Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Tuesday, January 6, 2026
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | Cavaliers | ||||
21 | Pacers |
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | Magic | ||||
29 | Wizards |
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
17 | Spurs | ||||
9 | Grizzlies |
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
18 | Heat | ||||
10 | Timberwolves |
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
11 | Lakers | ||||
23 | Pelicans |
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
16 | Mavericks | ||||
20 | Kings |
Monday, January 5, 2026
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 | Knicks | ||||
15 | Pistons |
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
24 | Bulls | ||||
13 | Celtics |
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
12 | Hawks | ||||
21 | Raptors |
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
26 | Suns | ||||
2 | Rockets |
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
27 | Hornets | ||||
1 | Thunder |
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | Nuggets | ||||
14 | 76ers |
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
9 | Warriors | ||||
4 | Clippers |
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
30 | Jazz | ||||
25 | Blazers |
Sunday, January 4, 2026
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
16 | Pistons | ||||
2 | Cavaliers |
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
22 | Pacers | ||||
6 | Magic |
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | Nuggets | ||||
28 | Nets |
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
23 | Pelicans | ||||
18 | Heat |
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
11 | Timberwolves | ||||
29 | Wizards |
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Thunder | ||||
26 | Suns |
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
19 | Bucks | ||||
21 | Kings |
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
9 | Grizzlies | ||||
10 | Lakers |
Saturday, January 3, 2026
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
11 | Timberwolves | ||||
18 | Heat |
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
17 | 76ers | ||||
7 | Knicks |
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
12 | Hawks | ||||
20 | Raptors |
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
27 | Hornets | ||||
23 | Bulls |
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
25 | Blazers | ||||
14 | Spurs |
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | Rockets | ||||
15 | Mavericks |
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
30 | Jazz | ||||
8 | Warriors |
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
13 | Celtics | ||||
4 | Clippers |
Friday, January 2, 2026
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
15 | Spurs | ||||
21 | Pacers |
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
28 | Nets | ||||
29 | Wizards |
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | Nuggets | ||||
2 | Cavaliers |
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
12 | Hawks | ||||
7 | Knicks |
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | Magic | ||||
24 | Bulls |
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
27 | Hornets | ||||
18 | Bucks |
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
26 | Blazers | ||||
23 | Pelicans |
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
22 | Kings | ||||
25 | Suns |
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Thunder | ||||
8 | Warriors |
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
9 | Grizzlies | ||||
10 | Lakers |
Thursday, January 1, 2026
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | Rockets | ||||
28 | Nets |
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
19 | Heat | ||||
15 | Pistons |
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
17 | 76ers | ||||
14 | Mavericks |
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
13 | Celtics | ||||
21 | Kings |
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
30 | Jazz | ||||
4 | Clippers |
Wednesday, December 31, 2025
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
8 | Warriors | ||||
27 | Hornets |
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
11 | Timberwolves | ||||
12 | Hawks |
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | Magic | ||||
22 | Pacers |
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
26 | Suns | ||||
2 | Cavaliers |
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
23 | Pelicans | ||||
24 | Bulls |
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 | Knicks | ||||
14 | Spurs |
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | Nuggets | ||||
20 | Raptors |
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
29 | Wizards | ||||
18 | Bucks |
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
25 | Blazers | ||||
1 | Thunder |
Tuesday, December 30, 2025
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
17 | 76ers | ||||
8 | Grizzlies |
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
13 | Celtics | ||||
29 | Jazz |
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
16 | Pistons | ||||
10 | Lakers |
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
22 | Kings | ||||
4 | Clippers |
Monday, December 29, 2025
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
19 | Bucks | ||||
27 | Hornets |
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
26 | Suns | ||||
29 | Wizards |
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
9 | Warriors | ||||
28 | Nets |
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | Nuggets | ||||
18 | Heat |
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | Magic | ||||
20 | Raptors |
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
11 | Timberwolves | ||||
24 | Bulls |
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
22 | Pacers | ||||
3 | Rockets |
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 | Knicks | ||||
23 | Pelicans |
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
12 | Hawks | ||||
1 | Thunder |
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | Cavaliers | ||||
14 | Spurs |
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
15 | Mavericks | ||||
25 | Blazers |
Sunday, December 28, 2025
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
8 | Warriors | ||||
20 | Raptors |
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
18 | 76ers | ||||
1 | Thunder |
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
9 | Grizzlies | ||||
30 | Wizards |
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
13 | Celtics | ||||
25 | Blazers |
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
16 | Pistons | ||||
4 | Clippers |
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
21 | Kings | ||||
10 | Lakers |
Saturday, December 27, 2025
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
15 | Mavericks | ||||
20 | Kings |
