ||||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Nets | ||||
| 7 | Pistons | ||||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Bulls | ||||
| 14 | Heat | ||||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Jazz | ||||
| 15 | Raptors | ||||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Kings | ||||
| 29 | Wizards | ||||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Lakers | ||||
| 4 | Knicks | ||||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Clippers | ||||
| 11 | Suns | ||||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Cavaliers | ||||
| 21 | Blazers | ||||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Thunder | ||||
| 22 | Nuggets | ||||
Saturday, January 31, 2026
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Spurs | ||||
| 20 | Hornets | ||||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Hawks | ||||
| 23 | Pacers | ||||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Pelicans | ||||
| 10 | 76ers | ||||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Bulls | ||||
| 14 | Heat | ||||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Timberwolves | ||||
| 17 | Grizzlies | ||||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Mavericks | ||||
| 2 | Rockets | ||||
Friday, January 30, 2026
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Lakers | ||||
| 29 | Wizards | ||||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Raptors | ||||
| 12 | Magic | ||||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Kings | ||||
| 2 | Celtics | ||||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Grizzlies | ||||
| 24 | Pelicans | ||||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Cavaliers | ||||
| 16 | Suns | ||||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Clippers | ||||
| 22 | Nuggets | ||||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Nets | ||||
| 27 | Jazz | ||||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Pistons | ||||
| 9 | Warriors | ||||
Thursday, January 29, 2026
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Bucks | ||||
| 30 | Wizards | ||||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Heat | ||||
| 22 | Bulls | ||||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Rockets | ||||
| 19 | Hawks | ||||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Hornets | ||||
| 25 | Mavericks | ||||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Nets | ||||
| 21 | Nuggets | ||||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Pistons | ||||
| 16 | Suns | ||||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Thunder | ||||
| 6 | Timberwolves | ||||
Tuesday, January 27, 2026
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Blazers | 62% | 117 | 111 | |
| 28 | Wizards | 38% | 113 | 115 | |
Updated: Jan 28, 2026 12:01 AM
game detailMonday, January 26, 2026
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Pacers | 38% | 114 | 116 | |
| 15 | Hawks | 62% | 118 | 132 | |
Updated: Jan 26, 2026 06:01 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | 76ers | 43% | 113 | 93 | |
| 12 | Hornets | 57% | 115 | 130 | |
Updated: Jan 26, 2026 07:31 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Magic | 37% | 112 | 98 | |
| 7 | Cavaliers | 63% | 116 | 114 | |
Updated: Jan 26, 2026 11:31 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Blazers | 22% | 108 | 94 | |
| 3 | Celtics | 78% | 118 | 102 | |
Updated: Jan 27, 2026 12:31 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Lakers | 48% | 118 | 129 | |
| 16 | Bulls | 52% | 119 | 118 | |
Updated: Jan 27, 2026 12:31 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Grizzlies | 21% | 106 | 99 | |
| 2 | Rockets | 79% | 116 | 108 | |
Updated: Jan 27, 2026 12:31 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Warriors | 37% | 107 | 83 | |
| 10 | Timberwolves | 63% | 111 | 108 | |
Updated: Jan 27, 2026 02:27 AM
game detail