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | Nuggets | ||||
6 | Magic |
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
26 | Suns | ||||
23 | Pelicans |
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 | Knicks | ||||
12 | Hawks |
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
22 | Pacers | ||||
17 | Heat |
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
19 | Bucks | ||||
24 | Bulls |
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | Cavaliers | ||||
3 | Rockets |
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
28 | Nets | ||||
11 | Timberwolves |
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
30 | Jazz | ||||
14 | Spurs |
Friday, December 26, 2025
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
18 | Heat | ||||
12 | Hawks |
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
27 | Hornets | ||||
6 | Magic |
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
22 | Raptors | ||||
29 | Wizards |
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
13 | Celtics | ||||
21 | Pacers |
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
17 | 76ers | ||||
24 | Bulls |
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
19 | Bucks | ||||
9 | Grizzlies |
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
26 | Suns | ||||
23 | Pelicans |
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
16 | Pistons | ||||
30 | Jazz |
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | Clippers | ||||
25 | Blazers |
Thursday, December 25, 2025
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | Cavaliers | ||||
7 | Knicks |
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
16 | Spurs | ||||
1 | Thunder |
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
15 | Mavericks | ||||
8 | Warriors |
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | Rockets | ||||
10 | Lakers |
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
11 | Timberwolves | ||||
5 | Nuggets |
Tuesday, December 23, 2025
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
30 | Wizards | ||||
27 | Hornets |
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
28 | Nets | ||||
16 | 76ers |
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
24 | Bulls | ||||
12 | Hawks |
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
23 | Pelicans | ||||
2 | Cavaliers |
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
19 | Bucks | ||||
21 | Pacers |
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
22 | Raptors | ||||
18 | Heat |
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | Nuggets | ||||
14 | Mavericks |
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 | Knicks | ||||
11 | Timberwolves |
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Thunder | ||||
15 | Spurs |
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
10 | Lakers | ||||
26 | Suns |
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
9 | Grizzlies | ||||
29 | Jazz |
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | Magic | ||||
25 | Blazers |
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
17 | Pistons | ||||
20 | Kings |
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | Rockets | ||||
4 | Clippers |
Monday, December 22, 2025
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
27 | Hornets | ||||
2 | Cavaliers |
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
22 | Pacers | ||||
13 | Celtics |
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
15 | Mavericks | ||||
23 | Pelicans |
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
30 | Jazz | ||||
5 | Nuggets |
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
9 | Grizzlies | ||||
1 | Thunder |
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 | Magic | ||||
8 | Warriors |
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
17 | Pistons | ||||
25 | Blazers |
Sunday, December 21, 2025
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
24 | Bulls | ||||
12 | Hawks |
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
21 | Raptors | ||||
28 | Nets |
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
18 | Heat | ||||
6 | Knicks |
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
14 | Spurs | ||||
29 | Wizards |
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
19 | Bucks | ||||
11 | Timberwolves |
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | Rockets | ||||
20 | Kings |
Saturday, December 20, 2025
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | Rockets | ||||
5 | Nuggets |
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
14 | Mavericks | ||||
17 | 76ers |
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
13 | Celtics | ||||
19 | Raptors |
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
22 | Pacers | ||||
23 | Pelicans |
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
27 | Hornets | ||||
16 | Pistons |
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
30 | Wizards | ||||
9 | Grizzlies |
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
26 | Suns | ||||
7 | Warriors |
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
8 | Magic | ||||
29 | Jazz |
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
25 | Blazers | ||||
21 | Kings |
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
11 | Lakers | ||||
4 | Clippers |
Friday, December 19, 2025
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
18 | Heat | ||||
13 | Celtics |
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
17 | 76ers | ||||
6 | Knicks |
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
16 | Spurs | ||||
12 | Hawks |
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
24 | Bulls | ||||
2 | Cavaliers |
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Thunder | ||||
11 | Timberwolves |
Thursday, December 18, 2025
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
12 | Hawks | ||||
27 | Hornets |
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | Knicks | ||||
20 | Pacers |
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
19 | Heat | ||||
28 | Nets |
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
21 | Raptors | ||||
18 | Bucks |
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | Rockets | ||||
23 | Pelicans |
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
16 | Pistons | ||||
14 | Mavericks |
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 | Magic | ||||
5 | Nuggets |
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
8 | Warriors | ||||
26 | Suns |
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
10 | Lakers | ||||
29 | Jazz |
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
22 | Kings | ||||
24 | Blazers |
Wednesday, December 17, 2025
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | Cavaliers | ||||
24 | Bulls |
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
9 | Grizzlies | ||||
10 | Timberwolves |
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | Clippers | ||||
1 | Thunder |
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
30 | Wizards | ||||
14 | Spurs |